I am in Albuquerque, NM. It would be hard to argue that there hasn't been a shift in the market, but it's also hard to consider the changes very drastic or too difficult to work around.
* Inventory up from Fall 2021, but about the same as Fall 2020, and about 40% lower than 2018 and 2019. We have a population of about 925,000 in the Albuquerque/Rio Rancho metro area, and there are currently about 1,400 homes actively listed throughout the areas that make up that population. This is about 25% of what it was in 2007 and 2008, when over 6000 homes were listed at once. And, it's less than half the number of listings that were on the market at once from 2012 - 2017. And, it's about 35-40% fewer than we had listed in 2018 and 2019.
* The rapidly rising prices seem to have calmed a bit, but both our average and median prices are considerably higher than the same time last year, and year prior to that. We have a $335,000 median sale price currently, compared to $292,500 in Oct 2021, and $265,000 in Oct 2020. The average sale price has followed a similar trend, currently at $387,000, up from $337,000 in Oct 2021, and $309,000 in Oct 2020.
* Inventory is sitting on the market a whopping 8 days longer than it did this time last year, with sellers averaging 23 days on the market currently. This is almost identical to the fall of 2020, and at least a couple of weeks faster than 2018 and 2019. During the 2008 - 2012 recession, the average # of days on the market was frequently in the 120-180 day range, as a point of reference.
* The list-to-sale price ratio (average) is currently 99.4%, so most sellers are getting pretty close to what they are asking, compared to the April 2022 peak of 103.5%. This is still considerably higher than the 95% average list to sale price ratio back in 2009.
* For buyers, they will see 2 big differences if buying today compared to last year. The first is the higher interest rates and higher monthly payments. The second is that they'll have less competition from other buyers and won't run into bidding wars and multiple offers nearly as often or to the extent that they would have in 2021 and early 2022.
* For sellers, the big difference today will be less foot traffic right away/fewer showings, and they are less likely to receive multiple offers (sometimes 5 or 10 or 15+ offers) within hours or days of listing. For the vast majority of sellers in the market today, those days are behind us. This will need to be reflected in the pricing, the presentation, the way that they respond to offers, and the experience that the buyer has from contract to closing. There will always be those that cling on to a market that is in our rear-view mirror, believing that their house is the exception, and those will be your overpriced listings, sellers that fire and hire new agents frequently, that are quick to let their first offer go, or respond harshly in a counteroffer. Those that are savvier to the shift in the market and respond proactively will fare much better in comparison.