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All Forum Posts by: Clayton W McGehee

Clayton W McGehee has started 3 posts and replied 20 times.

Originally posted by @Steve Vaughan:

Regarding RE leverage vs buying outright.  I have both and here are my findings.

The ROE/COC of my non-leveraged assets is right around 7.3%. Most of these started as leveraged but I paid them off strategically and on purpose because of the unfavorable commercial terms, higher seller-financed risk or old higher rate commercial mortgages above 6.5%. I keep fixed long term loans with rates below 6%.

The COC of my leveraged assets is usually in the high teens like 17%. Some 22, some 12. I wasn't chasing COC, but that's how they worked out. I haven't sold below an IRR of 20% yet and I haven't only been investing since 2010 like half the podcast guests. This is pre and through the GRC.

So, a good purchase (Most important thing) bought with good leverage will definitely magnify returns.  A bad purchase will suck with leverage or without.  If using cash, get a big discount.  I have found the best discounts by buying odd or otherwise non-bankable properties, then making them so.  Equity bumps avg 50% when your future buying pool increases 100x.

I appreciate your thoughtful response and I do agree that mortgaging a home can and more than likely will have a better return percentage. I want to be very conservative on my first 2 or 3 homes and once I get that income coming in that will be pure profit every month that will give me the flexibility to mortgage homes in the future if I choose to with limited risk. I am intending to buy a fixer upper home that is in needs of updating and repair and take full advantage of the skill sets of  my father who has already agreed to help me. Luckily homes like this come cheap in my area.

I am not sure of your feelings on my strategy but I really do feel that every investor has to go their own way. If you have anymore constructive to add I would be really glad to hear it. 

Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:

...and speaking for the "rest of us" you've lumped yourself with, please don't...include yourself with the "rest of us" that is. The "rest of us" that you've included yourself with, would build their knowledge base (here and elsewhere) before they started investing...and not build it through "trial and error". If you believe "trial and error" is the main path to knowledge in REI, you should stay as far away from REI as possible.

 If you believe you can understand all of the nuances of real estate investing from a book or a forum I do not know what to tell you. There is NO REPLACEMENT in life for doing the real thing. You are not going to completely understand what it requires to renovate a home, be a landlord, etc. etc. Until you buy that first home and do it. You really seem to quick to judge people's methods who do not believe in what you think. I am kindly asking you not to respond again we are NEVER going to agree. You have NO idea how successful or unsuccessful I may become. Only thing I can tell you is I have a strong track record in my previous investments. Now please let this thread go and have a nice day/life. We have been talking about this and you completely derailed the point of the thread. 

Originally posted by @Steve Vaughan:

Yes you are correct on MLPs. But the MLP ETFs do not require you to fill out a K1. The downside is you pay more in fees on those ETFs that a typical ETF but you get higher yields

Originally posted by @Adam Mitchell:

@Clayton W McGehee

Your plan is great for you. Buy a house for cash and then buy another one in 10 years...fast forward 40 years and you will have 4-6 rent houses free and clear. Not bad.

However anyone reading this Not want to be an average investor like Clayton learn how to leverage Real Estate debt. It is the only debt you should have and I agree with Joe....it is how you become wealthy in real estate.

 Nah. I will own far more than that. I will be buying at least 1 a year going forward in 3-6 months I will be buying one. Fast forward 1 year I will buy a 2nd. Fast forward 6-8 months 3. 

I've already done the math and I am sure it will not go quite as well as I hope but 4-6 in 40 years is out of the question lol. Will be WAY higher. 

Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:

You're not really understanding what I'm saying, mainly because you've already made up your mind (and that's fine...I'm not trying to change it).  Best of luck.  I'll leave you with this truth.  Investing in real estate is not like investing in other types of investments.  REI offers opportunities that other investments don't.  When you apply generic knowledge and principles to REI, you are missing out on those opportunities.

 I can accept your answer, but what you are failing to see as well is we have no idea where the housing market will be in 5 years. If there is no serious problems in the next 15 or so years you could absolutely be correct that your method is superior. But if there is another serious housing crash (let's not forget it's only been a little over 10 years since the last one) then having a mortgage could completely screw your investment. I don't pretend to have the foresight to predict the market so I choose a more conservative route. 

I do sincerely want to thank you though. I know you are only trying to help and I appreciate it. When it comes to investing though everyone needs to follow their own path. 

You don't understand REI at all. It's not that you are making false statements. The problem is you don't understand how to control the risks you mentioned...and that if you buy correctly (which if you understand how to analyze markets), the mortgage on the house isn't an issue...it's a plus...in many ways.

If there's another housing crash, it impacts all investments...not just RE.  If you buy right, a housing crash only impacts properties not bought correctly.  Also, a housing crash usually means less buyers and more renters.

If you were on here longer, you probably would not be telling me that I "...fail to see...we have no idea of what the housing market will do...".  You would be familiar with some of the things I've written here, and would know I fully understand that.

It's about control. REI is the the investment vehicle that offers the investor the most control...both in the beginning when you get in, as well as when you own.

Let me ask you a couple of questions:

1 -  If you put $100k into any one of the other investments you like, or into RE rental, what are the value of those investments?  

2 - Can you predict what the value of any of those investments ares?...will be 5 years from now?...15 yrs from now?

3 - How many times can you invest the same $100k at the same time?

4 - If the face value of any of the investments goes down by 10%, how does that impact the cash income for those investments?

 1. If I invested 100k the way I am currently I would make roughly 10k a year in my passive investments and probably 25-30k in active investments

2. I can say with near certainty my passive investments would not change much. My active investments do better in a bad economy.

3. Once

4. Luckily the majority of my investments are protected from losing face value. They simply can not do it, but it is possible I would have to withdrawal those investments and place them elsewhere in a bad economy.

