Quote from @Chris John:
@Alexa K.
"Roof replacement within the next 5 or so years, and a new AC condenser
by Spring 2023. Based on my contractor estimates, I'm roughly looking at
around $6.5k"
"a few years ago these houses sold for $4,000-7,000 each"
I'm from the Central Valley of California and all I can wonder is if this post is from 1973 or something? Those numbers are CRAZY for me to think about! haha.
Personally, I think that if your numbers are correct, it sounds like a great return (I have no idea how accurate your numbers are) as a percentage. If someone is able to invest money at 30-40%, it won't take long at all for them to get wealthy. Also, you'll go crazy if you compare your deals to other people's deals. You're always going to find someone that did better, so you can't let that dissuade you from picking up good deals for yourself.
To play devil's advocate:
- If you have a bad tenant that does some real damage, it could easily take several year's of your projected profit to pay for. That's problematic if you're not expecting appreciation.
- No matter where you're at, it seems like materials alone would cost more than $6500 for a roof and an AC. Having said that, I'm definitely not familiar with your neck of the woods.
- I'd closely inspect those drains that need snaking to confirm that you don't have pipe, root, or some other major issues.
Good luck!
Thanks for the input. Believe me, I know my post sounds like something straight out of 1973, and sometimes it's even hard for me to wrap my head around, as while I'm a native to this area, I grew up largely in central coastal Florida, where prices are understandably quite disconnected from prices where I am currently. I couldn't imagine quotes for a roof and AC condenser replacement in FL, but here in OH earlier this year I had a complete AC system installed in a house with no previous AC for $2800, and last year I had a full roof tear off and replacement done for about $5700 on my own property (which is a lot bigger and has a crazy steep roof). My contractors told me they could get everything done for roughly $1600 and $4,200, which is actually less than $6.5k but there's always something else that's bound to need addressing. Labor and material prices here are considerably cheaper than a lot of places, but I'm also lucky to have found a couple of good reliable "handymen" (a retired HVAC business owner, a carpenter who has extensive electrical experience, and a couple of not-so-bright guys who are surprisingly good at roofing but nothing else). My old line of work was insurance and I was a licensed adjuster, so I'm pretty involved when it comes to finding the best deals and purchasing the materials myself.
You're right though, constantly comparing deals is enough to make someone go crazy. Bottom line is that it works out well with my conservative numbers on paper, and I've got the spare cash for the investment... worst case scenario I'm on the hook for PITI with awful tenants who don't pay rent, but even then it's a pretty landlord friendly state and my other rentals will cover the costs, so it's not the worst in the world.
And regarding the drains: Good point. I think I'll see if I can have a plumber come take a professional look at the drains before I pull the trigger, if I'm still able to.