Originally posted by @Corey M.:
I'm a first time investor with an 80 hour a week full time job. I live in LA where there are no cash positive properties. There's no time to travel out of state. I'm just looking for passive income on my dead primary residence equity. What's my best option to generate cash flow and appreciation? All the turnkey properties I look at show appreciation at 1-3%/yr. On a $100k house, that's $3000. The stock market averages almost 8%/yr. What's the value in a turnkey if it's not beating that - especially since a house is far less liquid than stocks?
Corey, Thank you for the question.
Lot's to discuss here. First and foremost, I don't look at appreciation. I'm playing the long game with my rentals so I'm not selling or do I plan to refi pulling money out. I'm not saying appreciation isn't a great thing and a buying factor; more or less I'm saying it's not a major factor within my plan. There is more to the benefits of rentals than stated above. You're not only getting the appreciation your getting cash flow, debt service and depreciation. When you factor in all the true benefits re blows stocks away. It's not even a close ROI. There is a reason more millionaires have been made through real estate than stocks or any other profession for that matter. There is also a reason reits are often the best producing stocks.The other key factory is the leverage of re. Can't really do that with stocks.
Let's chat about stocks.
Here is my take and this is just my humble opinion. I started right before the big crash and there was a point in my life where I use to think poor me getting into re and 12 months later the bottom fell out. I was wrong. I learned a ton. At that time I was buying and flipping houses. It didn't take me long to realize most of the people I was buying houses from were older retirement aged people. Here is my problem with stocks. When you're young they tell you don't worry about the market fluctuations. Just leave your money in and you'll be fine. I agree when stocks drop don't pull your money out. Market corrections are often 30% or more decline and since 1920 they've happen on average about 7-8 years. Which has consistently been the average retirement cycle of Americans. Crazy coincidence, right? I think not. So right when you're ready to retire the market crashes. Well you need that money and you don't have time for the rebound. I can't tell you how many great people I've met who needed to retire put all their money into stocks and then couldn't retire based on the crash. That's what they teach us, right? Put your money into stocks and pay down your mortgage. I quickly realized putting my money in stocks would make me dependent on the market at the time I wanted to retire. I know I want to retire at 52. I hope I plan it right and the stock market cooperates. Basically, I hope I'm lucky and the market is strong at that time. I knew I didn't want to rely on outside factors planning my retirement so I went towards rentals. If the market crashes when I'm ready I won't care. I'll still be getting my rent checks in the mail every month. Again, I'm not selling so who cares if values fall. Rents went up for me during the last crash. I want residuals. the appreciate just looks good on my PFS and makes the bankers happy. Residuals are the key to everything in my opinion.
Gotta run to my next appointment. Sorry I didn't spell check or review before posting. I'll look at the other questions this evening.