Originally posted by @J Scott:
I was just having a conversation with a business partner of mine about Montgomery County and some of the demographic and educational shifts over the past few years. MC used to have some of the best schools in the state and the strongest real estate market trends; these days, they don't have a single high school in the top 20 in the state and the real estate market has stagnated relatively to other wealthy counties in the area.
While I'm not presuming this is the sole reason for what you're seeing, it's interesting to note that MC is undergoing some changes. In addition, the county is VERY large, and what you'll see in the south/east portions of the county (Rockville and areas near DC) is going to be a good bit different than what you'll see in the north/west parts of the county (Gaithersburg and areas closer to Frederick).
Btw, I lived in MC for a long time back in the 90s (Gaithersburg/Germantown) and love the area for buy and hold real estate, but I'm not convinced that the market is going to appreciate above national trends over the next several years.
I respectfully have to disagree with you, @jscott. 7 out of the top 10 high schools are located in Montgomery county including the overall #1 (Which has been for awhile) Walt Whitman.
http://www.usnews.com/education/best-high-schools/...
While I can't speak specifically to areas much outside the southern part of the county, which is where my specialty is (Bethesda, Chevy Chase, Kensington, etc,) that specific sub market I would argue is quite strong. The building activity in Bethesda alone is staggering. Some neighborhoods you can stand on a street and look both ways and see 3 or 4 houses under construction (infill developments) and most are already pre-sold before they finish completion.
Now, obviously the OP and you were discussing areas up a little further in the county, and as you mentioned they are quite different than the areas I am talking about, but I think the biggest difference comes from people tired of the commute into DC from areas further out. A lot of people are looking to move much closer to, and even back into, the city. That's why areas like PG are booming at the moment due to the affordability and accessibility to DC.
I also think @Shayne Brescia nailed it on the head about the delayed release of these foreclosure properties