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All Forum Posts by: Chris Cantrell

Chris Cantrell has started 8 posts and replied 22 times.

Post: Airdna Data Accuracy + Example

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4

Hi All,

I am building up a short term rental portfolio. I have seen various posts praising and critiquing different STR revenue estimators (Airdna, Mashvisor, etc.)

I am getting some value from Airdna but there are specific recurring issues which leave me confused. Curious if anyone else is encountering.


Common "error":

Stats from Airdna

  -Property Average daily = $120

  -Occupancy = 70%

  -Annual Revenue = $20k


You would expect $120 x 365 x 70% = Annual revenue however it calculates to ~$30k (not $20k) AND this is supposed to include cleaning fees.

This disconnect is present on way too many listings to mark it up to "calendar is mostly blocked."

Either Airdna is using hidden assumption or providing extremely poor data.

How exactly is their revenue calculated? 

Thanks!

-Chris

Post: How reliable is Airdna?

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4

Airdna is either super wrong or has unstated assumptions. Every listing on Airdna has the following info...

1) Annual Revenue

2) Occupancy Rate

3) Average Daily Rate

You would expect Annual Revenue = Occupancy Rate * Average Daily Rate.


However this is almost never true and technically Airdna is including cleaning fees in the revenue! (should make it higher)

For example (and this is not an outlier) Revenue = ~$20k, Occupancy = 75%, and average daily rate = $110.

$110*75%*365 = $30k estimated revenue.

Listed revenue is $20k. This is a $10k+ disconnect.

The basic stats seem wrong. Am I missing something?

Post: Expanding STR business

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4
Hi @Julia Bykhovskaia, do you know if your friends with 10+ properties counted their STR income on their financing? I am looking for a creative solution to get around the 2 year freelancing income rule.

Thanks
Chris

Post: Out of State Investing (Memphis)

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4

All!

Looking at investing in Memphis as an out of state investor. Have a $200k cash for BRRRR.

Currently living in owner occupied Duplex in Pacific Northwest

I am targeting purchasing 5-10 SFH/MFH over the next year near downtown Memphis. Also, will be analyzing Airbnb income vs traditional rental.

I am open to partnering on deals if it makes sense.

I appreciate any and all advice on Memphis and could DEFINITELY use referrals (see below) .


Referrals Needed: 

1) General Contractor

2) Real Estate Agent

3) Broker

4) Property Manager

Cheers,

Chris

Post: Best online resources to research area

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4

Hey Shane,

I actually don't have much to contribute to this list but I wanted to thank you for posting your list. It was quite helpful!

-Chris

Post: Trading Mortgage Points for Cash Credit

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4
@Matt Devincenzo:

This is essentially what I was thinking. GJ spelling it out. If the property is still going to cash flow, why not reinvest the dollars at a higher interest rate?

Can someone offer a critique of this strategy? I am guessing there is some kind of break-even point. For an extreme example, (theoretically), if I were to go for a 5% interest rate and get (guessing) 8k in hand the property may or may not now cash flow.

With the 8k on hand I could be well on my way to another down payment. Hmm...

Post: Trading Mortgage Points for Cash Credit

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4

I am planning on holding for the long term. It is a 30yr note.

Post: Trading Mortgage Points for Cash Credit

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4

Hello,

I am selecting my financing for my first duplex. Currently my best option is 4.5% with all lender closing costs waived (due to my company relocation package).

Here is the question. If I go with 4.625% I can get a credit of $1100 and 4.75% will get me a $2400 credit. I am looking to purchase another property in the near future and have some other business ideas so cash in hand could be valuable in the future. Going from 4.5% > 4.75% increases the monthly payment by ~$20

What decision would you make?

Post: Out of country for Inspection + Closing

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4

I have located a property which fits my criteria and I think I can get the owner down from 325k to 300k.

One possible issue is that I will be travelling for a month (out of country) starting Sunday. I want to be present for the inspection, however my attendance is impossible.

As a first time buyer, I am concerned that I will miss valuable experience by not being present at the inspection.

I would appreciate any tips/concerns for closing on a property remotely.

Post: Everett Mother-In-Law suite

Chris CantrellPosted
  • Investor
  • Everett, WA
  • Posts 22
  • Votes 4

I am looking at purchasing a property with a large mother-in-law suite. The property is not currently zoned a multi-family, however I see in the market that many people rent out their MIL suites.

It is stated on the MLS that this MIL unit is usually rented out, and I see evidence that it is a common practice in the area.

Should I go for it? I am only interested in the MIL suite for rental income.