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All Forum Posts by: John Matthews

John Matthews has started 35 posts and replied 232 times.

Post: A & B Neighborhoods around philly

John MatthewsPosted
  • Investor
  • San Diego, CA
  • Posts 254
  • Votes 56
Originally posted by @Account Closed:

What do you mean by 1.5%+?

 I mean rental income is 1.5% or greater of the purchase price.

Post: A & B Neighborhoods around philly

John MatthewsPosted
  • Investor
  • San Diego, CA
  • Posts 254
  • Votes 56

Quick question for you all - in the following counties in SE PA, is it possible to find 1.5+% properties (1-4plex) in A and B neighborhoods?

  • Philadelphia County
  • Montgomery County
  • Delaware County

How about over the river in NJ?

  • Camden County
  • Gloucester County
  • Burlington County

Post: Impact of Leverage on Cash-on-Cash Returns

John MatthewsPosted
  • Investor
  • San Diego, CA
  • Posts 254
  • Votes 56

This has answered a question I've had for the past two weeks that I didn't know I had - Thanks!

Post: Is high cash on cash return with traditional financing possible?

John MatthewsPosted
  • Investor
  • San Diego, CA
  • Posts 254
  • Votes 56

Thanks all for the responses.

@Nathan 

@Nathan Emmert good point. A lender I was speaking with today actually brought up that point. Because I'm a nerd, it's worth nothing that assuming we're talking about the seller financing the last portion, and raising the purchase price to match - it actually looks like rolling the closing costs into the loan makes a difference (in this scenario of a 25% downpayment) of closer to 0.8%. Though, when you get to a 20% downpayment you're up to 1.3%, 15%, you're up to 2.2%, etc. The graph is exponential similar to the CoC gain chart that @J Scott posted in his post below yours. This is also highly dependent on the closing cost %.

@J Scott Thanks for that link, it's so timely that you just posted that. Do you happen to have the excel file used to create that chart? I'm a big data guy and I'd love to play with numbers a bit.

Post: Is high cash on cash return with traditional financing possible?

John MatthewsPosted
  • Investor
  • San Diego, CA
  • Posts 254
  • Votes 56

I'm not sure if this is the right forum (I never can figure out which to post in!), but here goes:

Is it possible get great cash on cash returns using conventional (non-FHA, non-owner occupied) loans and your own money as the 20-25% downpayment?

As I can see it, the factors affecting the % return are the following:

  • Purchase price / rental income ratio
  • Decreasing the loan interest rate
  • Decreasing maintenance costs
  • Increasing leverage (potentially the biggest factor as I can see)

Is there anything that I am missing here to increase the cash on cash return? So let's look at a simple example:

  • Purchase price: $200,000
  • 25% Downpayment: $50,000
  • 2% Closing costs: $4,000
  • 4.5% 30 year fixed rate mortgage: P&I = $760 / mo

Let's assume gross rental income is $3,000/mo (1.5% might be reasonable in Philly?). Using the following rough approximations:

  • 50% rule: $1,500/mo
  • NOI: $3000-$1500-$760 = $740

Yielding a cash on cash return of 16.44% (NOI Annually / Cash down or 740*12/54000). That's not terrible, it's certainly greater than the stock market on average, but it would be great to be over 20%, right? Or is that unrealistic?

Are there some creative ways of bumping that number up, while still using traditional financing that I'm missing out on? Or am I relegated to creative financing if I want to sweeten my cash on cash return? Any comments are appreciated!

Post: Realistic Returns in Rental Properties

John MatthewsPosted
  • Investor
  • San Diego, CA
  • Posts 254
  • Votes 56

Sorry, I meant to include I'm specifically curious for 1-4 family residences.

Post: Realistic Returns in Rental Properties

John MatthewsPosted
  • Investor
  • San Diego, CA
  • Posts 254
  • Votes 56

Hi All,

So I'm not sure if there's a better way to do this, but I'm trying to determine which investment strategy makes the most sense from an ROI standpoint, notes vs buy and hold, so I made a spreadsheet to determine theoretical returns and I wanted to verify it against real world data.

Question: What are people seeing as far as returns before taxes (benefits) on their rental properties?

Specifially post, 1) where you're investing 2) cashflow % and 3) total IRR of the whole investment (including principal paydown/equity growth)

Thanks!

Post: Newbie from Philadelphia

John MatthewsPosted
  • Investor
  • San Diego, CA
  • Posts 254
  • Votes 56

Welcome, @Michael Morisseau !

Post: New REI from Center City Philadelphia, PA

John MatthewsPosted
  • Investor
  • San Diego, CA
  • Posts 254
  • Votes 56

@Larry Fried Thanks. So why did you end up moving towards investing rather than lending?

Regarding the returns on an investment, I had the math wrong when I posted the previous post, but now I'm looking at the following: I think can get a CAGR of about 23% (including the tax benefits, cashflow and equity growth) and about 12% CAGR for cashflow only (including tax benefits)

  • 9% Cap rate
  • 97% LTV (most from private investors - family)
  • 5% APR, 12% APR (first 5 years) on 17% of the loan
  • using the 50% rule
  • no appreciation
  • Buying the property at ~100% ARV

I think most of that is realistic except for maybe I could refinance sooner than 5 years, to improve returns (by roughly 7%), and the price I'm buying the property at is obviously quite high, but being a new investor, it's probably likely I won't be able to get a super awesome deal.

With all that said, I'm not sure it's worth the added work of dealing with the 3T's for a few percentage points, when I could just stick with notes and get the 10-20% (maybe)

Is my thinking on this flawed?

    Post: New REI from Center City Philadelphia, PA

    John MatthewsPosted
    • Investor
    • San Diego, CA
    • Posts 254
    • Votes 56

    Thanks, @Michael Graham 

    I should probably add that I'd really like to get into the buy - fix - hold strategy (for multifamilies). I don't really want another full time job, more of an ideally relatively passive investment. 

    I'm looking into notes as well, but if my math is right, on a purely cashflow property, my gains will be significantly greater with a rental than they will be with the note.