I'm in the process of negotiating a deal and come here for advice. I'm having trouble getting my thoughts together as I have opposing point of views.
Location: "B-" area / development in a "A" town with "A" schools. The development that I am looking in is the least affluent area in the town. However the rental I'm looking at is in the good section of the bad area. It is known to be a lesser section of the town and has occasional drug bust etc and I'm not so sure which way the development is trending.
Property:
3 bedroom , 1.5 bathroom townhouse
List Price: 115k
ARV: 120k
Rehab Costs: 20k (bathroom remodel, carpet, painting)
Rent: $1350 (this is a fairly conservative number)
I currently have an offer in at 90k that was countered to 110k and I am trying to find my best offer on this deal.
Cash flow:
Numbers considering 100k purchase price and seller paying all closing costs. Also, 30 year fixed rate at 5.25%. I have private money lending at 6% that will fund the rehab and I want to ensure that I am calculating this correctly.
Rent - Mortgage - Insurance - Tax - Vacancy(10%) - Maintenance(10%)
1350 - 440 - 50 - 210 - 135 - 135 = + 380
Cash on Cash return (initial):
380x12 = 4,560 / 40,000 (down-payment + rehab) = 11.4%
Cash on Cash return (after rehab and appraised at 120k)
New Cash Flow using refinancing with 80/20 conventional:
1350 - 530 - 50 - 210 - 135 - 135 = +290
290x12 = 3480 (per year)
Total Cash invested:
Down Payment + Interest to Private Lender + Cost to refinance (4% of remaining principal) 24,000+1,200+ 3850 = 29,050
New Cash on Cash: 3480 / 29050 = 11.9%
Major concerns are not knowing which way the area is trending and not getting any sort of discount on the rehab.
Any input would be greatly appreciated.