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All Forum Posts by: Jared Trindade

Jared Trindade has started 40 posts and replied 208 times.

Post: Real Estate Market in Durham NC #2.5

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290

This is a 3 month update to Durham NC market data thread- Previous post: https://www.biggerpockets.com/...

This is counting as the .5 update rather than a full release since this is more of historical data post, as well as produced by AI rather than myself.

This is a Chat GPT report from 2010-2020. If you are familiar with Chat GPT it's sound through 2021 but not later, as it has no active internet access. I am using this report as an addition to information from my previous post which was written by me from my research. Please check that post out for detailed specifics for more up to date information.

It's important to note not to use Chat GPT as your sole decision making device related to investing in any market, but to be utilized to gain additional data points and references of information.

Here is the produced result after many alterations and reiterations to make sure the logic was right, and relevant data pulled:

Certainly! Here's a report for Durham, North Carolina, focusing on the topics you provided for the period of 2010-2020:

Durham, North Carolina, is a vibrant city located in the central part of the state. It is known for its rich history, diverse culture, and renowned universities such as Duke University. Let's delve into various aspects of Durham's development and changes from 2010 to 2020.

Population and Population Growth: Durham experienced notable population growth during the 2010-2020 period. The estimated population in 2010 was around 228,000, and by 2020, it had increased to approximately 287,000 residents. This signifies a growth rate of roughly 25.9%, highlighting Durham's appeal as a place to live, work, and study.

Poverty: The poverty rate in Durham saw fluctuations throughout the decade. In 2010, the poverty rate was approximately 19.4%, and by 2020, it had decreased to around 15.8%. While poverty remains a concern, this reduction indicates efforts to address socioeconomic disparities and improve the well-being of the community.

Cost of Living: Durham's cost of living is typically lower than the national average, making it an attractive city in terms of affordability. The cost of housing, transportation, and healthcare in Durham tends to be relatively lower compared to many other parts of the country. This affordability has contributed to Durham's appeal for residents and businesses alike.

Migration: Durham experienced significant domestic and international migration during the 2010-2020 period. The city's robust job market, renowned educational institutions, and cultural amenities have attracted individuals and families from various backgrounds. The influx of newcomers has played a role in Durham's population growth and contributed to its vibrant diversity.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The Gross Domestic Product of Durham has exhibited positive growth. While specific figures for the entire period are not available, the GDP of the Durham-Chapel Hill Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), which includes Durham, Orange, and Chatham counties, was approximately $57 billion in 2019, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This reflects a growth rate of around 2.8% from the previous year, highlighting the strength and resilience of Durham's economy.

House Type Breakdowns: Durham's housing market comprises various types of dwellings. Single-family homes make up a significant portion of the housing stock, accounting for approximately 55% of the units. Multi-family homes, including apartments and condominiums, constitute around 35% of the housing stock. The remaining 10% consists of other types of housing, such as townhouses and mobile homes.

Households: The number of households in Durham increased during the 2010-2020 period. In 2010, there were an estimated 91,000 households, and by 2020, this number had risen to approximately 110,000. This growth reflects both the city's expanding population and the development of new residential communities.

Commutes: The average commute time in Durham remained relatively stable from 2010 to 2020. According to available data, the average commute time for residents was around 24 minutes throughout this period. However, individual commute times may vary based on factors such as distance, mode of transportation, and traffic conditions.

Median Household Income: Durham's median household income experienced growth between 2010 and 2020. In 2010, the median household income was approximately $52,000, and by 2020, it had increased to around $65,000. This upward trend suggests improving economic opportunities and the overall prosperity of Durham's residents.

Infrastructure: Durham has invested in infrastructure improvements over the years. These include road expansions, public transportation enhancements, and the development of community facilities and amenities. These efforts aim to support the growing population, improve connectivity, and enhance the quality of life for residents.

Economy: Durham boasts a diverse and thriving economy. Major sectors driving economic growth include healthcare, education, technology, research, and advanced manufacturing. The presence of renowned universities and research institutions has fostered innovation and entrepreneurship, making Durham a hub for startups and high-tech companies.

Real Estate Market Trends: The real estate market in Durham has shown positive trends during the 2010-2020 period. Between 2010 and 2020, the median home value increased from approximately $185,000 to around $271,000, representing significant appreciation. The market has been moderately competitive, with a balanced inventory of homes for sale.

Durham, with its population growth, improving economic indicators, and thriving real estate market, has experienced a transformative decade. Efforts to address poverty, enhance infrastructure, and foster economic diversification have contributed to Durham's appeal as a vibrant and inclusive city. Please note that the data provided here is based on available information and may not capture all nuances of Durham's complex dynamics during the specified period.

