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All Forum Posts by: Jake M.

Jake M. has started 1 posts and replied 17 times.

Hi Dave Skow, Thanks for the info, I didn't know Movement was servicing their conforming fixed rate loans. That is interesting. Are you a loan officer? What do think about Guild and Movement as far as their process and servicing?
Hi John, Thanks for the reply. I don't have a problem if a broker or loan agent is making a reasonable commission, but they can charge up to 3% of the loan amount in fees and points, that is $9000 on a 300k loan, which is much more than $3-500 on an origination fee. I guess if they save you more than $9000 on a loan the fee would be offset. I am aware brokers deal with the wholesale market. It just adds another layer of complication, what is the borrower paid compensation vs lender paid compensation. I am aware loans typically get sold to FM or FM but I was trying to avoid dealing with a bad service company.

Post: Housing Market Crash?

Jake M.Posted
  • Posts 17
  • Votes 13
The links didn't show up as clickable either.

Post: Housing Market Crash?

Jake M.Posted
  • Posts 17
  • Votes 13
I have no Idea why the forum puts my post as one big paragraph, when I entered it with good spacing. And there is no way to edit it either.

Post: Housing Market Crash?

Jake M.Posted
  • Posts 17
  • Votes 13
My predictions for a couple of scenarios: Corona increases > second shut down > More unemployment > more loan forbearances > flood of business bankruptcy's and loan defaults > banks have big problem > fed bails out banks > some banks fail > real estate prices stay the same or go up until early 2021 > Fed will probably do another cares act and extent forbearance period > then it is possible the dollar will continue to devalue > then inflation will occur > real estate prices will go way up as dollar becomes worthless and banks fail > central banks switch from us dollar to Crypto > politically, either way the election goes we will have instability and unrest. > no way to know how serious it could become. > If civil unrest, covid problem, bank problem, or devalued dollar from inflation doesn't occur, and everything holds together, then real estate will only devalue a small amount starting early in 21. Mortgage lenders, realtors, and real estate sellers all have incentives to keep real estate prices high. And if everyone is willing to pay that price then it will continue. I think it is because real assets become more valuable as the dollar is devaluing, so real estate prices will keep climbing. Personally I think it is because the Fed is creating money and propping up the economy and financial institutions. There appears to be a business credit bubble from CLO's that is threatening the stability of the financial system. “We may be seeing significant pricing disconnects between the market and economic fundamentals, which could result in sudden and sharp repricing,” Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Randal Quarles. Such factors left central banks with no option other than intervening, he said, speaking in his capacity as chairman of the global Financial Stability Board. https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/07/coronavirus-banks-collapse/612247/ https://www.greenwichtime.com/business/article/A-new-credit-bubble-gets-ready-to-burst-13911193.php What comes next, dollar becomes so devalued that it triggers the great reset and crypto based economy. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/06/now-is-the-time-for-a-great-reset/ https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-22/did-imf-reveal-cryptocurrency-new-world-order-end-game https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2018/06/pdf/fd0618.pdf https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/bank-england-governor-signals-central-bank-digital-currency-coming
I could use some advice and feedback on a few mortgage lenders, and servicers. I am shopping for a conventional conforming 30 year fixed mortgage for a primary residence. Fico's over 740, no debts currently. Doing a joint application. Trying to get a loan for 250-300K. We have to put 50 percent down just to be able to afford to get into a house near the Seattle area. We are looking in the 600-650k range total. I have spent much time trying to research lenders and the process. What we want is someone who is honest about accurately disclosing the fees and the loan process, is competent, that can work with us and communicate through the whole process. I have no patience for incompetent and dishonest loan agents and processes where they keep asking for you to submit the same documents repeatedly, and the fees are different than quoted, and then you get bounced from one agent to another, or they are not responsive to communications. We previously had a Union bank loan. They serviced the loan also. They get bad reviews but their servicing never messed up our tax or insurance payments, or anything else. We could always call and get answers