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All Forum Posts by: Jason King

Jason King has started 18 posts and replied 75 times.

Post: Statistical Research Project Ideas Related to Real Estate

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

@Jesse T. - Is the question that you are trying to answer "Do more expensive homes take longer to sell?" or "Do homes priced correctly sell faster than homes that are overpriced?".  Either way, I think that this will be hard to answer.  I would assume, on average, that more expensive homes take longer to sell, as the buyer pool is much smaller than your median priced homes.  This can be proven by looking at the distribution of homes sold in different price buckets.  However, with that being said, a luxury home that is competitively priced has the potential to sell faster than an average home that is over-priced.  Other qualitative factors come into play as well, like desirability of the neighborhood, condition of the property, etc.  The problem with analyzing large data sets is that it is difficult to account for these different variables.

I think your question is "Will the cost savings in terms of holding costs outweigh the price reduction on the house I am selling, assuming this will allow me to sell faster". I don't think this is necessarily a statistical problem, rather (like most real estate problems) a situational analysis. There are a few pieces of information you are going to want to know in order to perform the analysis. First, you are going to want to know the trigger price of your home is, aka at what price point will my home be considered FMV and what is the average DOM for homes that are considered FMV. Next, you will need to look at recent sales that, in your opinion, were priced below FMV and determine if these houses sold in fewer days than the average. Pay special attention to price changes and list price vs. selling price, as this could seriously skew the data. You may be able to determine if there is an inverse correlation here that exists between selling price and DOM. With enough data, you could even quantify "a price reduction of X translates into a reduction in DOM of Y". Then, you can determine if the cost savings outweigh the loss of revenue. Without looking at any data, I would assume that the amount you will have to drop your price by will not be recouped cost savings. However, there are many things that could change this.

Post: Driving for Dollars - Taking Pictures

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

Also, thanks to everyone for your contributions!  

Post: Driving for Dollars - Taking Pictures

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

@Eric B. - your second point had concerned me a little bit, that if a person sees me taking pictures of their house it may put them off a little and make it harder to deal/negotiate with.  I wonder if anyone has ever had this happen to them?

Post: Driving for Dollars - Taking Pictures

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

@Robert Blanchard  - I like the idea of the Go Pro; I haven't heard that one yet.  Seems like that could work well, though I may have to sit through and/or edit a few hours of video, and I don't have the time/skills to do that.

Post: Driving for Dollars - Taking Pictures

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

@Ned Carey - this is exactly the problem that I am running into.  I will take a 3 hour drive, write down a list of about 40-50 properties and by the time I'm done I can't recall all of them from just my notes.  I am very much a visual person, and think the pictures would jog my memory best.  Thanks to you and everyone else for the feedback, very helpful!

Post: Driving for Dollars - Taking Pictures

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

Hi Everyone, 

I had a quick question about driving for dollars - is it ok to take pictures of random people's houses?  I am trying to document as much as I can during the process and want to provide commentary as to why I flagged it; having a general picture of the property would help jog my memory.

Thanks for the help!

Post: Direct Mail Marketing Motivation

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

@Eric Bates  that answers my questions, thanks!

Post: Questions for Lawyer/CPA

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

@Steven Hamilton II, thanks for the feedback!  This will be very useful to me.  I will be sure to reach out if I have any questions; thanks for the offer!

Post: Questions for Lawyer/CPA

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

Fellow BPers,

My business partner and I have dedicated 2015 to getting our business out of the planning stage and into the action stage, hoping to complete our first fix & flip deal by the end of the year.  As part of the planning process, we are (slowly) building our team of professionals.  As such, we have scheduled meetings a lawyer and a CPA, both with specialties in RE.  I have a general idea of what we want to leverage them for, but I am seeking advice to ensure that we ask the right questions to determine if they are a good fit.  So, I guess my question is - What do you use your lawyer/CPA for in your business?  Any feedback is greatly appreciated!

Post: Response Rates for Purchased Lists vs. DforD

Jason KingPosted
  • Investor
  • Johnston, RI
  • Posts 78
  • Votes 11

Hi All, 

Question to some of the seasoned marketers out there - has anyone ever compared the response rates for marketing campaigns derived from a purchased list (via Listsoure, etc.) vs. Driving for Dollars?  It seems that you can much more efficiently get a broader scope through purchasing a list, though even through the filtering process you are likely reaching a lot of unmotivated sellers.  However, when Driving for Dollars, you at least have the benefit of being able to physically assess the condition (granted, from the exterior only) of the property and make some assumption about the level of motivation.  I am curious to see if anyone has performed a profitability or cost-benefit analysis to see which generates more leads. 

I am thinking if you can improve the response rate from 1% through traditional means to 5% through some form of physical assessment, you can reduce your marketing budget by 80% (100 letters to reach 5 people vs. 500 letters to reach 5 people).  Now, I understand that not all dilapidated home owners are motivated, and not all motivated leads have poorly maintained homes, but it does seem that this is the norm (please correct me here if I am wrong).  I am wondering if it is worthwhile to purchase a list, drive the list, and narrow it down to control costs?  Any input is greatly appreciated.