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All Forum Posts by: Brant Schumaker

Brant Schumaker has started 3 posts and replied 22 times.

Post: Refinance Quotes - What Interest Rates Are You Seeing

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11

@Jim Meloche I'm getting quoted 3.875%, no point, 30-year fixed on an investment duplex; 3.75% for an SFH. PM if you need an introduction.

Post: Private lending and sensitive information

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11

Jeff this is a fantastic answer. Thank you so much!

Post: Private lending and sensitive information

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11

I am researching private lending options for my business and the thought dawned on me that these types of transactions are typically individual to individual. What sort of due diligence can/should I do on the lender to ensure that my private information (SS#, financials, etc) will he kept secure and that I won’t have an identity thief posing as a lender?

Post: Analysis: Estimate property tax on sale price or ARV?

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11

@Alex Olson Thank you!

Post: Analysis: Estimate property tax on sale price or ARV?

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11

Recently finished David Greene's BRRRR book. In his couple of hypothetical examples he estimates property tax on the sale price (lower than ARV for BRRRR). I understand this is somewhat market dependent but what do you all do for your deal analysis on a potential BRRRR property? I'm specifically looking into the KC market if anyone has experience in that area.

Post: Completed My First BRRRR (With $0 Down) ! + Photos & Details

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11

@Tony Robinson Thanks so much for sharing all of the information in this thread. I'm still learning the underwriting process and, until I get better estimates of costs, am being pretty conservative. Struggling a bit to see cash flows similar to what Brandon Turner quotes for a SFH in a nicer area but I think I may be being too conservative. I appreciate seeing someone be successful. Best of luck on the next deal!

Post: COVID-19: Answering questions as an epidemiologist

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11
Originally posted by @Matt R.:
Originally posted by @Brant Schumaker:

@Matt R. Yes, it’s certainly possible we would have visitors prior to the ban. I think an appropriate mask and eye protection limits your risk but mainly reduces risk to others from your aerosols. My family is sheltering in place as much as possible with trips out only as necessary for food every couple of weeks. Stay safe and healthy. If we can just hang in there I think this virus has the ability to run it’s course. We’ve seen most cases from people who are defying common sense: beaches, Mardi Gras, other large gatherings, as well as direct contact within family units.

 If it was already here perhaps in Dec, seems as if the original expert modeling is way off. Half the deaths are in New York. I was only for a 14 day lockdown to see who has it. It is necessary to lockdown the rest of the states at this point? To put it another way if South Dakota had half the deaths would NYC lockdown? This is starting to make little common sense. 

Yes, I firmly believe that the modeling is way off, and I say this as a disease modeler. Most models at their fundamental level assume some level of random mixing. We obviously don't have that with shelter in place orders, however, it's amazing how closely we can start looking like a randomly mixing population the more contacts people have with the community (thinking the non-essential trips to stores just to walk around, frequent grocery shopping trips, short visits with friends, etc.). One thing to realize with our rural states is that our healthcare capacity is much lower than other areas of the country. My town's hospital already was full of ICU patients before we even diagnosed our first case because we've mainly pinned our number of beds to the needs of the seasonal flu which peaked around early March here. 

Post: COVID-19: Answering questions as an epidemiologist

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11
Originally posted by @Account Closed:

I don't think people are going to put up with the quarantine for much longer.

Agreed, Merritt

Post: COVID-19: Answering questions as an epidemiologist

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11
Originally posted by @Joe Splitrock:

@Brant Schumaker I am also from a state with smaller population. In my city we recently had a large hot spot develop. It is a meat packing plant with 500 of 3500 employees testing positive. They worked side by side in tight quarters and many were coming to work sick for weeks. It is no mystery how the outbreak occurred at the plant. They shut down the plant and the CDC was there yesterday evaluating best practices. They are doing full contact tracing and keeping anyone affected at home.

In my state, although we don't have full shut down, we have had recommended practice to shelter at home for over a month. We have also limited the number of people in businesses. So although it isn't an official shut down, schools are closed, all events shut down, all restaurant dining areas are shut, the mall is shut and many businesses have voluntarily shut down. The ones that are open have taken major steps to protect customers and employees.

The governor refuses to do a full state shut down, which would include mandating any non-essential businesses to close. The governor seems to believe it is not constitutional, but more importantly, most have already shut or have very limited operations of 50% or less. It will hurt the remaining businesses that may be borderline "essential".

The local mayor in my city is determined to close down the city. He seems freaked out by the hot spot and seems to believe we are headed for a disaster. Currently we have maybe 20 people in the hospital and 6 deaths in the entire state. I realize how exponential growth of a virus can go from "not bad" to "holy cow" in just a couple weeks. 

The mayor is citing increase in infections as the reason that we are in trouble, but the main reason numbers have gone up so fast is that they tested every employee at the meat packing plant. In general testing has been slow or they won't even test people with symptoms. Since we have had distancing efforts in place for well over a month, it seems that the hot spot alone should not be reason for alarm. Of course they need to deal with the hot spot. They have shut down the meat packing plant, they are testing everyone and contact tracing. Considering we are a less densely populated area and everything else I mentioned, what would the scientist in you suggest? I realize you don't have the data, but just curious what questions you would be asking? At what point does the incremental gain of going further with shut down, become a matter of diminishing returns?

I think our limited data on young people suggest that the majority of cases are asymptomatic or mild, however, they can serve as a powerful reservoir for transmitting the virus to others, especially because "don't come to work if you feel sick" doesn't really work for that. The connectivity of the population is what is driving the disease, however the catastrophic estimates of hospitalizations and bed use assumes that we have a certain percentage of severe cases which is probably much higher in the model than in reality. The first fundamental thing we can do in a local area is get more people tested and drive opening the economy to that data. Without adequate testing we are just throwing a dart with a blindfold on. Stay at home recommendations in Wyoming are helping but probably not doing super great because there are a lot of our citizens that aren't taking this seriously. I agree with other comments that this is a real hardship and that people are not going to put up with it indefinitely. However, if we can just slow things down we are going to be in much better shape than the alternative.

Post: COVID-19: Answering questions as an epidemiologist

Brant SchumakerPosted
  • New to Real Estate
  • Laramie, WY
  • Posts 23
  • Votes 11

@Matt M. Thanks for pinging me. Brave new world trying to work from home, home school, etc. but I think I have everyone answered now. Do you have any questions?