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All Forum Posts by: Thomas McGee

Thomas McGee has started 2 posts and replied 9 times.

Post: Newbie here from the San Fernando Valley, CA

Thomas McGeePosted
  • Poker Tournament Director
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

Welcome Danny. Lots of good info here. This seems like a place to start for you https://www.biggerpockets.com/renewsblog/2014/10/2...

Post: Trying to wrap my brain around it

Thomas McGeePosted
  • Poker Tournament Director
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2
Originally posted by @Lee S.:

There was a house I recently made an offer on and was out bid by almost double.  I know I was a little on the conservative side but not that much.  I've since been by the same house and the person who bought it is doing a live in rehab.  What they end up getting is a fully rehabbed house to their exact taste and end up at a retail price which is ok for a homeowner but obviously not investors.  Next.

 That's kinda what I think is happening here. But only time will tell here in the next few weeks. My bid price for this property was $100k range and would have gone up to maybe $115k. Not quite double the closing price but close enough that equity room is near zero. 

Post: Trying to wrap my brain around it

Thomas McGeePosted
  • Poker Tournament Director
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2
Originally posted by @David Dey:

you said it yourself, things are getting back to bubble prices fast.  What should be mentioned is things are getting back to bubble mentality fast.

When there's a lot of competition, the herd mentality takes over and common sense leaves.

You may heard the saying that applies to all market trends. "3/4 of all people jump into the market at the last 1/3 of the move."

Whether, stocks, currencies, real estate, commodities, etc., if you see it on a graph you will notice a lot of peaks and valleys in the trend.

The peaks and valleys are human nature at work.  When people see a good thing going on, the tendency is to follow the pack and jump in.  Supply and demand dictates that this drives the prices up, many times past the point of actual value. (Hence the peak) 

At some point, the voice of reason kicks in and says, "we're overpaying."  Thus they back off and the price drops till it gets its feet back under it again.  (Valley)

This all happens within a greater movement, which is called the trend. Depending on whether the trend is moving up or down determines whether the peaks or the valleys are greater.  (And there's a whole course and education based on all this)

Anyway, that was the psychology verbiage (since you thought about putting it in that section) to say very long windedly, "no they overpaid."

Hope this helps.

 Thanks for the reply David. I'm familiar with the concept of trend / herd mentality. I would think that after the housing bubble and crash that home buyers would be more aware of the market they are entering and investors even more so. But memories are short.

Post: Trying to wrap my brain around it

Thomas McGeePosted
  • Poker Tournament Director
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

@Larry Turowski I'm not certain that the home was purchased by a flipper. I will keep tabs on this property to find out though to complete my educational research. I'm guessing right now due to the timing of the listing / acceptance / closing that it was purchased by some type of investor, whether that be a flipper, wholesaler, investor or live in rehab. This home was listed and closed within 3 weeks and for only $5k under asking price. That leaves the buyer with $36k in equity for reasonable ARV. Unless they are doing shabby work to ready the house for resale with superficial cosmetic work, I can't see it being profitable. Just in simple cosmetics (carpet, bath floor, paint inside, HVAC, demo of illegal construction + repair) my low estimate would be in the $15k range plus the closing costs of the resale, leaving a very minimal profit. This is not a new area either. This home was built in '74. Younger families are moving in though, as it's close to everything with decent schools for NV.

Post: Trying to wrap my brain around it

Thomas McGeePosted
  • Poker Tournament Director
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

I'm trying to wrap my brain around this recent deal that went down in my area. I was thinking maybe this should be in the Investor Psychology forum but decided here since it was a flip/rehab property.

Property specifics: Asking $171k - 2006 sqft corner lot 8,700 sqft - 4 Bd 2 Bth - 1 Family - 1 dining - 1 living - 2 Fireplace - 2 car gar 

Market: Las Vegas

Average selling price in this area for a move in ready home is 200k or $100 sqft and climbing, some homes selling at $120 sqft. Prices here are so ridiculous they are getting back to bubble prices again in a hurry. 

Anyways, as a newbie home rehabber I walked this house and gave it an evaluation of roughly $50k-$70k in repairs to make this house closer to the $120 sqft side of the ARV. Other relevant aspects that need mention for repair evaluation - HVAC unit is inoperable (not listed in the listing, but known from previous owner), there are areas of permanent construction that need to be torn down due to no permits, carpet replacement, total bathroom overhaul, complete kitchen remodel, yard maintenance, inside / outside paint, stucco repair, electrical repair and other interior cosmetics and so forth. But those are the major ones. Basically you'd have to rebuild this house from the studs up to make it right.

What I want to know is, am I off? Is this house still profitable from an investing stand point at the price that was paid? This house sold for $166k

A quick recap: Asking $171 - Sold for $166k - Needs minimum $50k in repair IMO - Maximum ARV is $220K

Frankly I don't see how it's possible to make this house right with less than $50k in repair. Maybe it's possible to do $30k in repair and make it livable ready but not move in ready. But even at $30k in repair plus holding time of 90 days, making the ARV about $200k, I can't envision this being a good buy for an investor / rehabbing type endeavor.

Just looking for some outside input, that I'm not the crazy one. LOL

Here are some images to help with your conclusions.

This is an extension

of what is supposed to be an open entry way to the front door. They enclosed it without permits. You can the stucco of the original outside of the house on the bottom left.

This is the enclosed room to the front door. This is looking toward the street outside.

Master Bath

Outdated tub

Outdated cabinetry / sink combo.

Master Bdr - Fire place is nice but needs remodel, wall unit ac is yuck IMO.

Outdated kitchen

Lots of loose electrical like this, just hanging out randomly in several areas.

There's many more pics, but just with these I'm sure you get a good idea of the extent of the scope of work needed to be done to not only repair the home, but to bring it into the 21st century.

Your thoughts?

Post: ​Disaster tiling job

Thomas McGeePosted
  • Poker Tournament Director
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

I think the word you're looking for here is Atrocious. That's not bad, that's awful. Looks like a lot of great feedback already, especially from Wendall. I'm a newbie but one thing I've learned quickly is pay behind, pay behind, pay behind. Check their work before you cut checks.

Easily a job that needs to be redone. There's no saving that work. You may be able to save some materials but doubtful. 

Seems like a painful lesson. Good luck. Thanks for the post and all the replies. Good advice here.

Post: New to you from Nevada

Thomas McGeePosted
  • Poker Tournament Director
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

Thanks for the welcome Larri, Tim, Charlie and also the links Linval and Mark. I'm sure there will be a slight learning curve on how to best use the tools available on the site.

Post: New to you from Nevada

Thomas McGeePosted
  • Poker Tournament Director
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

Hi All,

Newbie from Nevada. Not new to Real Estate, but I have been an absentee observer for the past 10 yrs. Looking to find some properties to flip, wholesale, hold and then some. Will travel anywhere for the right deal!

Had a rental portfolio in the past. Gutted and rebuilt my first home from the studs up. Learned many trade skills along the way and know what I'm looking for when evaluating a property. Seeking equal opportunity investors who are looking to make a profit without lifting a finger! Let's make some cash flow! :-)

Post: Why I Failed!!!

Thomas McGeePosted
  • Poker Tournament Director
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Posts 9
  • Votes 2

Thanks for sharing. Sucks losing a deal over a few thousand. But the lesson for all is invaluable.