Skip to content
×
PRO
Pro Members Get Full Access!
Get off the sidelines and take action in real estate investing with BiggerPockets Pro. Our comprehensive suite of tools and resources minimize mistakes, support informed decisions, and propel you to success.
Advanced networking features
Market and Deal Finder tools
Property analysis calculators
Landlord Command Center
$0
TODAY
$69.00/month when billed monthly.
$32.50/month when billed annually.
7 day free trial. Cancel anytime
Already a Pro Member? Sign in here
Pick markets, find deals, analyze and manage properties. Try BiggerPockets PRO.
x
All Forum Categories
All Forum Categories
Followed Discussions
Followed Categories
Followed People
Followed Locations
Market News & Data
General Info
Real Estate Strategies
Landlording & Rental Properties
Real Estate Professionals
Financial, Tax, & Legal
Real Estate Classifieds
Reviews & Feedback

All Forum Posts by: Elena Casey

Elena Casey has started 5 posts and replied 44 times.

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Paul Ouellette:

@Joe Marquardt

We are in Bangor, Maine. If you are anywhere close to Bangor, you won't have any trouble keeping it full. You will have to screen out unqualified prospects carefully. You will have a lot of people who want a place they can't afford, but there are just enough who do qualify, and have sufficient income, so it will be fully occupied without any problems. That has been our experience in this area. Our properties have increased in value over the past five years about 40%.

Go for it!

Paul, good to see someone from Maine being active here! :-) We're in Southern Maine (Biddeford, Sanford, Springvale, Kennebunk, Wells) area! Obviously Kennebunk and Wells are kind of out of reach but Sanford, Springvale and Biddeford are a bit more reasonable. This particular property was in Springvale. Unfortunately, the offer was rejected. I'm overall okay with it though. Gave me a practice run on analysis and other aspects of making an offer. 

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Patrick Shawn Faherty:

@Elena Casey consider running the numbers at the higher rate.

I did. They definitely looked bleaker (break-evenish) but then again I wasn't overly confident with my other assumptions. 

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Joe Marquardt:

@Elena Casey if you’re financing the purchase with a heloc, your heloc better have a rate lower than 8% which is your cash on cash return. If it doesn’t you’re losing money.

Thank you Joe. It is lower. It's between 5%-5.5%. I have a "lock" interest option. Effectively, I can convert the draw for a certain amount into a loan and pay it off at the current interest rate. It still leaves more for additional draws in the future. I can lock up to three times on the same HELOC.

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Dan H.:

I agree numbers do not tell the whole story.

First the positive, if that property was in my market and in a C class or better area with no significant deferred maintenance and no other issues, I buy it in a second. I suspect your vacancy estimate is high so that will help the cash flow. In general, smaller LL of smaller unit count structures have less vacancy than complexes with larger number of units. I doubt the vacancy rate in your area is as high as 10%, but even if it is I suspect you will have a lower vacancy rate. It is in part because the value of 5+ units is based on the NOI and therefore the value is maximized when the income is maximized and the expenses minimized. Higher rents is top way to maximize the income. They have more incentive to optimize rents that the <5 unit RE which should strive to minimize vacancies.

Now the bad, your maintenance/cap expense is too low.  I am not a fan of basing it off a percentage of rent.  You have ~$2600 allocated which is just over $100/unit per month.  That could suffice for a large unit count complexes but is going to be short on a duplex.   A water heater has an expense of ~$8/month (~$1100/12.5 (years)/12 (moths/yr)in my market.  I suspect this is close to what it is in your market.   So the water heater by itself is almost 10% of your allocation and a water heater is a low cost item.  Roofs, plumbing, electrical, foundations, kitchens, bathrooms, HVAC, and hardscape are costly.  The less expensive items also add up.  PM fees in most markets when including all charges is ~10% (not as low as 5%).

I think you have a fine first RE investment.  In addition, I suspect you will learn a lot and be in a position to have a great second RE investment.

Congrats.

Dan, 

Thank you! My offer did not get accepted so I'm back hunting. I will most definitely keep in mind both of your pieces of advice on the next one. You are absolutely right on the fact that the vacancy rate is probably overestimated because in reality there is not much available for rent in this area and it's in the most populated part of Maine. The reason capital expenditures were a bit lower was because the roof, the windows and other upgrades have been made within the past 16 yrs. I suspect one overestimate was offsetting the other underestimate. I see where you're coming from on estimating based on the actual cost rather than % or rent!

Thank you for your wisdom and taking the time to provide feedback! 

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Patrick Shawn Faherty:

@Elena Casey exactly what I was thinking on the Management fee. Also, that interest rate is the HELOC? is it fixed or moves with Prime?

Moves with prime. However, there is a "lock" option that converts it into a loan with the current interest rate. Depending on the length, it was between 5.15% and 5.5%

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Daryl Bennett:
Originally posted by @Elena Casey:

@Eva Neikirk wow! That's quite a story! You are brave!

Ours got declined :-( Wasn't meant to be...

Congrats, first one under the belt. And you can always go back in a few months to see it's status. 

Good job. An inspiration! 

 Thank you @Daryl Bennett. I think the most intimidating part is not knowing what I don't know. Being a newbie is definitely nerve-wracking because of self-doubt due to lack of mentorship or experience. :-) 

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Shailesh Pawar:
Originally posted by @Elena Casey:

@Eva Neikirk wow! That's quite a story! You are brave!

Ours got declined :-( Wasn't meant to be...

 Don't lose hope. It's better to make a decent sensible offer and get rejected than overpaying. The next time will be easier!

Good luck!

Thank you so very much @Shailesh Pawar! That actually made me feel better. 

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12

@Eva Neikirk wow! That's quite a story! You are brave!

Ours got declined :-( Wasn't meant to be...

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12

@Kriss Mann, Thank you for your kind words and your well wishes! :-)

Post: URGENT ANALYSIS HELP!!!

Elena CaseyPosted
  • Posts 44
  • Votes 12

PS: Thanks guys!