@Chris Seveney @Roy N. @Nathan Duncan @Nick L. @Christopher Telles @John Leavelle @Billy Guyette @Travis Lloyd @Nazz Wang @James Syed
Thank you all for your comments and help on this thread. I thought I would provide and update, as some time has passed.
I sat on this deal for a while and some other stuff came up in my life (had a kid, moved, etc), so I was a little distracted. I checked back in with the owner a few days ago and he said he had it under contract with someone. No big deal. Wasn't incredibly disappointed, as I had some concerns that I've expressed above. He called me back a few days later to tell me that the deal had fallen through while he was on the way to the settlement office. So its back on the table.
To answer some of the questions/concerns above...
@Roy N. - the $13,616 cash flow number that @John Leavelle came up with uses your NOI number of $24,456 that you listed earlier in the thread (thanks for calculating all of that, by the way). In that number I believe you included taxes (from my original list of expenses), as well as a 10% reserve for maintenance and a 10% reserve for CAPEX. So his cash flow numbers actually might be close if the assumptions hold up.
@James Syed - thanks for the tip. I had dinner with the owner and got copies of all of his utility bills for the last two years. His estimates check out to be accurate. Where he was being "optimistic" was the gross rent estimates. Building had been usually 20%-40% occupied over the past two years. He chalks it up to him having medical issues during those times and not being able to look for tenants (plausible). He currently does have 7/8 of the building occupied (at last check), so that is better. Although like I said before, the building seems to have high turnover which will hurt income.
@John Leavelle - The original building is quite old (want to say early 1900s). It was completely gutted and refinished by the current owner 10 years ago. The 2015 tax assessment was $129,300. I want to say each of the 8 units is around 800 sq ft. There were no obvious cosmetic repairs needed in the two units I looked at. Although if there are unruly tenants in there now, I can imagine that a few things would need to be fixed when the tenant turns over. I don't have a ton of cash to put into this (a few thousand), and would likely go in with another equity partner to provide most of the down payment money. Thanks for running the numbers. Yup, this one is for sale by owner. And I asked - he doesn't want to do seller financing, although he does own it outright.
@Billy Guyette @Travis Lloyd - thanks for your advice on the property management. I will do some extended due diligence there. All I've done so far are phone interviews.
If anyone else has any additional comments, thoughts, or advice, feel free to chime in!
Best, David