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All Forum Posts by: Account Closed

Account Closed has started 18 posts and replied 1514 times.

Post: What to do with one million dollars?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
  • Votes 3,225

I think everyone should think of  risk, cash flow needs, growth needs and come up with an asset allocation that makes sense to them. That should drive the decision on where to invest. Is this $1M your life savings? Or 10 % of your net worth? How is the rest of your portfolio allocated? Everyone here will pitch their favorite investment and honestly those answers are worth the electrons they are printed on without looking at the bigger picture. Your long term success is much more likely to depend on this rather than scattershot investment ideas.

Post: How to spot an aggressive tenant

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
  • Votes 3,225

I dont think its fair to collect application fees and background check everyone who applies. I personally dont ask for application fee and credit check until we both have agreed that the tenants will get the property assuming the credit checks out (they know the requirements). It pisses people off when they pay money, are qualified and get denied for whatever reasons. I think that's pretty understandable.

So my process is 1. Phone Screen, 2 Showing. 3. If the tenant wants the home and if I find them suitable (no red flags in the showing) then I ask for the application fee. 4. If it clears, take a deposit and sign lease.

I do keep the house on the market and keep showing until I get a deposit to protect from tenants changing their minds (this has happened). But I dont process more than one paid application at a time.

Post: Having tenants 'manage' upgrades/repairs

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
  • Votes 3,225

@Ethan Griffel My A class tenants manage minor repairs and one of them even painted my house ( it needed it) for cost of materials alone. I live abroad and dont have a PM so that is the easiest for me. They always get pre.approval unless its an emergency. Works if you are remote like I am with a big time difference.

Post: Is SFR Cashflow a Myth?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
  • Votes 3,225
Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:
Originally posted by @Account Closed:
Originally posted by @Zee Abbas:

@Account Closed United definitely does the calculation to determine when their plane purchase will pay out- in fact payout time is likely one of their top driving metrics these days due to airlines being cash poor. I agree with @Joe Villeneuve, determining when you will break even should be a metric every investor keeps an eye on. If F500 are basing investment decisions of off it, I should too.

Joe completely ignores the concept of a balance sheet. The cost of an airplane is accounted for by depreciating it over its lifetime. And it maintains value on the balance sheet until it depreciates to zero (after which it still has actual residual value). But yes, payback period is considered by business for any investment and I stated that myself.

Any business runs on profit/loss income statement (very important) but also balance sheet (assets/liabilities). In Joes model, there is infinite leverage and therefore unlimited liability. The house is always an asset on your balance sheet and can be converted to its cash value by sale. So it is not as useless as Joe would have you believe. Companies also use strong balance sheets to raise debt and equity and acquisitions. 

I'm not ignoring the balance sheet.  I'm putting it all in the proper perspective.  I'm taking that balance sheet, and applying it to the real world to show how there is a difference between the accounting world and the real world.  I let the accountants live in the world of forms and paper wins and loses.  You can rationalize wins any way you want and make it all seem as though you are successful because your "balance sheet" says you are, and end up out of business because the real world says you can't stay in business because you can't pay your bills.  If you can't stay in business, that "paper" profit you say I'm ignoring will disappear as if it never existed.

I've never said there was infinite leverage. I've made mention many times that my examples are not meant to show that the success is based on actually having as many loans as I show when the compounding effect takes over. Those examples are to show how achieving an exponential return instead of a linear return is better. Try focusing on the growth in dollars rather than the growth in number of properties. I've stated many times I'm not suggesting a REI should have 100 loans out. How about just changing from SFH to MFH, or commercial, or any other REI where the increase in dollars buys you a property with larger RE value...not larger number of properties.

I do agree with you in that clearly your capital investment should make a decent cash profit after paying all expenses. However a paid for rental does that more easily than a highly leveraged one. And a paid off property has the higher cashflow (but lower ROC). If it is truly income to live on that you are searching for, then paid off rentals beat leveraged rentals for an equal amount of cash flow (but with lower ROC). 

Post: Is SFR Cashflow a Myth?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
  • Votes 3,225
Originally posted by @Zee Abbas:

@Account Closed United definitely does the calculation to determine when their plane purchase will pay out- in fact payout time is likely one of their top driving metrics these days due to airlines being cash poor. I agree with @Joe Villeneuve, determining when you will break even should be a metric every investor keeps an eye on. If F500 are basing investment decisions of off it, I should too.

Joe completely ignores the concept of a balance sheet. The cost of an airplane is accounted for by depreciating it over its lifetime. And it maintains value on the balance sheet until it depreciates to zero (after which it still has actual residual value). But yes, payback period is considered by business for any investment and I stated that myself.

