Hi All, thanks so much! I am so glad to hear from all these informative replies. We really appreciate it.
Yes, what you all said make sense. We plan to sell the rural condo next year when the current tenant ends her lease. It is not possible to sell it when there is a tenant in it since even vacant ones are on market for months to be sold. We hope she will be willing to move out on time...God bless. We are inexperienced landlords and hope we would not get into much difficulty in that process.
Yes, we are focusing on Medford and Somerville. Thanks for your input in Malden. We are still a little hesitant.
Let's say, IF we have the money (this is too much a prerequisite), we spend up to $720K in a two family in Medford or Watertown now. That is the current conventional loan limit for 2 family, which is $543K, divided by 75%. That is the maximum usage of cash to get the most loan, in my eyes. I do not know other non-conventional loan means.
For a $543K loan, we will get about cash flow even in the current renting market in Medford or Watertown. It would be better in Somerville, but even less chance to find such deals.
In 5 years, the tenants help to pay about $50K equity in the property. These three towns - Watertown Medford and Somerville will likely see some appreciation in the coming years, slow or fast. Then it is possible that one would expect about $80-100K rise of value in the 2 family.
It is still possible to get a three family MF in Malden with the price range of $720K-$800K. The cash flow will be about $1500/month. However, I doubt Malden will see much appreciation comparing with the above three towns.
The above is all based on expectation that the economics continue to be strong.
Let's say secondly, the opposite, we may have another blow of 2008. We bought the rural condo just before the downturn started. My impression was that the property price in places closer to boston, like Brighton, Brookline etc, actually did not drop much. It just stopped growing for a while and then starts to grow crazily again. If the market crashes, I think Malden may crash faster than Medford and Watertown - Just my gut feeling.
About flipping house, yes, it is a fast way to realize the appreciation of value and may be less risky than long-term holders in some ways. However, you have to have a lot of cash to do it. You have to have the downpay of 25%, the money to pay mortgage during renovation, and the renovation money too. And you have to hold it for a year to sell. And you have to go through legal documents to convert a MF to condos. And then you have to sell it while the market is still hot - However, that is just through my narrow angle of view...haha.
Thanks for listening.