James, Home Runs are great. At this point I'm thinking a base hit would be better than striking out. Here's the details from one of the deals I'm letting get away.
$95,000 Assessed value $85,000-$90,000 Value after repairs, IMO $25,000 Everything else. Probably closer to $20,000, I added in a little for worse case.
I knew right off the bat the sellers wouldn't take anything close to the70% rule, so I skipped right past it and went for 10% profit. I figured If I sold it tomorrow:
$79,050 Sell price after realtor's fee. $85,000-7% realtor's commission=$79,050 worse case
$54,050 Break even using worse case. $79,050-$25,000 in expenses=$54,050 Break even
My first offer was $48,000. $48,000+25,000 in expenses my all-in would be $73,000. $73,000+10%=$80,300
The seller replied that $48,000 wouldn't cut it because in their mind the house is worth $90,000 fixed up and it would only take $15,000 to get it there. So I offered $50,000. The seller responded back that $50,000 wouldn't cut it. House has been vacant for 6 months, bank is getting ready to foreclose and I'm their only offer. The bank wants to do a short sale, seller wants to get the bank as much as possible because the bank is a not for profit that helps lower income families and the bank helped them get the loan.
My question: I'm very tempted to give a "best and final" offer of $53,000. In all honesty, the house would probably sell for closer to $90,000 and my all-in costs will probably be closer to $20,000.
So $90,000*.93 Realtor's Fees=$83,700-$20,000=$63,700.. More than likely at $53,000 I would still make $10,000 profit without doing any of the work.. But this doesn't factor in worse case scenarios.. Still a pretty good deal, but according to the big dogs this deal sucks.
My last part is this... If I'm hanging onto it as a rental and paid worse case $78,000 ($53,000+$25,000) for it that's still a pretty good deal and still 7% cheaper than buying anything on the MLS. Of course if I sold it, it would be a wash after paying the Commission, but since I'm keeping it as a rental a 7% discount isn't bad? At $53,000+20,000 I would be getting closer to a 15% discount compared to the MLS. If the house actually sold for $90,000 and I had $73,000 into it I would be getting close to a 19-20% discount off of the MLS. Not bad IMO, but it doesn't meet any of the "rules".
Thoughts? Would you pass on this house?