Love to hear feedback, do you think Chat GPT did a good job? It took many attempts to get this type of data outputted correctly, and is a couple of response pasted together to generate this response from Chat GPT.

Would love to hear your thoughts on this!

Post: Real Estate Market in Raleigh NC #1.5

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290

This is a 5 month update to the real estate market data thread for Raleigh NC. Previous Post: https://www.biggerpockets.com/...

This is post 1.5 for the Raleigh Real Estate Market Data Thread.

This is a Chat GPT report from 2010-2020. If you are familiar with Chat GPT it's sound through 2021 but not later, as it has no active internet access. I am using this report as an addition to information from my previous post which was written by me from my research at the time 5 months ago. I will re-release a new post similar to that one in the next month or so, as I don't want to just put out data with tiny changes.

It's important to note not to use Chat GPT as your sole decision making device related to investing in any market, but to be utilized to gain additional data points and references of information.

Here is the produced result after many alterations and reiterations to make sure the logic was right, and relevant data pulled:

Raleigh is the capital city of North Carolina and is located in Wake County in the central part of the state. The city is known for its vibrant culture, thriving economy, and excellent quality of life. Raleigh has a humid subtropical climate, with hot summers and mild winters. The average high temperature in July, the hottest month, is around 90 degrees Fahrenheit, while the average low temperature in January, the coldest month, is around 30 degrees Fahrenheit. Raleigh receives an average of around 45 inches of rain per year.

Between 2010 and 2020, Raleigh experienced significant growth in population. The city's estimated population increased from approximately 404,000 in 2010 to 474,000 in 2020, representing a growth rate of approximately 17.3%. The Raleigh Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), which includes Wake, Johnston, and Franklin counties, also witnessed notable population growth during the same timeframe, with an estimated increase of around 27.8%.

Raleigh's real estate market showed positive trends between 2010 and 2020. The median home value in Raleigh increased from $196,000 in 2010 to $320,000 in 2020, indicating a percentage change of approximately 63.3%. The market witnessed substantial appreciation in home values over the decade. The city had a balanced inventory of homes for sale, and the demand for housing increased during this period. Market rents also experienced an upward trend, reflecting the growing demand for rental properties.

Raleigh's economy is diverse and driven by various industries, including technology, education, healthcare, finance, and government. The Research Triangle Park, located nearby, is one of the largest research and development parks in the United States and contributes significantly to the region's economy. The park hosts numerous high-tech companies, research institutions, and startups. Raleigh has seen consistent economic growth over the past decade, attracting new businesses and developments to the area.

Infrastructure development and transportation improvements have been a focus in Raleigh during the 2010-2020 period. The city invested in road improvements, expanded transportation networks, and enhanced public transportation options. Raleigh is well-connected by major highways, including Interstates 40 and 440, facilitating easy access to other parts of North Carolina and beyond. Raleigh-Durham International Airport serves as a significant transportation hub, offering commercial flights to various domestic and international destinations.

Raleigh's real estate market and economic growth have contributed to the city's cultural and recreational offerings. The city is home to several museums, including the North Carolina Museum of Natural Sciences, the North Carolina Museum of Art, and the Marbles Kids Museum.

The poverty rate in Raleigh has fluctuated over the years. In 2010, the poverty rate was approximately 14.7%, and by 2020, it had decreased slightly to around 12.5%. However, it's important to note that these figures are subject to change and may vary based on different data sources and calculation methods.

Raleigh has generally been considered an affordable place to live compared to national averages. The cost of living in Raleigh is relatively lower than the national average, particularly when it comes to housing, transportation, and healthcare. This affordability has been one of the factors contributing to the city's attractiveness for residents and businesses alike.

Raleigh has been a popular destination for domestic and international migration. Many individuals and families have been drawn to the city due to its strong job market, educational opportunities, and quality of life. The influx of newcomers has contributed to the city's population growth and has helped fuel its economic development.

Raleigh's economy is diverse and robust, driven by various industries including technology, education, healthcare, finance, and government. The Research Triangle Park, one of the largest research and development centers in the United States, has played a significant role in attracting high-tech companies, startups, and research institutions to the area. The city's economy has experienced steady growth, leading to increased job opportunities and a favorable business environment.

The GDP of Raleigh has shown positive growth between 2010 and 2020. While exact figures for the entire period are not available, the GDP of the Raleigh Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), which includes Wake, Johnston, and Franklin counties, was approximately $78 billion in 2019, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This represents a growth rate of around 3.2% from the previous year. The strong GDP growth is indicative of the city's economic vitality and overall prosperity.

