@John Leavelle Thanks for your thoughtful response! Lots of good information here. I'll be the first to tell you I'm not sure what I'm doing, so I could be overlooking a lot. For example, you're totally right about the mortgage calculations; I was assuming rates and terms for a SFH. I've taken an action item to read up on commercial loan rates and terms, thanks to you!
As for my expense data, $2376 breaks down as follows:
$300 - Water/Sewer (~$40/mo/unit)
$140 - Garbage ($20/m/u)
$70 - Insurance
$497 - Prop. Tax (listing claims ~$5900 annual, ~3%)
$20 - Landscaping/Snow
$284 - Vacancy (8%)
$284 - Repairs (8%)
$355 - CapEx (10%)
$426 - Prop. Mgmt (12%)
As for "good value" rents, I was comparing my rent numbers to the rentometer site @Ramon Jenkins introduced me to. The site is geared toward renters, so a "good deal" is a deal much lower than market rate. The average rent in the surrounding units was at least $100/unit higher than my estimated rents.
The square footage of the property is not in any of the listings I could find. Milwaukee City Assessor's office doesn't seem to offer property attributes for parcels listed as mercantile apartments.
The $25K rehab cost is the roughest swag in this entire calculation, in my opinion. I have a few interior/exterior pictures to go off, the google maps images, and not much else. I don't have a sense of rehab costs in this area, but all the pictures suggest the unit will need at least a new roof and aesthetic rehab, wiring, new appliances for all the pictured units.
Further, the listing claims 6 slots of off-street parking but no pictures. It's a huge question mark for me. Is there a parking structure? Paved? What is the condition? So, I tried to be pessimistic with my numbers here. I worry I might have to get a contractor's estimate to get a better feel for this number.
Can you share any experience on calculating rehab costs for remote properties? Any advice here would be immensely helpful.
Overall the feedback I'm getting is that the margins on this property are slim. I agree with the $100 rehab'd to $200 cash flow numbers. This seems especially reasonable for a remote property with a lot of cash invested.
Thanks for all the excellent feedback!