Any business runs on profit/loss income statement (very important) but also balance sheet (assets/liabilities). In Joes model, there is infinite leverage and therefore unlimited liability. The house is always an asset on your balance sheet and can be converted to its cash value by sale. So it is not as useless as Joe would have you believe. Companies also use strong balance sheets to raise debt and equity and acquisitions. 

Post: Enough is enough and I've had enough

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
  • Votes 3,225
Originally posted by @Lesley Resnick:

"I an't gunna work on Maggies Farm no more"  Is the battle cry of BP.

Be careful jumping off that bridge.  

Things to consider:

1.  If you leave is there a path back to that job or industry?  Many careers do not allow you to jump back in.

2.  What will you do for health care?

3.  Do you have enough cash to pay your bills for 6-9 months until your first deal is completed? 

4.  Will you have enough working capital to complete the project?

5.  What happens if your first full time deal goes sideways or does not yield much?

6. Have you taken as much Fannie Mae conventional / HELOC money as you can get. Have you open as many credit cards as you can based on your w2 income.

7.  Should you sell your primary home?  You may consider selling, renting or downsizing?  Should you try to buy a duplex and live in one side.  Can you take on a room-mate?

8.  Could you do something to make the J.O.B more tolerable.

9.  Could you do both?  Perhaps be less focused on the day job and more attention to the RE.  

10.  Will you / spouse be able to sleep if this is not a home-run from day one?  It takes time to really figure out how to make money consistently.  It is likely you will struggle for a period of time.  

If the only reason you are leaving your job is because you hate it and have not been planning the move for 6 to 12 months.  Don't do it, unless you are flush with cash and didn't really need the job in the first place.   There are no podcasts on, "it did not work out and I went back to my J.O.B."  No one tells that stroy, except your angry aunt who, "told you so".   

Dang Leslie, but everyone says I can be a millionaire without a dime in my pocket doing wholesaling and using "OPM" if only Id just go do it. Its supposed to be EASY dammit!

Post: "Out of state BRRRRing is too risky"

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
  • Votes 3,225

Have you ever had any work done in your home? Like a kitchen remodel maybe? How much supervision and planning did that take? And you were there all the time. Now multiply that by 10, add hundreds of miles of distance and you not being there. Add to that a crazy environment for finding contractors, inflated prices on all your hardware, trusting your contractor to do the right thing when nobody is looking, and you can judge your own chances of making any money on this deal. Plus with just $80K where is the rehab funds coming from? Hard money? Yet another huge risk.

Post: Is SFR Cashflow a Myth?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
  • Votes 3,225
Originally posted by @Joe Villeneuve:
Originally posted by @JD Martin:

I agree, except for #2. The higher CF you get when you pay all cash from the start is an illusion as far as returns go. In order to make a profit, you must first recover all of your cost. When you buy a property, the only cost a REI pays is the cash out of pocket.

So, when they pay $100k in cash for a $100k property they are paying the full price for that property. The cost to the REI is $100k and they must recover $100k in CF before they can count any profit. If their CF was $10k a year, then it would take them 10 years to recover their cost...and then start making a profit.

So you are saying that when United airlines buys a 300M dollar aircraft, they only make a profit when profit on that plane alone exceeds 300M? That is not how business accounting is done. You depreciate the cost over the life of the asset. Except in housing the value of the asset actually can increase over time. What you are talking about is payback time which is less important if the asset holds or increases its value over time. For a truly depreciating asset like a car or truck or plane it makes sense.

Post: Is SFR Cashflow a Myth?

Account ClosedPosted
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  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
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Cash flow on leveraged C class properties is a myth. Cash flow on a paid of A class property is steady as she goes. When your cash flow is 200/month any repair throws it off. When it is 2000 per month, you easily absorb those things. Now can you make money on the C class rentals? Maybe. I operated a bunch of them over several years and the mortgage pay down plus appreciation made a tidy return. But I wouldn't depend on the cash flow to buy groceries.

Having said that, on a large enough portfolio you should be able to average things out to a more predictable cash flow. But thats with 10-20 SFRs at least.

Post: $10,000,000 to deploy -- where would you put it?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • Singapore
  • Posts 1,581
  • Votes 3,225
Originally posted by @Syed H.:
Originally posted by @Account Closed:

Spending hypothetical money is completely different than spending your own. There are a lot of people with $10M and none of them would put it into a single asset class. This kind of speculative thinking gives no actual valuable insight into anything at all.

 exactly. my net worth ended up becoming about 50% RE, 25% small businesses, 15% equities, 10% crypto. Can't complain on the results. 

Im roughly 30% Equities, 30% owned real estate, 30% Syndications/Private Funds and 10% Private loans. Plus some cash. Never could get comfortable with crypto due to its inherent value of zero.  But same concept. Diversify and relax!