for questions we had when we sold our house. Cant get ahold of them now with the covid situation though. We had previously applied at Movement mortgage, and the document uploading process was pretty smooth. Never bought or closed with them so I can't say how that would go. I know they don't service their own loans and immediately resell them. We are talking to someone at Guild mortgage. Looks like they do in house local processing, underwriting, and service conforming loans for life of loan. They are said to close in their own name with their own funds. I don't know how functional their servicing department is. I have heard they still sometimes sell loans right off which is contradictive to their claims. Some of the info we were given seems odd. They quoted a subsidized or concession loan interest rate of: 2.625% no points no origination fee. Just a standard flat fee of $1600 for processing and underwriting. Plus $750 appraisal. Title and escrow is based on the purchase price. Agent gets fees on back end from secondary market. Said they can't tell us accurately the fees until we apply which looks like it will cost $1600 to do. But we are not clear what it will cost to do an application and get a pre approval letter. Hard to get ahold of them now. When I do research on Guild I find: Average origination fee charges include $350 for underwriting, $295 for administration, $275 for document preparation and a $500 processing fee. All told, that’s $1,420 in total lender fees. So it appears the agent is saying there is no origination fee, but their standard fee appears to be an origination fee he just isn't calling it that. A realtor we know recommended Umpqua bank. I don't see much good about them and their loan agent seemed to be not real clear either. We have relationships with BECU, BOFA, and Chase, none of which get very good reviews for mortgages. I don't think we want to do a mortgage with them but I am not sure. So currently considering: Guild, Movement, NBKC, Academy, Baker Boyer bank, and Banner bank. Don't want to have to get a bank account there to do business though. We are pretty happy with Chase for that, BOFA not as much. Prefer a direct lender, or mortgage banker that services their own loans. Not looking for a mortgage broker. Also, do not want to end up with our loan or servicing at Dovenmuehle (DMI) Yourmortgageonline.com. I know there are a lot of people and businesses here that deal with lenders, so I thought I would ask the question here, and see if people have any relationships or referrals for mortgage loan officers and could shed some light on the subject? Thanks.
My prediction: Corona increases > second shut down > More unemployment > more loan forbearances > flood of business bankruptcy's and loan defaults > banks have big problem > fed bails out > some banks fail > real estate prices stay the same or go up until early 2021 > Fed will probably do another cares act and extent forbearance period > then it is possible the dollar will continue to devalue > then inflation will occur > real estate prices will go way up > US goes from cash to Crypto > politically, either way the election goes we will have instability and unrest. > no way to know how serious it could become. > If civil unrest, covid problem, bank problem, or devalued dollar from inflation doesn't occur, and everything holds together, then real estate will devalue a small amount starting early in 21. Mortgage lenders, realtors, and real estate sellers all have incentives to keep real estate prices high. And if everyone is willing to pay that price then it will continue. I think it is because real assets become more valuable as the dollar is devaluing, so real estate prices will keep climbing. Personally I think it is because the Fed is creating money and propping up the economy and financial institutions. There appears to be a business credit bubble from CLO's that is threatening the stability of the financial system. “We may be seeing significant pricing disconnects between the market and economic fundamentals, which could result in sudden and sharp repricing,” Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Randal Quarles. Such factors left central banks with no option other than intervening, he said, speaking in his capacity as chairman of the global Financial Stability Board. https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/07/coronavirus-banks-collapse/612247/ https://www.greenwichtime.com/business/article/A-new-credit-bubble-gets-ready-to-burst-13911193.php What comes next, dollar becomes so devalued that it triggers the great reset and crypto based economy. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/06/now-is-the-time-for-a-great-reset/ https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-22/did-imf-reveal-cryptocurrency-new-world-order-end-game https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2018/06/pdf/fd0618.pdf https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/bank-england-governor-signals-central-bank-digital-currency-coming