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All Forum Posts by: Daniel Maciag

Daniel Maciag has started 8 posts and replied 26 times.

Post: Advice on living in hood

Daniel MaciagPosted
  • Posts 26
  • Votes 2

@John Hickey Would you get legal 2 Family for 550k in hood, or big small family for 380k and convert it 2/3 fam over 1 year?

Post: Where are the houses...

Daniel MaciagPosted
  • Posts 26
  • Votes 2

I checked those and I literally see nothing. This is strange because it shows so many properties sold a year ago but this year, close to nothing. I have no idea what is going on.

Post: Where are the houses...

Daniel MaciagPosted
  • Posts 26
  • Votes 2

Is it just me or is their no inventory?

I'm looking at Zillow in some new York City areas of my choice and there is absolutely nothing for sale for a price even 20% over the zestimate. Absolutely nothing. I've been looking for six plus months and zero findings. Even on MLS there is nothing. I see some houses sold but I never saw them on sale on Zillow or mls. Could I be missing something or is there a hidden map of them where I can buy?

Post: Advice on living in hood

Daniel MaciagPosted
  • Posts 26
  • Votes 2

@John Hickey are you primarily in high cap or high appreciation areas, or mix of both?

Supposed one has, 100k saved up. Wouldn't it make sense to buy in undervalued areas close to big money cities like SF, NYC?

The breakdown would be: 10% down payment on a 350k MF house, ofc not in SF, and maybe 20k in gold for insurance. You still have like 45k in cash and are protected against downside.

Post: Advice on living in hood

Daniel MaciagPosted
  • Posts 26
  • Votes 2

Thanks all for the tips. I dont mind people doing drugs on my block as long as they don't shoot me. The bullets is what worries me, not skin color.

Post: Advice on living in hood

Daniel MaciagPosted
  • Posts 26
  • Votes 2

I am thinking about buying a 3 Unit MF house within 1 hour of train/bus commute to NYC for about 300-400k. The issue is, this is in the hood. I plan on being in and out within 2 years of renovation and renting out everything, and staying in basement before I find another deal in a safe area.

I figured, the market cant go lower in this area as it's already low, and even if it goes lower, the downside is dwarfed by the long term potential upside due to spacing issues in the city.

The question is, during these two years, what do I bring with me to work/home? Do I carry a pocket knife (not pun) or attend a Martial Arts class (pun)? The safety rating on trulia is about 45-50% for this area, so it's not like im buying in detroit or hunts point where you can't walk down the street. I don't plan on returning home late, but if I do, I'd be sure to drive out the garage through back door. 

If anyone has experiences doing this, any feedback will be good. I can run fast but I'm not willing to take a bullet. I'm eastern european (slav) and am medium height and fairly athletic, but not bodybuilder and definitely not bulletproof.

Originally posted by @Alvin Sylvain:
Originally posted by @Daniel Maciag:
Originally posted by @Alvin Sylvain:
Originally posted by @Daniel Maciag:
Originally posted by @Matt Smith:

I'm anticipating a 2× to 4x increase in price within the next 3-5 yrs. Call me crazy, but after record money printing and slow lending, we might not be in for another crash anytime soon. Consider construction stops during the last crash, the lack of bank lending, the lack of present day private lending (playing too safe and requiring returns that won't make sense for investors), the lack of deals due to all the foreclosures drying up, inflation in everything else from groceries to building material, and the destruction of tens of thousands of homes from natural disasters...from a supply demand stance we'll be seeing some rising prices. Plus, interest rates will rise, new election gov't will pressure banks to make easy loans, and buyers will flood market with newly lent money that banks have been sitting on. Of course I could be wrong, but...time will tell.  If you're a new investor, play it safe by acquiring deals only, and hold. A deal is 35%-45% off lust price retail. If you're not seeing that in your area, then consider value add opportunities in commercial where you're getting the deep discount, but have proactive plan to increase value by 20%-30% over retail pricing. I'd say hold what you have if possible, and buy very low where it makes sense. Good luck.

 Alright, following that logic, how am I supposed to find those discount deals on Multi Family properties in NYC. Properties in SF and Seattle are tanking as we speak, but sellers are just taking their houses off the market, leaving supply low.

Should I give up and just buy whatever the asking price is and let it eat half my income?

You aren't really expecting anybody here to answer, "YES", are you?

I'd suggest looking into rehabs and foreclosures. So long as people continue to let their homes fall into horrible disrepair, there will be a market for somebody to hold their nose, take it off their hands, fix it up and flip it.

Also, don't forget, NYC, SF and Seattle aren't the only games in town.

Is a mortgage on a foreclosure or short sale in NYC doable? I thought that this process has high uncertainty (if it's even allowed), and can take up to a year to get approved. I have no idea what to do here or who to ask.

