I disagree, I sold through up and through the crash of 2008. The environment was different. First, there was an oversuppyl of housing in the market, today there is a housing shortage. The lending standards led to the last crash. To fix the government killed lending with the Dodd-Frank legislation that kept changing the rules on lenders so no one could get mortgages.
Today, banks and the government are working with people to get through this, not in 2008. Forbearance on all Fannie Mae loans have agreed to add the missed payments onto the END of the loan, not a lump sump up front.
The interest rates are record lows, and heading lower to spur on incentive.
Jobs create demand for housing. The unemployment figure is not as bad as it looks, most people will go back to work. There are going to be a lot of businesses that go under. Those assets remain, and will likely be sold off at discounts and reopened under new ownership and names.
The supply chain has been forever altered during this crisis. That means many of the manufacturing jobs overseas are heading back to the US. Medical and PPP has already ramped up production here.
Look at markets that have low taxes and incentives for manufacturing to open up combined with a good labor force - I think we will see a surge in manufacturing reshoring in the next year to two years. Jobs create demand for housing.
The concern I do have is how long these states stay shut down, this can drag out to the point of no return. I also have concern who will win the next election, that could fundamentally change the ground rules.