I’ve got a prospective property in my sights with the following data included below. On first glance, it looks like a property I should pursue; however, I’m a newbie and probably should seek the counsel of the more wise BP community. Please let me know if you think I’m underestimating my analysis.
Here are my data points:
Asking Price $175,000
2 br/1 ba duplex in a decent part of town in Houston, TX
Rental comps range $950-$1,095/mo
Current tenants lease runs through December
Purchase Price: $175,000
ARV: Assuming the place is in decent condition, I don't plan to make any substantial improvements. So I assumed the ARV would be $175,000
Estimated Repair Cost: $2,500
Downpayment: 10%
Loan Interest Rate: 4.5%; pulled it out of the air. My credit is 750+
Loan Amortization: 30 years
Gross Rent: $2,190 ($1095 *2)
PMI: $65 estimated
Monthly Insurance: $65/mo estimated
Property Tax: $229/mo
No other fixed landlord-paid expenses (e.g., elec, water/sewer). Should I include something for garbage? I have no knowledge of how that works.
Vacancy (10%)
Repairs & Maintenance (5%)
CapEx (6%)
Management Fees (0%)- I’ll be learning from this property, but hope to handle management alone.
Future Assumptions: Ultra Conservative
Annual Income Growth: 1%
Annual PV Growth: 1%
Annual Expense Growth: 1%
This results in $573 in net cash flow per month, which sounds good. Let me know what you think.