Hi Dan,
I'm a newbie myself, but I'm in a similar situation and this is what I'm doing...
My wife and I bought our first house in August of 2020 for 305k with a 2.875% rate. It's valued at roughly 470k now and we still owe ~265k. We're going to be moving into a unique house-hacking situation this summer and have decided rather than sell we're going to rent the property out. We should be cash flowing between $500-$700 monthly (maybe more) and the rents will be relatively cheap compared to the value of the home. But because we can cash flow we feel it makes more sense currently to keep the property and sell within the next three years should we choose to do that and we'll still be able to avoid the capital gains and maybe even see more appreciation.
We live in Portland, ME and we've been seeing steady growth in rental prices as well as continued appreciation for single family homes. They're likely leveling out, but time will tell.
But in your situation, since you won't be cash flowing I'm not sure I see the upside of holding onto the house. Putting all of your eggs in the appreciation basket seems risky.
Curious to hear the thoughts of other more experienced investors.