Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
@Chase Gochnauer that's my exact point your STUCK.. small value assets are hard to sell.. in non appreciating markets.. and harder to 1031 since you have so little money coming out of them.
Also the major issue is many folks have no experience being landlords become landlords and don't care for it.. so it really does not matter they just want out... I know I fund a whole heck of a lot of burned out landlord transactions for my teams in 14 states.. I see the huds.. LOL..
and those folks don't post on BP.. on BP its all blue sky rentals are the way to financial freedom quit your day job.. live the life you deserve etc etc.. well for some for sure.. for many NOPE.. they are like why did I do that.. and they exit no matter the loss.
now this is more prevelant in the lower value asset markets.. not all markets are like this.
But I look at when I started hard money lending in 01 for turn key and I started in Detroit.. the homes there appraised at that time for 120 to 140 each rented for what they rent for today 800 to 900 in those days the .05% rule was fine.. we loan 80k as a HML .. well those homes tanked as you probably know many went down to less than 10k in value.. thankfully the 200 plus I did there I got refinanced out of them all. but you know long term lender lost their lunch and so did most of the investors in those days.
I am not prediciting another major meltdown.. but even break even is not a good position to be in with rental properties in my humble opinion the risk/reward and hassle factor just weights on you.. but I know I am in the VAST minority in my thinking.
So my thought is you really need to get these things paid for and keep them forever.. but life happens and I would say 80% of people that have that thought process going in never make it past about 7 or 8 years.
Very true. I suppose I have the mentality that I'm in it for the long haul, and being only 32 that makes sense for me.
I'm in Iowa, Midwest market, I wouldn't say no apprecation, but it's not like the coastal areas. Most of my smaller value properties have been rehabs that I held, BRRR basically. So I'm into a property mentioned above for $60-80k out of pocket and it's rehabbed, so low risk for capex surprises for awhile and I have no cash in the deal once I refi. This is really the only way to do it in my book. Buying a property at market value that still has the potential for some cap ex items just doesn't make much sense. A lot of part-time landlords aren't wanting a property they have to rehab, though.
I'm sure there will be a correction at some point, but not as severe. The types of loans being given out now aren't nearly as crazy as they were. Stated income, huge cash back at closing essentially buying a 20% down property with no money down, appraisals inflated to the moon, etc. Being in the Midwest, I don't believe a downturn here would not be enough to make me be upside down on an 80% LTV loan, in my opinion. Maybe breakeven, but I don't know that I'd go upside down. Even if I did, I think rents would still support my debt. Besides, my other business is maintaining foreclosed properties so I'm hedged well :)