Quote from @Jonathan Greene:
Quote from @Annie Chien:
@Nicholas L.
So purchase is around $1.2m with renovation budgeting around 200-300k, ARV is right around $1.4m with some recent sale records for market comps. This property is close to jobs, shopping malls, hospital and other living infrastructure. And we have done a whole house renovation to the stud a few years back. I was heavily involved in the renovation and am relatively familiar with the construction side.
Our plan is to hold this property for long term and then wait for a couple of years to add more to the portfolio.
We live in a pretty expensive area. The multifamily housing market has been trending down about 10-15% since its peak in 2022. I am well aware that there are better deals around the country. I just feel more comfortable to start manage nearby homes to get comfortable before we can venture to out of town places.
Maybe this way of thinking is not even the best approach to start out the investing. I am really appreciating that folks like you are sharing their experiences and train of thoughts, which helps me tremendously to better position ourselves at this market.
None of us need to look at more of this other than $1.2m purchase price and 300k renovation with an ARV lower than price + cost, with no experience (other than your own reno which is good) and no real idea what you are doing. Why in the world would you commit (and risk) this much on your first one?
Again, the purchase price plus reno is less than the ARV so how does that work for a refi and what are the worst-case and best-case scenario on rent roll?
You are right, the current ARV is probably right around the total of purchase and reno, which does not justify for a flip in this market, assuming there's no potential unforeseeable costs, which left no cushion. We are looking for cashflows and long term holding with projected appreciation. So this plan might not cover the risk scenario if we were to liquidate in a timeframe shorter than what we've planned for. But refi could very likely justify. I have managed just one rental of SFH for 6-7 years in the past. But that renter was very easy going and the rental laws were less strict back then than now.
Out of many we have seen, I like the neighborhood of this specific one better comparing to the rest. It feels much more decent and way better maintained on the street. And the surrounding neighborhood we are aiming at for this specific listing did not have anything popping out for the past 2 years. But it does require more TLC work comparing to the others we've seen.
Anyhow, I really appreciate all the opinions and advice everyone has given here for some directions. I've got a much better idea now.
Thank you all!