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All Forum Posts by: James Thierbach

James Thierbach has started 2 posts and replied 7 times.

Post: Someone talk me out of (or into) bying this property.

James Thierbach
Pro Member
Posted
  • Posts 7
  • Votes 4
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
Originally posted by @James Thierbach:
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
Originally posted by @Michael P.:

Brooke Park Dr is a running joke amongst Toledo investors. It’s a shìt street to buy an investment property. You’d need to buy the whole street and clean out the crap tenants and start over for it to work which would require losing money up front which nobody ever does so the buildings keep getting bought and sold as the owners burn out trying to collect rent from the drug dealers etc.

But that street aside there are plenty of great cash flowing investments in Toledo and 43612 is generally a great area for investment properties.

DID not read your post before i replied. but that was my concern.. buy lowest rents in town and this is what you get..  a local with knowledge would never buy these unless its their job to stack up D class rentals.

 I definitely agree with your insight as to the type of Tennant that would be paying $500/mo. However, everyone talks about OH being the cash flow capital of the world and all these properties seem to be $500-$800/mo. Is there a big difference in the kind of tennant that would pay $800? To me (in my bubble of $2K min. rents) it sounds like the same thing. 

OK i did not invent this thought process Chris Clothier did and I stole it.. but I really like it.. and its one reason his company left these kind of assets LONG ago and focus on the top of the rental market not the bottom like these are.. 

800 X 3 =  2400 a month.. minus 800 rent  300 misc  leaves 1200 a month to live on  big difference for folks that are basically living at the poverty line..  our reality and theirs are far different..  this is why Chris company goes for 1200 rents and up.. so 3600 to qualify 2k to live on.  I owned at one time 350 of these doors.  And I can tell you first hand buying the lowest price D class from OOS is going to clean your clock bottom line.. the person who lives there that posted this was a SHEEET street knows the score.. 

 The simple breakdown of renting at the top of the market vs the bottom (even though both values sound low to me) is super helpful. I agree with the thought process. It's coincidental that you should mention Chris Clothier as I have had my eye on REINation. I think it's possibly a good way for me to start, but my goal is not to be as hands off as possible. My biggest concern with going the TK route isn't that I would be paying retail price and profiting less (which seems to be most people's concern). My concern is that I may not learn as much as I would if I get in there and do it myself, make my own mistakes, etc. Either way, you gave me great insight. Thank you.

Post: Someone talk me out of (or into) bying this property.

James Thierbach
Pro Member
Posted
  • Posts 7
  • Votes 4
Originally posted by @Steve Rozenberg:

I would say that all deals in all markets are great and work and all of them don't. This is all depending on your goal and your strategy. 

My question is cashflow what you are looking for or is appreciation? Is this a short term value play property that will role into a 1031 so you were only going to keep it for a couple years? or is this something that you're going to hold for 5 or 10,20  years and let appreciate do its thing and use the cash flow to grow on.

Many people buy the property and then decide what the strategy will be without first checking if that property is actually going to take you closer to your goal or maybe it's taking you further away.

My suggestion before you decide what you want to buy figure out what your end goal is and what the final outcome is you want as a result of owning real estate. After you do that then you figure out what strategy meaning cash flow appreciation depreciation Etc will give that to you and then see what Market provides that strategy.

 Thank you for the reply. I've definitely set my eye on cash flow to begin with. I have a small business that gives me stable income and requires less than 20 hrs/week of my time. Ideally I'd like to build up enough cash flow in managed rentals to replace the business income so I can sell it off or hire someone to manage it and no longer have an active role. From that point I would want to switch gears toward appreciation so I have retirement goals. I also feel like now isn't the best time to be making appreciation plays, but people much smarter than me would disagree.

Post: Someone talk me out of (or into) bying this property.

James Thierbach
Pro Member
Posted
  • Posts 7
  • Votes 4
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
Originally posted by @Michael P.:

Brooke Park Dr is a running joke amongst Toledo investors. It’s a shìt street to buy an investment property. You’d need to buy the whole street and clean out the crap tenants and start over for it to work which would require losing money up front which nobody ever does so the buildings keep getting bought and sold as the owners burn out trying to collect rent from the drug dealers etc.

But that street aside there are plenty of great cash flowing investments in Toledo and 43612 is generally a great area for investment properties.

DID not read your post before i replied. but that was my concern.. buy lowest rents in town and this is what you get..  a local with knowledge would never buy these unless its their job to stack up D class rentals.

 I definitely agree with your insight as to the type of Tennant that would be paying $500/mo. However, everyone talks about OH being the cash flow capital of the world and all these properties seem to be $500-$800/mo. Is there a big difference in the kind of tennant that would pay $800? To me (in my bubble of $2K min. rents) it sounds like the same thing. 

Post: Someone talk me out of (or into) bying this property.

