Hi all,
I just wanted to get your opinions on flipping to grow faster vs holding .
This year I've really doubled down on investing and have about 7 rehabs I'm currently doing. Three of them are flips, while the others were going too be BRRRR'S.
But here's the thing... I've forced so much appreciation throughout my properties that I'm inclined to just sell rather than hold as I intended. My reasons for this are --
1. To free up as much cash as possible for either a new round of flips or perhaps a commercial value add multi family.
2. To sell the houses at the current peak market value. I think it's conceivable that higher rates held for longer could pull back on prices and I may as well take my return now. I'll either buy new deals in a growing market or buy properties at the bottom.
3. I have a significant tax loss from a business investment that went sideways some years ago and I wouldn't pay any tax. Huge bonus.
4. De Lever as much as possible during what could be an upcoming recession. A) I want to be protected from downside risk and B) I want to have cash on hand for potential opportunities.
There is also the factor that i don't love property management. Obviously it comes with the territory, and if I had awesome A or B class units that were worth keeping (and I could pull my capital out) I think it would be worth it.
But with where I'm at, and my current goals (which is to force equity and money as fast as possible), I see dead equity that I could recycle for a higher return on more value add deals. So it seems to me that if I want to grow quickly, I should focus more on the flipping rather than the Brrrr's.
FYI - In the future, as I have more equity, I would definitely hold bigger real estate deals for cash flow. But cash flow doesn't feel as necessary to me currently.
The one thing that cuts against this idea for me is that real estate is already tax advantaged, and maybe it's silly for me to liquidate my whole portfolio in a way that eats up my tax losses when I could 1031, or even hold for a long term Capital Gains tax @ 20%. But then again, these are uncertain times and having a lot of cash and little to no debt doesn't sound so bad either. The intent would be to go out there and reload my slate with a bunch of new deals anyway.
I'm a younger investor and still learning/ formulating my strategy. So forgive me if this is long winded... I guess I'm just talking this out loud as I play out the various scenarios hahah. But very curious on seasoned investors thoughts on this strategy, and what helped them grow their potfolios/ wealth best.
Thank you!
Flipping has never been high risk for me. I use a simple formula of 4 figures:
1) What will the home sell for after it's fixed up (ARV). Base on solid comps - what is the actual market for similar units right now?
2) What will it cost to fix up? Base on complete bids from several reliable contractors.
3) What is an acceptable profit margin for the time and money invested? A reasonably sufficient amount here is also a safety margin.
4) What I can pay for the property initially. 1 - (2+3) = 4
Has worked without fail for over 20 years for me