Skip to content
×
PRO
Pro Members Get Full Access!
Get off the sidelines and take action in real estate investing with BiggerPockets Pro. Our comprehensive suite of tools and resources minimize mistakes, support informed decisions, and propel you to success.
Advanced networking features
Market and Deal Finder tools
Property analysis calculators
Landlord Command Center
$0
TODAY
$69.00/month when billed monthly.
$32.50/month when billed annually.
7 day free trial. Cancel anytime
Already a Pro Member? Sign in here
Pick markets, find deals, analyze and manage properties. Try BiggerPockets PRO.
x
All Forum Categories
All Forum Categories
Followed Discussions
Followed Categories
Followed People
Followed Locations
Market News & Data
General Info
Real Estate Strategies
Landlording & Rental Properties
Real Estate Professionals
Financial, Tax, & Legal
Real Estate Classifieds
Reviews & Feedback

All Forum Posts by: Aaron B.

Aaron B. has started 5 posts and replied 45 times.

That is an interesting find in Tulum and the project, but not for me. You won't be able to find a bank in the USA to do it and not likely in Mexico either. As mentioned, you will want a different source for borrowing. 

I know you did a title search, but make sure it was thorough because standard title searches would not normally show other things that you may not think about. For example, lawsuits, mining rights that were sold (not a problem in Tulum), etc. If the price is good, for the property, it does make me wonder why it hasn't been snatched up already. There are Mexican and Spanish developers with resorts there already and they are building more. 

I am wishing you luck. Do more diligent research then you think you need!

Post: When to sell an investment home

Aaron B.Posted
  • Global
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 50

Hi @Amir B., what would you do with the money if you did sell it? Do you know what amount you might be able to sell it for? If you have no plans for the cash or something better to invest in with your sales profits, then I wouldn't sell. Unless you have some extenuating circumstances where you really need to. Otherwise, I would do the repair, find the tenants, and keep looking for the next deal. And while you are looking for the next deal, consider putting the property up for sale with all the nice photos, etc. If you get a good offer and have found the right deal to move the money to, then I would sell. Otherwise, what is the point?

Post: Analyzing Properties in Mexico

Aaron B.Posted
  • Global
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 50

@Mike Lambert that reminds me, the calculators and numbers that developers or sales agents tend to give are often inflated, hyped, not conservative in their calculations, or make any number of assumptions that affect accuracy. The reverse engineering method is the way to go. 

Thank you for the clarification and caveat @Michael Plaks

Post: Colombia, Ecuador and Beyond

Aaron B.Posted
  • Global
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 50
Quote from @Austin B.:

Hello all,

I spent my summer in Medellin, Colombia. At this very moment, I am hanging out in sunny Guayaquil, Ecuador. I have a passion for Latin American culture and love to speak Spanish and visit Central / South America. This got me thinking -- how, as an Estadounidense (American from USA), could I invest in short-term rentals in South America? Each country has their own laws & customs. In most South American countries it seems that mortgages, especially with foreigners, are nearly impossible to obtain. However, the home prices are very low compared to what I am used to in the States. I have been told by some other expats that you do not want to purchase property as it is extremely difficult to sell later on. The idea, of course, is to generate cash flow and not to purchase a capital investment. It is a legitimate concern, of course.

I also have a fantasy of owning, say 1 or 2 dozen homes all over the continent and just going wherever I please when they are not being rented out. That may not be realistic but it's kind of swirling around in my head. I can only imagine that managing such a portfolio would be very time-consuming.

Has anybody got experience doing this?

What you are describing is actually my lifestyle! I own properties in different countries, and round-robin between them whenever I feel like and rent them when I am away. They generate good cash flow and more than pay for my endless world travels. You can achieve this! My most recent property acquisition was in Bonifacio Global City in Manila. It's like the mini-Singapore of Manila. I am currently in Colombia though and have a new property under contract - I am taking advantage of this 20-25% discount due to the exchange rate and power of the inflated dollar. I won't be stopping and I find it far less burdensome than owning and taking care of properties in the USA. I am looking towards Bangkok next and then Bali for my next properties.

