Skip to content
×
PRO
Pro Members Get Full Access!
Get off the sidelines and take action in real estate investing with BiggerPockets Pro. Our comprehensive suite of tools and resources minimize mistakes, support informed decisions, and propel you to success.
Advanced networking features
Market and Deal Finder tools
Property analysis calculators
Landlord Command Center
$0
TODAY
$69.00/month when billed monthly.
$32.50/month when billed annually.
7 day free trial. Cancel anytime
Already a Pro Member? Sign in here
Pick markets, find deals, analyze and manage properties. Try BiggerPockets PRO.
x
All Forum Categories
All Forum Categories
Followed Discussions
Followed Categories
Followed People
Followed Locations
Market News & Data
General Info
Real Estate Strategies
Landlording & Rental Properties
Real Estate Professionals
Financial, Tax, & Legal
Real Estate Classifieds
Reviews & Feedback

All Forum Posts by: Dan P.

Dan P. has started 5 posts and replied 33 times.

Post: Which markets still cash flow positive?

Dan P.Posted
  • Lender
  • Benicia, CA
  • Posts 33
  • Votes 8

This is gold, guys, love the input!

Post: Which markets still cash flow positive?

Dan P.Posted
  • Lender
  • Benicia, CA
  • Posts 33
  • Votes 8
Originally posted by @Tom Ott:
Originally posted by @Dan P.:

Thanks all! What midwest cities would you put at the top of your list?

 Well, I do not know about other cities, but I know Cleveland has been performing very well for the last few years!

 I am looking online at deals in Cleveland... am I missing something? There are multi-family units under $100k in pretty decent shape. How are these not snatched up right away? I can't imagine how they WOULDN'T cash flow!

Post: Which markets still cash flow positive?

Dan P.Posted
  • Lender
  • Benicia, CA
  • Posts 33
  • Votes 8

Thanks all! What midwest cities would you put at the top of your list?

Post: Which markets still cash flow positive?

Dan P.Posted
  • Lender
  • Benicia, CA
  • Posts 33
  • Votes 8

Hi BP world! I am looking to purchase my first residential multi-unit investment property, would prefer a tri-plex or 4-plex, but would be open to more units. I am located in the San Francisco Bay Area, and there is literally (close to) nothing that will cash flow positive right off the bat. I'd like to start investing, but I don't want to play the market timing game and potentially wait years until we see a dip in prices locally.

I have considered Fresno, Sacramento, and Phoenix because I am familiar with all of those areas. Any thoughts on those? What other markets should I be considering? Thanks in advance!

Post: Which markets still cash flow positive?

Dan P.Posted
  • Lender
  • Benicia, CA
  • Posts 33
  • Votes 8

Hi BP world! I am looking to purchase my first residential multi-unit investment property, would prefer a tri-plex or 4-plex, but would be open to more units. I am located in the San Francisco Bay Area, and there is literally (close to) nothing that will cash flow positive right off the bat. I'd like to start investing, but I don't want to play the market timing game and potentially wait years until we see a dip in prices locally.

I have considered Fresno, Sacramento, and Phoenix because I am familiar with all of those areas. Any thoughts on those? What other markets should I be considering? Thanks in advance!

Post: Analyze My Deal - think I already know the answer!

Dan P.Posted
  • Lender
  • Benicia, CA
  • Posts 33
  • Votes 8
Originally posted by @Thomas S.:

You missed one number in calculating the return and underestimated others..Since you have $100,000 of equity sitting dead in the property to accurately calculate your return you need to attribute a 3.75% return on the equity first. Money must earn it's keep.

3.75% return on $100,000 being $312.50 per month. This brings in your total monthly expenses on the property at $2067.22 not $1754.72.

As your equity increases through appreciation and principal pay down this number obviously increases. 

A property valued at $340,000 and rising with a measly rental income starting at $1700 will never cash flow positive. Many of your estimated expense numbers are way too low.

My estimate is you will be, in the long term, in the range of $1000 negative per month.  

Thanks for the feedback, Greg. I am thinking that selling, holding onto the money, and waiting for better market conditions to invest may be the way to go. Not only do SFRs seem impossible to cash flow here in the Bay Area, but multi-family properties are becomingly increasingly difficult as well. I want the numbers to work, but they rarely seem to.

Post: Analyze My Deal - think I already know the answer!

Dan P.Posted
  • Lender
  • Benicia, CA
  • Posts 33
  • Votes 8

Thanks guys! Just to clarify I was looking at a 4-plex as an investment property only - not looking to occupy one of the units. Great advice so far!

Post: Analyze My Deal - think I already know the answer!

Dan P.Posted
  • Lender
  • Benicia, CA
  • Posts 33
  • Votes 8

Hey Everyone,

I am a residential mortgage lender taking my first dive into real estate investing. My main focus is cash flow to grow long-term passive income. I have always wanted to buy a 4-plex as my first investment property, but now I am analyzing another option. I currently owner-occupy my SFR in the SF Bay Area, and am trying to decide whether to turn it into a rental or sell it. I purchased it in 2014 with an FHA loan, and I plan on living here another 12-18 months before buying a new primary residence.

I could refinance into a 3.75% conventional and drop the PMI - current balance is $238k and value is right around $340k.

The numbers would look like this:

Total operating expenses: $652.50Mortgage expenses: $1,102.22
Vacancy:$85.00Repairs:$85.00
CapEx:$136.00Water:$30.00
Garbage:$30.00Insurance:$48.00
P&I:$1,102.22Property Taxes:$238.50

The mortgage plus all expenses comes out to $1754.72, and I could probably rent it out for about $1700 today. Now I know I don't cash flow positive off the bat, but I am trying to determine if this would be a good long-term investment with the way rents are trending in the Bay Area. I assumed a 5% income (rent) increase per year, 3% property value increase per year, and 3% expense increase per year.

Using these numbers, the BP calc shows that I would be cash flowing $150/mo by year 4 and $700/mo by year 10. Is that worth it?

Do my numbers look ridiculous? Does this look like a potential deal, or am I forcing it? Or should I sell it and keep the cash towards a multi-family property in the future?

Any feedback is welcomed, and I thank you in advance!

Ken Lee with Michael James Real Estate! I will message you his contact info. If you have any questions regarding lending, I'd be happy to help with that as well.

Post: Looking for a real estate agent

Dan P.Posted
  • Lender
  • Benicia, CA
  • Posts 33
  • Votes 8

I know a couple of great agents in Sacramento and Fresno. Also, I am more than happy to help out with any lending questions you may have!