I honestly do believe you could weather a housing crisis as your knowledge on housing is very substantial. But the only way the rest of us are going to get to that point is through trial and error no amount of book reading or reading this forum will prepare inexperienced real estate investors for a housing crash. 

Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:

You're not really understanding what I'm saying, mainly because you've already made up your mind (and that's fine...I'm not trying to change it). Best of luck. I'll leave you with this truth. Investing in real estate is not like investing in other types of investments. REI offers opportunities that other investments don't. When you apply generic knowledge and principles to REI, you are missing out on those opportunities.

 I can accept your answer, but what you are failing to see as well is we have no idea where the housing market will be in 5 years. If there is no serious problems in the next 15 or so years you could absolutely be correct that your method is superior. But if there is another serious housing crash (let's not forget it's only been a little over 10 years since the last one) then having a mortgage could completely screw your investment. I don't pretend to have the foresight to predict the market so I choose a more conservative route. 

I do sincerely want to thank you though. I know you are only trying to help and I appreciate it. When it comes to investing though everyone needs to follow their own path. 

Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:

My suggestion to you is to learn how to invest...not play it safe. There's a difference between the two. If you want to be a REI, you have top learn how...and not be afraid of what you don't know. Learn how to control the risk you are afraid of.

Learn the difference between debt and leverage.

Learn what "cost to you" means.

Learn that you can't compare a mortgage on your own home, vs a mortgage on an investment home.  They are hugely different in many, many ways.

Learn the big three:

1 - Market Analysis

2 - How Money Works

3 - Learn what is, and how to design and stay with, your REI plan.

I hate to tell you this, but most of the statements you've made are backwards.  To start with, "spending" all your cash on one property, especially when you're starting out, is foolish...and more dangerous than only spending the down payment.

 I can agree with a lot of what you said, but buying a property outright is not dangerous at all. If it doesn't pan out as a rental property I could choose to live in the property or I could sell it and get at minimum 80% of my money back honestly I could flip whatever I bought if I choose too. I'm going to add tremendously to the value of it through my labor. 

I'm already very familiar with how money works and investing in general. I've made thousands off of investments and currently make about 6$ a day just in interest on my "liquid" money. Being conservative is going to win the race more times than not. The Warren Buffett mentality is the correct mentality for investors to take for the most part. People are always trying to beat the markets and think they have the foresight to know the future better than everyone else sometimes slow and steady is the way to go.

Nothing you can say is going to change my opinion on these matters. I have read several books on real estate investing several times as well as the one written that was sponsored by this website. I take the information I like and leave the information I do not. When investing everyone has to follow their own path. Will you be a better investor than me or will I be better than you? I do not know and really do not care I know where I am going and have been successful so far. I appreciate your interest in my post. I am just looking for information on two types of investment I have never done before such as the 2 I mentioned in the first post.

Edit: I won't be spending anywhere close to all of my money. I have multiple investments that will continue to accrue money. That is kinda the point of this article to start another one on top of what I have. 

Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:
Originally posted by @Clayton W McGehee:

A bad housing market is a GREAT time to buy for the future and if we were in a bad market currently I would probably consider that strategy as well. But taking out loans for investments while it can be quite lucrative has ruined many investors. Especially inexperienced investors. 

For instance my parents who have a mortgage on their home were supposed to have a payment of like 600$ a month but due to an error from the mortgage company the taxes where not included into the bill for the first year like it was supposed to be and they said it was. So now my parents current payment is over 900$ until those taxes are paid off luckily this will only be until the end of the year but there is quite a bit that can go wrong in the wonderful world of mortgages and encouraging young inexperienced investors to just pay the down payment and deal with the future as it comes is a recipe for a lot financial issues. 

 What is your background/experience in real estate investing and/or in the mortgage industry?

 Very little to be honest. I'm in the beginning steps of real estate investing. But I feel that is more reason to play it safe. 

A bad housing market is a GREAT time to buy for the future and if we were in a bad market currently I would probably consider that strategy as well. But taking out loans for investments while it can be quite lucrative has ruined many investors. Especially inexperienced investors. 

For instance my parents who have a mortgage on their home were supposed to have a payment of like 600$ a month but due to an error from the mortgage company the taxes where not included into the bill for the first year like it was supposed to be and they said it was. So now my parents current payment is over 900$ until those taxes are paid off luckily this will only be until the end of the year but there is quite a bit that can go wrong in the wonderful world of mortgages and encouraging young inexperienced investors to just pay the down payment and deal with the future as it comes is a recipe for a lot financial issues. 

Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:

You say, "I will be able to buy a home completely outright with no loan whatsoever hopefully within the next 6 months" like it's a good thing.  Why would you want to spend full price on a house, when you don't have to?  You're tenant (as long as you are cash flow positive) will be paying everything over the down payment (all you need to spend) for you.  Why help them?  You realize you don't start making a profit until you've recovered all the money you spend...right?

 Let's say you get a mortgage and their is another housing crisis in the time frame you take that mortgage and you can no longer rent it out for the cost of that mortgage then you have to take funds out of your household to pay for it or even worse you can not afford it and have to let it go then you ruin your credit and you lose everything you put into it. Me with my home paid for even in a bad market I still own the property and can wait for it to go back up again. 

With that said it will take me 3-4 years to get my money back out of the home which is a reasonable horizon. Will likely be able to pay off a 2nd home within 1.5-2 years. Luckily real estate is pretty cheap where I live.

Taking out a mortgage for real estate is foolish unless you are fairly wealthy and can easily weather it not being rented out/rented out for cheaper than it really should be. Once I get a couple of homes paid for completely I would probably consider that strategy.