I need advice on an apartment in the Vancouver Canada Area and planning to do a fix and flip but here's the issue:
I'm still looking for my first deal. This building was built in 1994 and the asking price is $632,000 (assessment of $597,000) for a 800 sq ft unit. It has purple carpets, green walls in the entire unit except for sun yellow walls in the kitchen. Things that will be done is replacing to s/s appliances, quartz counters but cabinets will just need new hardware.
***Comps before price drops from Euro-conflicts: Jan 1 - Apr 31***
The 2 closest comps are buildings on the same street built in 1993 and '95. They have the same sq footage but the difference is they both had been newly renovated and had sold at $700,000 (list prices of $600,000)
***Comps after price drops from Euro-conflicts: March 1 and onwards***
The only closest comps are 2 other sold listings of buildings that were built in 2008 for 700 sq ft units that sold for $700,000 and still have their modern-ish look of that era. The rest of the sold comps are either from 2015 or 2022 with 700 sq ft units sold for $815,000.
The active comps are even less comparable with all units from 2022 for a 700 sq ft unit at $815,000.
The government Property assessments are only available for the 2008 and 2015 units and their asking/sold prices are generally 60-138k above that. For example, a 2008 unit with assessment $632,000 sold for $695,000 (List price of $699,000). Another example: a 2015 unit with assessment $647,000 sold for $785,000 (list price of $749,000)
The key points of why I am considering this deal but at the same time unsure are:
1) Unit is the largest in the area that has been active since after March 1, with 800 sq ft compared to the other newer but smaller units
2) Unit is the cheapest in the area by $28,000 below a current active from year 2022
3) Unit will need replacing floors and kitchen which can be pointed out during negotiation, but at the same time means greater renovation costs
4) Unsure because there are no very close comps
5) Unsure because the only very similar comps were those from before the conflicts and so prices may have dropped significantly
6) Also interest rates are rising and are set to rise some more in Canada by June so prices may drop even more
So my questions would be:
Will the numbers make sense?
Is this too risky for a 1st timer?
How much below asking should I offer if I choose to do so (at or below assessment value)?
If there is any detail that is unclear or missing that would be needed to determine the ARV please let me know.
Also I am unsure if there is a way to reply to comments so I might just edit this post with details as commenters suggest.
Thank you for taking the time to read this!