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All Forum Posts by: Brandon T.

Brandon T. has started 5 posts and replied 26 times.

When you're stuck in analysis paralysis or have any doubts you have to remember your why.

You're doing this for Freedom, Prosperity, Safety, Wealth, your Community, and changing your loved ones destiny. Make it happen!

Start setting goals, start solving problems, get a clear direction and don't deviate from it. We're all gonna make it!

Originally posted by @JD Martin:

Well, there's no way to know for sure. It's virtually inconceivable rates will go anywhere near the 15-18% they hit in the early 80's since it would destroy the economy (housing is a much bigger part of the economy than it was 40 years ago). On my first mortgage I paid almost 9%. That was in the early 1990s. I could theoretically see mortgage rates getting back as high as 6-7% before there started to be some real serious pain. 

As for rates and housing prices, yes it will definitely affect it. Even with low supply, high rates can destroy demand, which would just bring supply & demand back into equilibrium or swing the pendulum the other way. It's not as if home buyers have no other options - they can rent, cohabitate, live with parents, or not move from their current home. There may just end up being more of that. 

Most people can't buy a home for cash, so lending requirements are always going to be a huge factor in home prices for the masses (I'm excluding super-rich stuff). If a minimum down payment is 10%, and interest rates climb by a couple of percent, the maximum loan an individual qualifies for will be reduced, so they would have to make up the difference in cash, something most home buyers lack. Say a person qualifies for a $200k home based on their income, and they have to put down $20k and mortgage $180k. If rates climb by 2%, their maximum qualification is going to fall to perhaps borrowing $150k, so they would need $50k to buy that same $200k home (25% down). They'll either be pushed into a lower purchasing pool or out of the market altogether. This has happened to several of my tenants who were hoping to become homeowners. The home price increases have happened so rapidly that they can't make up the difference to get qualified. If rates go up and prices come down, they're still in the same boat. 

 Thanks for the perspective JD. That's a great point and a great example and it'll be interesting to see how this all plays out. I feel good about buying deals that cash flow right now because of the low rates and price swings ultimately don't matter too much for my specific goals. It's interesting a lot of people are still buying heavily in hot markets with little cash flows, it seems really risky if prices were to correct at all for any reason.  

Originally posted by @Russell Brazil:
Quote from @Brandon T.:

Hey BP members,

I'm confused about a topic and I'm hoping someone could help me and possibly others understand. I have a couple questions:

1)

I know that when inflation increases it causes home prices to increase as well.

I also know that when inflation increases, the fed has to increase interest rates to combat that inflation which causes home prices to fall.

So my question is, in our environment now where inflation is increasing as well as interest rates (soon), will home prices continue to increase or fall over the next couple years? Inflation is still going up, so that should make home prices go up. Rates are also going up which should make home prices fall.

Given that there's such low supply on the market right now is it possible that rate hikes won't affect housing prices?

2) 

How high could mortgage rates potentially go? 2% more, 5% more, 10% more? Over the next decade or so.

Could rates rise 1-2% before fixing the inflation issue and come back down? Or could they continue to rise such as back in the 1970s? Is it even possible to know for sure?

Thanks for any thoughts and ideas.

Rates are driven by prices. Rates do not drive prices. Most people get the correlation backwards.

Not once in the entire history of modern economics has a rising interest rate environment correlated to a falling price environment. 

The tail doesnt wag the dog. The dog wags the tail.

Thanks for the distinction Russell that helps a lot, I appreciate your reply.

Hey BP members,

I'm confused about a topic and I'm hoping someone could help me and possibly others understand. I have a couple questions:

1)

I know that when inflation increases it causes home prices to increase as well.

I also know that when inflation increases, the fed has to increase interest rates to combat that inflation which causes home prices to fall.

So my question is, in our environment now where inflation is increasing as well as interest rates (soon), will home prices continue to increase or fall over the next couple years? Inflation is still going up, so that should make home prices go up. Rates are also going up which should make home prices fall.

