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All Forum Posts by: Christian Carson

Christian Carson has started 37 posts and replied 390 times.

Post: Hello fellow comrades!!! New to the scene from OHIO :)

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223

Welcome to the forums.

Post: Due on sale clause was called by bank!

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223

I've heard of banks calling loans when they are transferred to a revocable living trust. I think these might have been apartment buildings of more than four units, for what it's worth, and those properties are not covered by Garn-St. Germain.

Post: buy and hold and the power of Bay Area appreciation

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223

Overleveraging of overstated equity in part caused the 1929 crash and the 2007 crash. There's nothing wrong with investing for appreciation (if you're in the stock market, chances are good that it's your strategy), you just need to recognize when to get out and go to cash. If too many people believe that the Bay Area appreciation bet is like "betting on the sun coming up," you ought to recognize that as a sign of the market overheating. Your house is only worth as much as what someone else will pay for it.

Post: RUBS vs Sub-Metering Lakewood, OH (Cleveland)

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223

My duplexes are sub-metered for water...so it's not unheard of in Northeast Ohio ;)

That said, it's a pain to collect from tenants. Most of them just pay an extra $100 every couple months to satisfy the water bill.

It is nice to have the submeter data to see if one unit is using an unusual amount of water -- helps put the kibosh on leaks and such.

Post: Attn Bper: Bens $1000 a month rule - learn it, love it, leave it?

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223
Originally posted by @Ben Leybovich:

@Christian Carson - couple of points:

1. You are an attorney, and as such don't have to pay contract services for filing of evictions, the kind of thing that I am assuming you are referring to in Administrative.  $41 to you would therefore be more for most...

2. After subtracting the $117 for accrual of replacements, you are left with about $130/month of true CF. OK, but if you calculate the IRR it comes out to a bit over 5%. What this means, is that at a discount rate of 5%, the NPV of these cash flows is at a break even pint over a hold of about 7 years and presuming no appreciation, since we are taking about PIGs here. In this case, why bother?

3. Now - if you sell for $60,000, having bought for $30,000, that would change the entire picture, but then this is not a PIG...

Thoughts? 

 My computer ran out of battery about a second after I submitted my post last night, so I wasn't able to do anything about the corrupted tables (which shows up fine in the WYSIWYG, @Joshua Dorkin !!)

Let me do this in bullet-point format:

  • $700 - rent
  • ($70) - vacancy
  • ($70) - PM
  • ($72) - taxes
  • ($50) - insurance
  • ($41) - admin
  • ($150) - capex/maint
  • =247 - net monthly income

To address your point (1), Ben, there's $500 per year in the eviction budget. I don't assume you will have to evict someone every month, nor every year, so this should also account for tenant placement costs.

To point (2): the "replacement" cost is built into the capex budget. Maybe if you're out of state, your PM will bamboozle you into dumping a whole lot into maintenance, but frankly I don't do all that much to these houses other than replace the major systems when needed (which is usually when I buy).

Don't get me wrong, margins are thin. And I'm not one to pay sticker price for anything, so I buy these houses for $5000 and replace all the major systems up front for a maintenance-free house for a good long while. That's the way to do it. :)

Post: Attn Bper: Bens $1000 a month rule - learn it, love it, leave it?

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223

Ben's right. There is a hard breakeven point that has to do with the cost of maintaining a structure over time. The economies of scale associated with multi-unit properties can mean substantial savings for the property owner.

That said, it's possible to get a return from the $30k, $700 property. See below.

Purchase $30,000.00
Rent $700.00 $8,400.00
Vacancy $70.00 $840.00
PM $70.00 $840.00
Taxes $72.00 $864.00
Insurance $50.00 $600.00
Admin $41.67 $500.00
Capex/maint $150.00 $1,800.00
`  
Net $246.33 $2,956.00
Expected ROI 10%  

This is how I would expect a Cleveland property to price out, using actual numbers from experience. The unlevered return (cap rate) is 10%, which fits my criteria. Capex allows for the following upgrades, plus a miscellaneous repair budget:

Major systems
Roof $4,000.00 25 $160.00
HVAC $4,000.00 20 $200.00
Ext paint $5,000.00 7 $714.29
Int paint $1,000.00 3 $333.33
  Per year $1,407.62
  Per mo $117.30

One would surmise that there aren't too many maintenance calls for items other than those listed above. At some point, yes, you will have to upgrade the kitchen, etc., but at the same time, you're not responding to a tenant request to make the doorbell work. Using cheap and durable materials for those turnover repairs will go a long way to keeping capex down.

And that's the name of the game in these low cost rental markets. Keep expenses as low as possible. Make your living spaces absolutely bulletproof. If you can get through a turnover with a mop job and a paint spray, you'll make a killing. If you install nice carpet and corian countertops, you'll lose your shirt. The $700 tenants aren't expecting all that much anyway.

Post: Cleveland OH investing?

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223
Originally posted by @Mike Ferrante:

Hi Tatyana, Collinwood is pretty far from Harvard.  But I would say the neighborhoods are pretty comparable.  Collinwood used to be an old Italian neighborhood!  We still go there to buy grapes and juice to make wine!  

Have you ever talked to the Collinwood Grape Company guy about real estate? My orthodontist says he owns something like 1000 units in Collinwood...

Post: Cleveland (Northeastern Ohio) Meetup?

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223

Count me in.

Post: List of properties with delinquent taxes - Cleveland, OH and surrounding suburbs

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223

NEW - Tax delinquent property lists available for Cuyahoga County, Ohio, including the City of Cleveland its suburbs. 

Information is up to date at least as of 3/1/2015. Some data is newer still.

Lists deliver outstanding balance, net half-year taxes, market value, owner name and address, and property class. 

Per-name pricing available with bulk discounting. We can target certain areas by map number. See the map here.

Filters offered for:

- Property class
- Balance due
- Market value
- Ratio of balance due to half-year taxes

Contact me here at BP or email [email protected] for more details.

Post: future interest rate increase would reduce multi-unit price?

Christian Carson
Posted
  • Cleveland, OH
  • Posts 400
  • Votes 223
Originally posted by @Steve Olafson:
Originally posted by @Christian Carson:

The discussion of wages influencing rents is absolutely fascinating to me. It has an important impact on rents. It's very concerning to me, also -- because real wages have been declining since the 1970s. 

There are many factors that go into rental rates.

Still, you can't get blood from a stone. If the tenant doesn't have the money, you're not getting paid. This is an increasingly bifurcated market between wealthy and poor.