I've read through past forum posts regarding turnkey (TK) and did not find the specific info I'm looking for. From what little I know, TK investing requires a three-pronged analysis;
1) Analysis of the TK provider (company),
2) Analysis of the market you intend/desire to invest in, and
3) Analysis of the deal (the TK property)
Analysis of the TK provider appears to be most important (that's why it's number one on my list). The TK provide must be experienced, trustworthy, transparent in their communication and offers, and provide quality work at a fair price. What's a fair price? Since TK doesn't offer much (if any) equity in the investment, the price must be below expenses such that the investor gets the expected cash flow. The question is; how do you evaluate TK companies to find one that fits these qualities? They all claim to be fair, honest and make money for their investors. What does an investor look for that differentiates the pretenders from the contenders?
Analysis of the market is the second most important (at least to me) for a number of reasons. To be clear, I'm no asking if an investor should consider the crime rate. I'm asking where does the investor get crime statistics for specific neighborhoods in a City? Where does an investor learn if a certain area of town is "hot" for rentals? I'm wondering how the investor analyzes a specific market (what factors make a good or bad market) and where to get the info for the analyses. Also, shouldn't market analysis be done by the TK provider as well?
Once a TK company and rental market are found, each deal must be analyzed. Appreciation is always important in RE, but in TK investing the forced appreciation has been consumed by the TK company and it will be years (in general) before the investor can realize market appreciation. It seems to me, then, that cash flow is king. So the key question is, how do you analyze the TK deal? There are numerous resources for analyzing BRRRR and other RE investment deals, but I haven't seen many for TK. To be clear, I'm asking about what needs to be analyzed as well as what the specific resources for doing the analyses of TK deals? For example, if you say it's important to determine cash flow, then point to some tools for doing the cash flow analyses on TK deals. There are RE calculators for rental properties, but are there calculators for TK properties?
The hope is this discussion will be educational/helpful for all TK investors, but also be practical for those seeking the tools and resources to get into TK investing.