Regarding financing Colombia, this is the short version of how it works. For a residence, you can borrow up to 70% of a property amount and must put down 30%. The mortgage terms range from 5-20 years. And the interest rates are terrible, they average 12%/year and I have seen as high as 24%/year!!! Imagine a mortgage in the USA at a 24% APR; that is a liability, not an investment. For commercial property, it is up to 30 years and you can borrow up to 90% with some banks, and up to 80% with others. They offer both fixed-rate interest loans and variable-interest loans that are indexed to inflation and CPI. I don't recommend the latter, especially with the current economy, you would lose.

Thus, I do not recommend financing at all in Colombia unless you really need it and you REALLY know that the numbers work out in your favor (cash flow to debt). You'd have to find one hell of an amazing deal to make financing make sense. Thus, you should buy the property in full and do your due diligence and number crunching. Prices down in South America are relatively lower than in the USA and in my experience, cash flow is better but that is because I am very selective and only pick properties where the numbers make sense. Really, no different than the USA but without financing considerations and related costs.

Regarding Ecuador, from what I know, I would not invest there. But then again, I haven't spent enough time getting to know the country, so I can't say that I would never invest there. While it is cheaper than the USA, everything in Ecuador is in dollars from the cost of food to real estate. That does little for you with respect to diversification. Unless you find a killer deal where you know you can't lose (or at least it is unlikely), I wouldn't buy. That is my general rule for any country.  I have a friend who is currently looking for beachfront property in Ecuador. She is not sure yet how she would monetize it yet or what that looks like from a rental perspective, so she is trying to find her win by getting a really good purchase price.  However, she is in love with Ecuador. You can own in any country and earn rent in dollars if that is what you want. Thus far, the deals I have looked at for her were not good enough for me to invest and I told her that I wouldn't invest in them personally. It does not mean that there is no deal to be found...just not a great one yet.

Don't give up, keep hunting for deals, be patient, and always do your due diligence, and eventually, you will find the right deal for you. If you need help analyzing something, just ask!










I came across this free tax guide concerning rentals from E&Y. It's published online, it is free, and it is an informative read: https://assets.airbnb.com/eygu...

Enjoy!

Post: Analyzing Properties in Mexico

Aaron B.Posted
  • Global
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 50
Quote from @Mike Lambert:

@Marina OLeary

@Aaron B.

There is no site specifically for Mexico but AirDNA works there and has data indeed. I don't use them though because they're totally unreliable. This is because, unlike in the US, there are several markets in function of the quality of the property and the rental rates vary widely. You could easily make twice as much money than your neighbor while Airdna thinks the properties are similar. So, a 1 BR isn't the same as another 1 BR if you see what I mean. In the same area of the same city, you can make a killing if you own the right property or you can make little money if you own the wrong one.

So, instead of using AirDNA, I reverse engineer. I decide what minimal rate of return I want. I know the price of the property and I can precisely estimate the expenses. That gives me the revenue I need to make to get my return. Then, I calculate the nightly rate I'd need to charge if I had 100% occupancy. Invariably, that rate has been so low that I know that, should I charge that rate, I'd get 100% occupancy indeed. So, I know that I can get my minimum return and potentially much more given that I can rent at a higher rate. Hope that makes sense. Of course, my knowledge of the market helps here but, irrespective of that, the daily rates I've been getting have been so low that they were a no brainer anyway.

@Victor Castro

Your dad is right and it's because Mexico is mostly a cash market, whereby the property values aren't dependent on the level of interest rates as they are in the US. I'd say it's a good thing and that's why I invest in Mexico and not in the US. Indeed, you'll get much more cash flow in Mexico so capital appreciation is less important. However, while you might get less capital appreciation in Mexico than in California or New York City, you'll typically get more capital appreciation in Mexico's best markets than in the Mid West. Also, property prices can't go to the sky because of affordability so the capital appreciation potential of the most expensive US markets might have been reached for some time, especially in our new world of high interest rates.


I agree with you, your observation about Airdna's comparisons being somewhat of a misnomer has been my experience in south america too. Two properties while sounding the same on paper (same # of beds, baths, etc) can be wildly different in terms of quality and management. It is best for figuring out how the competition is doing, and the minimum price you should be charging.

