Quote from @Scott Trench:
My question for the experienced capital raisers on this forum is this:
-What’s least bad?
Great topic and one that I think is very helpful to many LPs on BP today.
However, I do disagree on preferred equity. When used correctly and in moderation, it can be an effective tool at times. The first sanity check is if there is a sizeable spread between preferred rates and rates of return that LPs should be expecting on value-add projects. On small balance preferred equity, rates are 15%+ so this fails that test in my opinion. However, with larger balance preferred equity ($5m+), rates become more interest. Typically between 12% to 13%. If it passes the first sanity check, preferred equity should be viewed akin to debt and be analyzed with a blended rate with a potential loan.
Example, Property A was acquired with a loan from a debt fund at 3.75% + SOFR and a 3% interest rate cap that is expiring. Property A does not have reserves to buy a new rate cap or maybe it just doesn't make sense but at the current 3.75% + 3% (rate cap), Property A is cash flowing 1-2% a year. They have the option to do a capital call or preferred equity.
Capital Call - to either buy the rate cap (likely a bad decision) or a capital call to buy down loan principal and execute a fixed rate loan at 6%. Investors need to pony up additional capital and investors that don't, will be diluted. Property will cashflow at 3% with an expected total annual return of 13%.
Preferred Equity at 12% - to either buy the rate cap (definitely a bad decision) or preferred equity to buy down loan principal and execute a fixed rate loan at 6% for an all in (loan + preferred) blended rate of 6.6%. Investors do not need to provide additional capital or be diluted. The property will cashflow at 2.25% with an expected total annual return of 15%.
I don't view either of these to be the right or wrong answer but I would expect different LPs to have different preferences here.
This approach can also be used on new acquisitions. It's very surprising to me that investors will often rather see a property purchased with a 75% loan to cost debt fund at 4% + SOFR (all-in rate today of 9.33%) than a 60% loan to cost agency fixed rate loan at 6% combined with 15% loan to cost preferred equity at a rate of 12% (7.2% blended rate). Both sound risky to me and we're a sponsor that typically executes with 65% agency debt, but if I were choosing between the two as an LP investor, I would be choosing agency debt + preferred.