$2.415M Purchase Price
Down Payment: $750k (including closing costs)
70% LTV
Area: C but gentrifying
Condition: B-
Potentially subject to LA COUNTY RENT CONTROL 3% cap. But historically raising 6-10% annually.
Rental Revenue (At Market)= $195k Annual (excluding vacancies/bad debt/concessions)
Vacancies: 5%
Bad Debt assumption: 1%
Concessions: 0.5%
I am assuming that expenses are running:
12k for property management
30k for taxes
10k for maintenance and repairs
6k for insurance
7k for utilities (not reimbursed)
4k reserves
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69k total expenses
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Net operating income: 116k
After debt service and capex reserves, I am assuming net income would be around 5k annual for the first year. Going up thereafter.
I am concerned with
1) Do these cash flows make sense at all? Considering it is in CA. CoC = 1-2% to start with with a conservative Pro-Forma.
2) The minute the rent control comes into place the deal starts to make no sense.
3) There is a value add play to create 2 new studio's here- ADU's in garages. Additional $1600 per month rent per ADU. I dont know if the city will ever block these.