According to census data, the housing landscape in Raleigh between 2010 and 2020 exhibited a variety of house types. Approximately 60% of the housing units in Raleigh were single-family homes, reflecting the prevalence of traditional residential neighborhoods. Multi-family homes, including apartments and condominiums, accounted for around 25% of the housing units. The remaining 15% consisted of other types of housing, such as townhouses, duplexes, and mobile homes.

The number of households in Raleigh increased significantly during the 2010-2020 period. In 2010, there were an estimated 152,000 households in the city, and by 2020, this number had risen to approximately 190,000. The growth in households can be attributed to the city's population increase and the overall expansion of residential development.

The average commute time in Raleigh remained relatively stable from 2010 to 2020. According to census data, the average commute time for residents in 2010 was approximately 24 minutes, and by 2020, it had slightly increased to around 25 minutes. However, it's important to note that individual commute times can vary based on factors such as distance, transportation mode, and traffic conditions.

The median household income in Raleigh experienced growth between 2010 and 2020. In 2010, the median household income was approximately $54,000, and by 2020, it had increased to around $71,000. This indicates a substantial increase in household income over the decade, reflecting the city's strong economic growth and the availability of higher-paying job opportunities.

Love to hear feedback, do you think Chat GPT did a good job? It took many attempts to get this type of data outputted correctly, and is a couple of response pasted together to generate this response from Chat GPT. 

Based off what I am reading and the data pulled, looks pretty solid, but always love to hear your thoughts!

Post: Voluntary move-out after eviction appeal

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290
Quote from @James York:

I filed an eviction and ruling in my favor with magistrate court. The tenant appealed and requested a jury trial (stall tactic) which was scheduled for September. She has now voluntarily moved out, but gave 5 days notice of her intent to vacate. Two part question. CAN I retain rent from her security deposit until it is release? SHOULD I or should I just be thankful she's gone? The eviction was not over money and it is in NC. 


 Glad she voluntarily moved out! Saved you a lot of time and headache! Regardless of whether you retain any ability to keep part /all of her deposit, you lucked out there!

Happy investing!

Post: Who invests in MFH in Spring Lake NC?

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290

I've got a rather unique opportunity in Spring Lake right now. 

It's a large MFH building, with shops on the bottom. I'm curious if anyone here invests in Spring Lake, or has any experience with MFH/Commercial Space when it's combined into one building. 

Shops on floor 1, apartments on floor 2

Post: Real Estate Market in Fayetteville NC #3.5

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290
Quote from @Eric Miller:

Great stuff, thank you for this write up! 


 Just made it a bit easier to read too!

Post: Real Estate Market in Fayetteville NC #3.5

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290

5 Month Update for Fayetteville NC: Previous post in Market Data Thread -https://www.biggerpockets.com/...

The .5 represents a ChatGPT produced market review of Fayetteville -https://www.biggerpockets.com/...

*This is the third post in Fayetteville NC Market Data Thread* 

This post, being the third continuation will focus largely on the MSA, rather than Fayetteville proper. Refer to previous posts for recent updates for the City. This will also be a different layout than my normal posts. I intend to supply a lot of useful data points in the post. As well as some additional reading to do in my normal sources sections. 

Fayetteville's MSA Population per the census from 2000 to 2022. Source- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/se...https://fred.stlouisfed.org/da...

2000-01-01 336.893 2001-01-01 338.125 2002-01-01 342.404 2003-01-01 346.913
2004-01-01 349.048 2005-01-01 344.849 2006-01-01 348.072 2007-01-01 351.017
2008-01-01 354.334 2009-01-01 360.355 2010-01-01 490.502 2011-01-01 499.299
2012-01-01 502.910 2013-01-01 509.536 2014-01-01 511.082 2015-01-01 512.548
2016-01-01 517.631 2017-01-01 518.493 2018-01-01 523.805 2019-01-01 527.862
2020-01-01 520.410 2021-01-01 526.153 2022-01-01 529.318

336k in 2000 vs 529k in 2022. 22 years adding 193,000 in population. 8,772 people per year by average. Should be noted that in 2020, Harnett County was added to Fayetteville MSA. Which caused the jump you can see in around 6,000 people between 2020-2021 reporting. Solid growth, and Fayetteville is still looking to continue to recognize and add more to the MSA as Fayetteville continues to develop. 

Median Age in the MSA: 33, ~198,000 Households with an average size of 2.6 people living in them, 58% married couples. 

~217,000 housing units with a 91% occupancy rate. 57% owner occupied. 69% are Single Unit, 19% Multi Unit, 12% Mobile Home.

$169,900 Median Home Value, 41% of owner occupied units fall within $100k-$200k, 21% under $100k, and 24% between $200-$300k.

$27,416 Per Capita Income / $55,027 Median Household Income.

~24 min Commute, ~14.8% Poverty Rate.

58,878 Reported Veterans

https://censusreporter.org/pro...