The backwards approach is the same method I use. I think about what I want to earn and work backwards from that number to see if the rest of the numbers make sense and will get me there. If not, I pass on the opportunity. I want a great deal not an okay deal, so I round the numbers and do my calculations conservatively. If they work with numbers rounded to the slightly more worse degree and the ROI still looks good, then I know I may be onto something.

Post: Analyzing Properties in Mexico

Aaron B.Posted
  • Global
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 50
Quote from @Peter Brown:
Quote from @Mike Lambert:

@Marina OLeary

@Aaron B.

There is no site specifically for Mexico but AirDNA works there and has data indeed. I don't use them though because they're totally unreliable. This is because, unlike in the US, there are several markets in function of the quality of the property and the rental rates vary widely. You could easily make twice as much money than your neighbor while Airdna thinks the properties are similar. So, a 1 BR isn't the same as another 1 BR if you see what I mean. In the same area of the same city, you can make a killing if you own the right property or you can make little money if you own the wrong one.

So, instead of using AirDNA, I reverse engineer. I decide what minimal rate of return I want. I know the price of the property and I can precisely estimate the expenses. That gives me the revenue I need to make to get my return. Then, I calculate the nightly rate I'd need to charge if I had 100% occupancy. Invariably, that rate has been so low that I know that, should I charge that rate, I'd get 100% occupancy indeed. So, I know that I can get my minimum return and potentially much more given that I can rent at a higher rate. Hope that makes sense. Of course, my knowledge of the market helps here but, irrespective of that, the daily rates I've been getting have been so low that they were a no brainer anyway.

This is a real puzzle for me. As an LTR investor, I'm puzzled as to why there are such dramatic differences in montly income for STRs. In some cases, the STRs are probably just casual owners offering the place only a few days a month. In other cases, the property is just worse. But in many cases it really seems like there is a huge difference in management.  What I'm getting at is it seems like management is a bigger factor in STR returns than LTR returns? Is this true in your experience?

Property management makes the biggest difference for short-term rentals. It can make or break a property and its ROI. Aside from the management, there are many optimizations that are probably lacking which is why one property is drastically underperforming compared to another. For example, my neighbor and I both have an Airbnb in the same building and right next to each other, and have been running them for about the same time. But I earn more than 2x what he does because I have optimized every aspect and generally care more about my property than he cares about his.

Post: Analyzing Properties in Mexico

Aaron B.Posted
  • Global
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 50

I recommend taking the property address in Mexico and plugging it into https://www.airdna.co/ to run free comparisons and research the rental market of that area; they have enough data for the market there. Financial analysis is the same as you would do in the USA. Just make sure that if you are doing new construction/pre-construction projects, you get a real estate attorney in Mexico and do the proper research on the project, titles, land, developer, etc. Never skip the due diligence, no matter what country it is in. 

There are some projects around Mexico that I have an interest in and plan to travel there to see them in person and check out the areas and projects. I love Mexico and have been going there since I was a child, I have thought about it for so long. Now I am just being patient to find the perfect first investment in Mexico.

Post: Another penthouse remodel investment story

Aaron B.Posted
  • Global
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 50

The remodel had its challenges because my remodel was in progress when COVID hit and the country went into lockdown. The remodel took twice as long to finish, and I ran into practically every problem possible. The silver lining in the list of remodeling problems was that the USD to COP exchange rate changed in my favor to the tune of a 10-15% discount. I was able to save on my total remodel costs because of the impacted exchange rate during the pandemic, however, it took me twice as long to finish. Considering the potential income I lost due to the timing and cost savings I got in return, I just consider it a wash. Because of the fluctuations in exchange rates during the remodel, it is difficult to ascertain exactly how much I spent in dollars. But I know what I spent in pesos.

Concerning the sale, because the value is high, I am considering owner financing whereby I would give my buyer time to pay it off, over the course of a year or less. This works for me because 1) I get my asking price 2) I don't need the money until a year from now when I am simply rolling the money into a new construction project that is going to be breaking ground later this year. If I closed tomorrow, I would just be sitting on the money until it is time to invest it. So I am in no rush to close because the timing is too early, hence, I can owner finance. I will let y'all know how it goes as it progresses.

If y'all got any questions about any of this, don't hesitate to ask.