James Thierbach
Pro Member
Posted
  • Posts 7
  • Votes 4
Originally posted by @Michael P.:

Brooke Park Dr is a running joke amongst Toledo investors. It’s a shìt street to buy an investment property. You’d need to buy the whole street and clean out the crap tenants and start over for it to work which would require losing money up front which nobody ever does so the buildings keep getting bought and sold as the owners burn out trying to collect rent from the drug dealers etc.

But that street aside there are plenty of great cash flowing investments in Toledo and 43612 is generally a great area for investment properties.

 This is the EXACT type of insight I was hoping to find. I figured someone would know something about this area. Thank you.

Post: Someone talk me out of (or into) bying this property.

James Thierbach
Pro Member
Posted
  • Posts 7
  • Votes 4
Originally posted by @Dani Beit-Or:

I ran this through my fin. model (see below) and used the #s you have provided. 

Based on your number I'd say that in my opinion and experience, based on the #s only, this is a good one. 

I know nothing about the area so I cannot provide an opinion on that aspect.

With that said I think it is possible you may have missed few things:

1. Leasing fee

2. Even if all the units are occupied I'd assume some immediate investment would be needed for some repairs/improvements/fixing liability issue/etc. - did you budget for it?

3. Did you include mortgage cost and closing costs in the amount of $$$ needed?

4. Did you make sure property taxes are correct? I hear OH taxes are very high

5. 6% int. rate? That sounds a bit high to what's available in the market palce. 

--> best suggestion I can give you is to put an offer in at what makes sense to you. 

 I did include $6K for closing costs and $10K renovation in the calculation that I forgot to mention. Took the property tax straight from the listing and added a bit to it. I assume I can get better than 6% but Brandon Turner's most recent deal analysis video said 4.875, so I just added 1 percent to his number to be conservative. Ideally, for my first property, I want to run it all with worst case scenario numbers and if it still looks decent then hopefully it should turn out okay.

Thank you for the insight!

Post: Someone talk me out of (or into) bying this property.

James Thierbach
Pro Member
Posted
  • Posts 7
  • Votes 4

I'm looking to purchase my first rental property by the end of the year and I've been scoping out out-of-state opportunities (I live in So Cal). I've seen a lot of people mention Toledo for cashflow, so I started looking MF in the area and I found this property:

1338 Brooke Park Drive Toledo, OH 43612 (8 Units - 2 Bed/1 Bath each) $280K

I ran a rental property analysis on BP and filled out (conservatively) everything I knew how to (I don't know the area very well). 

25% down, 30 year 6%, $4K monthly income ($500/unit), $3500 property taxes, $5000 annual insurance (shot in the dark, this is one of the things I have the hardest time estimating), 7% repairs/maintenance, 8% capex, 5% vacancy, 9% property management. I know I probably need to pay water and sewage as well, but honestly have no idea what to put for that. As the numbers stand, I come up with the following return:

$873/mo cashflow, 13.8% CoC ROI, cash needed - $76K.

Those numbers look great to me as a newbie, but seeing as the property has just been sitting on the MLS for the past 4.5 months, I'm assuming it's not a fantastic deal. So I was hoping some of you may be interested in analyzing it with me and we can discuss what makes it a good/bad deal. Thank you.

Post: Questions from a Newbie Ready to Come off the Sidelines

James Thierbach
Pro Member
Posted
  • Posts 7
  • Votes 4

Short Background: P2 and I are 30 years old; she has a stable government job and I have a successful small business that was fortunately not overly impacted by Covid. We have managed to save up about $150,000 over the past few years and are looking to use the bulk of it toward our first REI. We currently rent substantially under market value, so our living expenses have been low, even though we've been paying off someone else's mortgage instead of our own.

Oh yea…. And we live in So Cal.

Our first idea was to house-hack a 2/3/4-plex in an area that we would like to live OR in an area that we’re not as fond of but is guaranteed to appreciate over time (like LA area). However, it seems virtually impossible to have positive cashflow in these areas and when we eventually leave the property, it won’t be worth it to have break-even or negative cashflow even if the property is likely to appreciate over time.

Next concept was to invest in a more affordable burgeoning market like Cleveland, but we have no interest in moving their, so it would simply be an out-of-state rental property.

P2 has received a COE for a VA loan, so that adds another wrinkle; I don't know if it would be a good idea to lock up the VA loan for a cheap $50K-$200K property in Cleveland (or whatever other lower value market we decide on) and no longer have the availability to use it for a primary residence.

Would it make sense to just continue renting for our own living expenses while still purchasing rental properties out of state just because my rent is so cheap? Or is that a waste of money? Should I focus on a primary residence before focusing on rental properties?

I feel like I have a good idea of the strategies I’m interested in; but I’m really struggling with the first REAL step of buying that first property. Any advice or insight would be greatly appreciated.