Given that there's such low supply on the market right now is it possible that rate hikes won't affect housing prices?

2) 

How high could mortgage rates potentially go? 2% more, 5% more, 10% more? Over the next decade or so.

Could rates rise 1-2% before fixing the inflation issue and come back down? Or could they continue to rise such as back in the 1970s? Is it even possible to know for sure?

Thanks for any thoughts and ideas.

Post: Cincinnati vs Milwaukee

Brandon T.Posted
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 17

I like Cincinnati a lot personally, diverse economy, growing jobs, affordable homes, and stable cash flow are all factors that make me want to invest here

Post: Advice on Duplexes in Florida

Brandon T.Posted
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 17
Originally posted by @Brock Bolduc:

@Brandon T.

I'm a broker and property manager in the Daytona Beach area and there's definitely some deals in that price range here but they typically require some work. If you're going the FHA route you may want to explore the 203k repair loan program they have. You'll want a lender with experience in this type of loan as I understand it can be a little tricky but if you're willing to put in the work then the payoff could be worth it for you in the equity you'll have after you finish your repairs and get the other side rented out. Best of luck!

 Thanks for your reply Brock

Originally posted by @Steven Torres:

Hey @Brandon T.,

you are definitely on the right track. House Hacking is one of the most powerful strategies for gaining property management experience, acquisition, etc.  

Finding a property in a B-class neighborhood at 140k is almost impossible but a C-class neighborhood you can find that needs a lot of work


An FHA loan is really strict when it comes to buying a home that needs TLC so, I recommend getting a conventional loan at 3%- 5%. There is more lead way going the conventional route.


Best of luck!

Thanks Steven I appreciate your reply

Originally posted by @Abel Curiel:

Hey @Brandon T.,

You're right, it is super competitive. I am searching for a FL duplex as well.

I'd recommend connecting with @Steven Torres who covers Central FL and just helped another BP member put a duplex under contract yesterday.

Hey Abel thanks for tip I appreciate it   

Post: Advice on Duplexes in Florida

Brandon T.Posted
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 17
Originally posted by @Jordan Ray:

I agree with @Tyler Gibson. I am in Palm Beach County, and you cannot get a duplex for that price point. I am looking for a client now and 400k is the lowest I have seen. 

Thanks for the info Jordan I appreciate it. 

Post: Advice on Duplexes in Florida

Brandon T.Posted
  • Posts 27
  • Votes 17
Originally posted by @Tyler Gibson:
Originally posted by @Brandon T.:
Originally posted by @Zachary R Sink:

Hello Brandon,

I live in VA. I've been looking for properties in Florida. Mainly in the Orlando and Tampa area. Multi-family properties have exploded in price. There are few areas around Orlando where the prices are relatively low compared to the Tampa market. I think most of those properties are going to be in the 200-300 range. I see you mentioned a using an FHA loan. I think it would be tough to get a fha loan on a fixer. Have you looked at conventional loans. If you plan on living in the property you can get a loan with 5-10% down. Try to find a wholesaler in Florida to see you can find some better deals.

Hey Zachary! Thanks for the reply, I was under the impression that conventional loans had the same property requirements as FHA so that's really helpful as well as your tip on looking for a wholesaler, I appreciate it.

If you want to try to buy a fixer, I suggest using an FHA 203k loan. This is a renovation loan where the property doesn't even need to be habitable at the time of purchase. With an FHA 203k loan you can borrow up to 110% of the after repair value. This would require three and a half percent down but it would fund the renovations of the property. This kind of deal is not simple and not for the faint of heart so consider it with a grain of salt.

Hey Tyler! I'm aware of the 203k loan, isn't it true that you have to hire contractors to do the work for you? I've done flooring, cabinets, tile surrounds, drywall, paint, etc. so I'd like to use my own labor to save on the reno cost if possible. If there was a way I could do a 203k and do most of the work myself that would be ideal but as far as I know I would have to hire everything out. Thanks for your reply