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All Forum Posts by: Austin Wolff

Austin Wolff has started 9 posts and replied 70 times.

Post: Phoenix investors, is this "path of progress" map helpful?

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88
Quote from @Noah Corwick:

This is fantastic Austin! I really appreciate you making this and starting with PHX. 

I'm sure this model will be super helpful in other cities as well. 

But feel free to keep making more for PHX because I'm not biased or anything haha. 


 Wonderful, thanks for the feedback!

Post: Market evaluation: How to factor in new construction sales?

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88

Location matters. There could be a lot of new builds going up in the outskirts of a city, but existing properties in the city closer to amenities may still be desirable. 

In my opinion, it can be a sign of builder/investor confidence in a given area if they're willing to put up the capital to build new homes in a given area: they believe there will be enough demand to sell their new products.

Post: Phoenix investors, is this "path of progress" map helpful?

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88

Hey investors, I'm the new Market Intelligence Analyst here at BiggerPockets, and I'm developing a way to predict the future "path of progress" for a given market. Since I was born and raised in Phoenix, I figured I'd start there. 

Is the map below helpful or useful? 



Here's an interactive version of the map, where you can zoom in and see more information such as population and population per acre: https://www.datawrapper.de/_/jDwi4/


It tracks the change in population density (population/acre) for each neighborhood (census tract) in the Phoenix MSA from 2010-2020. The darker the blue, the higher the change in population density. Clusters of dark blue areas (such as Queen Creek, Buckeye-Goodyear, area between Surprise and Anthem) may indicate the path of progress happened (or is still happening in these areas), and we might be able to assume the path of progress could continue in these directions.


Do you find this kind of information helpful at all? If so, please let me know. If no one finds it helpful, I won't bother with predicting future "paths of progress."

Post: how do i find underground markets to buy real estate

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88
Quote from @Kyle Deboer:

Being a beginner, the only markets that I am really tapped into at the moment are all extremely mainstream (zillow, realtor, etc.) and I see everyone saying I should learn to tap into underground markets but I can't seem to find anyone explaining how... Can anyone help with this?


Define underground? You live in one of the best cash-flowing-yet-still-appreciating states in the nation, near two of the some of the best growing economies (Cincinnati and Columbus). All things considered, that's how I'd define "underground." Unless you mean secondary and tertiary markets--I'd consider sub-markets near these two metros in that case. You live in a wonderful area, arguably top 10 when it comes to affordability and growth. Please take advantage of that.

Post: Cash Flow is my issue

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88
Quote from @Loan Nguyen:

Im newbie in real estate investing. I’m living in Bay Area where finding deals that generate cashflow is impossible. Any advice where to invest?


 Out of state may be your best bet, everyone on this thread has suggested great markets. If you'd like to keep your investments in California, Sacramento is starting to look more attractive, especially since the market has seen an increase in tech jobs.

Post: First time out of state investor

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88
Quote from @Nicholas L.:

@Austin Wolff

fair point, but there are also tons of threads on BP from folks in HCOL areas who bought a property in Baltimore or Cleveland or Memphis and got absolutely crushed by deferred maintenance.

of course it's possible to invest successfully from California but it just seems like a lot of new investors are very much not set up to do it property. 

I like @Tim Ryan's response best.


 100% agreed!

Post: First time out of state investor

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88
Quote from @John Clark:

First things first: what is your real estate investment experience?  If you don’t have several (10?) years of local experience and several (7? 10?) properties under your belt then stay hyper local. For your next several deals stay within a 2, 3 hour drive. Personally walk the neighborhoods and properties before you even consider buying. THEN ask about investing out of state.


This isn't helpful advice for beginners that live in an expensive market and are trying to get started in today's environment. Anyone trying to get started with a market like Los Angeles as their backyard will spin their wheels for years when they could be making an out-of-state investment work.

Post: First time out of state investor

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88
Quote from @Ko Kashiwagi:

Hi Amanda,

Some questions I ask.

- Do they invest in that market as well?

- Do they have off-market deals in the pipeline?

- Are they working mostly with retail buyers or investors?

- Will they go out to the property, take videos and go out of their way to show you the properties?

- Who do they know? Contractors? PMs?

It's important to ask questions up front, but it also comes with the understanding that you will have to churn through people as you find more information. As you start to do deals and make offers, you will see who you like and work the most well with!


 This ^

Post: New investor in Northwest Arkansas!

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88

Hi Stephanie! NWA is definitely a top 10 market (bought my first house-hack here). I think a slow-and-steady approach is great, especially as you learn the ins-and-outs of the market. For example, I didn't even think to ask about the "leasing season" in Fayetteville, AR because I'm from Los Angeles--every day is leasing season over there. But during the summer in Fayetteville you can charge more in rent. Little things like this are topics you should be asking about when you having meetings with property managers and other investors. PM me if you ever want to get coffee and chat about NWA real estate!

Post: Does Oklahoma really have the highest insurance in the nation?

Austin Wolff
#2 Market Trends & Data Contributor
Posted
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Los Angeles, CA
  • Posts 72
  • Votes 88
Quote from @Rhett Tullis:

well ignore everything I said lol.  we just got a few tornadoes early this morning.  no one killed that we know of so far but several injuries and a few neighborhoods hit pretty badly.  we are still assessing the rentals we manage but overall are just finding a few minor issues so far.  some roofs, tree damage and trash strewn around.  it may get worse though as folks get out and check things out.

Oh man. I hope everyone is okay.