Originally posted by @Sean McCluskey:
Hey @Isaac B., did you end up doing those two deals, and keeping them as BRRRR? If so, do you regret it?
I'm considering a similar scenario to what you describe, a relatively high quality SFR BRRRR that about breaks even on cash flow after considering all taxes and equity paydown, but not Capex reserves.
I see what you mean about holding the asset and eventually owning it with no initial equity investment. That would still be a very nice return over the long long term, despite a few years upfront of fronting a bit of negative cash flow.
Also, another consideration is that any increase in rents caused by inflation can push these from $0 cash flow to positive cash flow.
@Mike Flora, how are you doing with your strategy since your posts here? Any change of heart?
I think this question hinges on the following 2 questions:
1) Are there really no available deals you can do that would cash flow, for $0 of equity in the deal?
2) What % of your total income would the negative cash flow be, in the first X number of years?
Thanks for Reigniting this topic, Sean.
I sold both of these homes in the end. I profited nicely on one, and just about broke even on the other.
My current feeling on this topic is that I should base my rent vs flip decision on how much I'd profit on the flip vs the value of the money.
For arguments sake consider a case where you'd break even on a flip, but can refi all your money out and break even on rental vs mortgage + capex etc... Flip= break even , Rental= long term profits on amortization, potential future cashflow as you mentioned, and hopefully appreciation. No brainer! Just make sure your math is right and you are factoring Capex
Now consider the other extreme case where you can make $100k on the flip, and break even on the rental. I'll take the $100k (after taxes) reinvest it to save future hard money costs (7k/ year guaranteed savings & less risk/ reward)
However The argument can be made to refi, get the amortization, cashflow, and appreciation; & 1031 into a new deal down the road!!
Unless I can Profit from the Refi of course, since those dollars are tax free, cost 6% or so, and can save me the same 14%
In conclusion my opinion at this point is to mix flips with rentals, keeping the lower profit flips as rentals, and selling the higher profit ones - I feel this is a safe middle ground