Hoping to get some advice on a potential deal.
A little background
I am just starting out
I have some money to invest but not enough to fund the entire deal but could likely fund rehab and afford holding costs.
From what I know unless I am missing something this does not appear to be a great deal for Flip, BRRR, or wholesale but I think there is some opportunity I may not be aware of.
Backstory
A neighbor in my mother-in-laws neighborhood fell into hard times and will be letting the home go into foreclosure. I spoke with him and he would rather not let it go into foreclosure but does really not have any options.
Home Condition
I was able to tour the home and observed the following
- Outside needs paint
- Garage door needs paint or replacement
- Electrical panel needs to be updated
- Landscaping is Meh but lawn is manicured
- Roof needs replaced
- Interior needs full paint
- Bathrooms do not need to be updated
- HVAC is 2 years old with warranty
- Does not appear to have any leaks based on ceiling
- Many different floor types from room to room
- Windows are old but do not appear to be leaking
- observed one small area of roof rot by the fascia by the porch
- Front door needs replaced
- Popcorn ceiling
- Some drywall repair
- Kitchen cabinets painted (not very well)
- Countertops Formica in good condition
- Appliances need to be replaced
Numbers
- Home is a 3/2 1500sq feet on 1/4 acre built in the 60s I would guess
- Comps in the neighborhood are high $180s but our market is declining somewhat ( I would imagine ARV at the time of completion may be $165k due to size and the neighborhood would be a solid C maybe low B
- Owner currently owes the bank $124k
- I am estimating rehab costs to range from $30k-$40k (if I do some of the work myself it would be closer to $30k I think
Strategies
- Flip - I think the margins are too low even at the high end of current sales at 180k
- BRR - I don’t think I can get my money back out if I refinance at 70%
- Buy and Hold - I think current market rents would be $1375-1450 cash flow about $250 if I don’t go full rehab and just go rent ready and self manage
I am thinking that it is not a great deal with any of the common strategies listed above but it seems at that price there may be something I am not thinking of . I really just wanted to verify before I pass to make sure I am not missing anything.
Thank you for any advice you can offer
Jamie R (Florida)