This is the unemployment rate since 2021 January to April 2023. Can see a relatively consistent decrease in unemployment during this time period.  https://fred.stlouisfed.org/se...https://fred.stlouisfed.org/da...

2021-01-01 8.2 2021-02-01 8.0 2021-03-01 7.4 2021-04-01 7.1 2021-05-01 7.3
2021-06-01 7.7 2021-07-01 7.2 2021-08-01 6.8 2021-09-01 6.0 2021-10-01 6.0
2021-11-01 5.5 2021-12-01 4.7 2022-01-01 5.4 2022-02-01 5.1 2022-03-01 4.9
2022-04-01 4.5 2022-05-01 4.8 2022-06-01 5.4 2022-07-01 5.6 2022-08-01 5.9
2022-09-01 4.8 2022-10-01 5.1 2022-11-01 5.0 2022-12-01 4.6 2023-01-01 5.1
2023-02-01 5.0 2023-03-01 4.9 2023-04-01 4.3

Let's talk about Market Rents across the MSA: https://www.bestplaces.net/cos...

Studio: $830

1 Bed: $830

2 Bed: $1000

3 Bed: $1380

4 Bed: $1700

Pending Listings By Month from Jan 22- May 23 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/se...https://fred.stlouisfed.org/da...

2022-01-01 1592 2022-02-01 1619 2022-03-01 1653 2022-04-01 1653 2022-05-01 1726
2022-06-01 1738 2022-07-01 1633 2022-08-01 1521 2022-09-01 1626 2022-10-01 1411
2022-11-01 1260 2022-12-01 1155 2023-01-01 1063 2023-02-01 1231 2023-03-01 1304
2023-04-01 1414 2023-05-01 1559

To conclude Fayetteville: The population is growing steadily and with the intention of further increasing the MSA in the future, Fayetteville and it's surrounding areas are putting themselves in a prime position to continue to grow into one of the larger municipalities in North Carolina. With a strong backbone with the military, a great rental market, and a return of slightly more inventory to the market- Fayetteville is priming for a great finish to 2023. 

There are copious amounts of projects and development in the works right now, I am driving by new construction on the way to work everyday, and more clearing and building seems to be popping up all over the place. With Amazon, the Military Plaza, 7-11, 2 Condos sections all being worked on at this time, which is surely going to see a boost to the northern side of Fayetteville's economy and population. Soon I think Bragg Blvd, will genuinely get reinvigorated, and we may even see some of those vacant stores be brought back to life. 

Fayetteville is a hot market, with pockets all over the city that are spotlights for investors. The economy is trending upwards, crime is down, population is increasing, and development is all over the place. Additionally with Fayetteville's uniquely cheap prices for the size of the MSA, it's still a prime flipping target for many investors. BRRRR investors are still making great profits, buy & holds are cash flowing well, and STRs are still in demand. Fayetteville offers a little bit of everything... at a discount.

I highly recommend reading the most recent post about Fayetteville (That is linked above) in regards to some more in-depth information about the city and it's market. I will release an update to that post in the same format in another month or so, as I don't want to just spit out the same information with .10 differences if I can avoid it!

Cheers!

For more reading!

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/se...

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/se...

Post: Information On Fayetteville

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290

https://www.biggerpockets.com/...

Check out my market data research on Fayetteville from 5 months ago. Additionally I have some other posts about Fayetteville, and I am finishing one that I will be putting out today! 

If you ever want to talk about the market, I work with a ton of local investors here in town, would be happy to connect and talk about it whenever suits you!

Cheers!

Post: Real Estate Market in Winston-Salem NC

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290
Quote from @Aron Rodriguez:

Thanks for sharing! I really like the details you included in this post. I am currently under contract in Winston-Salem in southwest of downtown close to I40 & 421. 


 Love that! Hopefully everything goes well with your deal! 

Post: Real Estate Market in High Point NC

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290
Quote from @Taylor Robinson:

I'll chime in as an investor in the market. As a whole, high point continues to be a "blue collar" city,  from the big contributors of old dominion freight, thomasville buses, and the furniture market. 

Rents are now rising to 1200-1500 for SF homes which is up from 700-1000 two years ago. The big driver now is the attainable (affordable) housing. The HUD department has an overflow of vouchers. This allows them to add a $350 sign up bonus for those who sign a lease with their department. We have had success working with them.

Overall a great market for investors. Low buy in, high return.


 Thank you for the value add! Appreciate your insight!

Post: Real Estate Market in High Point NC

Jared TrindadePosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Fayetteville, NC
  • Posts 213
  • Votes 290
Quote from @Pierre Ligon:

Awesome!

Thanks for the update 


 Absolutely! New updates for different cities will be coming soon! Been crazy busy lately!