Once again, super thank you for the feedback!
I am not going this 100% alone. My agent is a seasoned land developer in this area for decades. She has even suggested to a developer associate of hers to come in as a small partner with me to "mentor" me through the process.
It is funny how the numbers you've just mocked up almost mirror my numbers! That pleases me that my estimations aren't too far off.
One place your estimates are different from mine is the timeline. The market here is very hot (lots of positive pressure from out of state people moving in). Right now it is almost impossible to find a lot to build on. So, I estimate I should be able to complete this whole project in something more like a 3 year timeline.
It is painfully obvious that I can't afford to develop out the whole subdivision in one go. I'll have to do phases. I noticed you didn't mention that. Any reasoning why? I should have been more exacting in my original post as I think this is where my question is focused. Yes, the whole subdivision will cost $1.5-$2.0 million but that can be handled in phases methinks. Or are you trying to tell me that I have to do it whole hog and I'm just to dense to pick it up. :-)
As an aside, I've *just* learned that the Seller has agreed to my offer! Now is the time for me to dig deep into the due diligence!!! Wish me luck! (And thank you for the advice and conversation. I'm TOTALLY open to more discussion on this!)