A short sale can be a problem, as it requires lender approval and there are dozens of avenues the owner can take to make the investor's life difficult.

A foreclosure auction, the lender has already taken title away. All you need to do is compete against other investors, and possibly perform the eviction. Of course, if you win the auction, you'll very likely need to fix the place up.

HUD foreclosures are nice that way. The government will have already evicted the previous owner. The property will still need fix-up, though.

Also, I'll remind you again, if the NYC market sucks, try a different market. Nothing says you must invest nearby. Lots of investors live in investor hostile areas but invest in investor friendly areas. I hear Texas is good right now.

The thing to do now, since you've joined BiggerPockets (affectionately known as "BP"), is to enter some choice search terms next to that little magnifying glass up towards the top of the page. BP has got thousands of knowledgeable participants, hundreds of forums to ask and answer questions, and dozens of webinars, podcasts, and the like where information is freely available.

You've come to the right place, Grasshopper!

 I hear you on all of this. My question remains. Can I take out a mortgage on foreclosure properties?  I don't have 300-400k laying around. A mortgage is an absolute must. I can TLC, I can evict. I just don't want to buy a 200k over market price property when shortsales/foreclosures are literally half the price. I don't mind even paying market value for these foreclosures/ short sales but they MUST be mortgaged. Do you know if they can? If not, then I'm running in circles. NYC is an absolute must for me and I am not interested in anything else at the moment. Thank you for your input. 

Originally posted by @Alvin Sylvain:
Originally posted by @Daniel Maciag:
Originally posted by @Matt Smith:

I'm anticipating a 2× to 4x increase in price within the next 3-5 yrs. Call me crazy, but after record money printing and slow lending, we might not be in for another crash anytime soon. Consider construction stops during the last crash, the lack of bank lending, the lack of present day private lending (playing too safe and requiring returns that won't make sense for investors), the lack of deals due to all the foreclosures drying up, inflation in everything else from groceries to building material, and the destruction of tens of thousands of homes from natural disasters...from a supply demand stance we'll be seeing some rising prices. Plus, interest rates will rise, new election gov't will pressure banks to make easy loans, and buyers will flood market with newly lent money that banks have been sitting on. Of course I could be wrong, but...time will tell.  If you're a new investor, play it safe by acquiring deals only, and hold. A deal is 35%-45% off lust price retail. If you're not seeing that in your area, then consider value add opportunities in commercial where you're getting the deep discount, but have proactive plan to increase value by 20%-30% over retail pricing. I'd say hold what you have if possible, and buy very low where it makes sense. Good luck.

 Alright, following that logic, how am I supposed to find those discount deals on Multi Family properties in NYC. Properties in SF and Seattle are tanking as we speak, but sellers are just taking their houses off the market, leaving supply low.

Should I give up and just buy whatever the asking price is and let it eat half my income?

You aren't really expecting anybody here to answer, "YES", are you?

I'd suggest looking into rehabs and foreclosures. So long as people continue to let their homes fall into horrible disrepair, there will be a market for somebody to hold their nose, take it off their hands, fix it up and flip it.

Also, don't forget, NYC, SF and Seattle aren't the only games in town.

Is a mortgage on a foreclosure or short sale in NYC doable? I thought that this process has high uncertainty (if it's even allowed), and can take up to a year to get approved. I have no idea what to do here or who to ask.

Post: Consider This Scenario

Daniel MaciagPosted
  • Posts 26
  • Votes 2

Consider the following scenario, presented by a question.

Buyer 1 and Buyer 2 live in a low supply high demand multi family housing area. There are only 2 MF houses in this area. MF1 is priced at 1m and MF2 is priced also at 1m, except MF1 is a slightly better looking house.

Buyer 1 figures that he can afford MF1 without going over 30% of his income as to use the remaining 70% for savings in case something goes wrong. He has a relatively stable job and has a good chance of paying off the loan in 30 years. Buyer 1 makes the offer for MF1 of 1 million. Buyer 2 comes in and has zero sense of the state of the economy, works at a highly leveraged junk start up that is about to go lehman. Buyer 2 insists on throwing 45% of his income into a monthly ARM floating rate mortgage in 2016 and offers 1.2M. Buyer 1 receives this information and is asked if he is willing to offer more and realizes that it will cause high default chances if something goes even slightly wrong, and rationally says no.

The other seller in the area raises price of MF2 based on the fact that MF1 sold for 20% over asking price. MF2 is now on sale for 1.2M. Buyer 1 cannot buy MF2 and is upset. Buyer 1 goes about his payments and see's his mortgage rising since he wasn't aware that the FED is raising rates for the next 3+ years. He see's his house price drop, mortgage rise, loses his job and defaults on the loan. MF2 is still the only house on the market as most lenders won't let you finance a foreclosed MF1.

What does buyer 1 do to have a roof of his/her head?