Hey everyone,
Thanks in advance for reading.
I'm new at this whole thing so I want to make sure I'm analyzing things all right. Please let me know what you think of the deal!
I am looking at a buy & hold duplex turn-key deal in the Salt Lake City Utah area (trying to put as many trigger words as I can in there ;-). The listing is for $259K and rents for $1800/month. I only know the property tax, so I opted for the 50% rule to see if it's one I want to look into further. Thus:
$1800 less $900 for taxes, insurance, utilities, maintenance/repairs, management, private money lending fees (?) etc.
I am guessing a cash flow of $200. Thus, I have $700 left for the mortgage. Assuming conventional loan with 4% interest amortized over 30 years and 20% downpayment, I get a mortgage balance of $146,622.87. Dividing by 0.8 gets me my offer of $183,278. My down payment plus assumed 10% closing costs puts my out-of-pocket at $54,983.58. The ROI is then only 4.36%. Pathetic!
Goal seeking the ROI in Excel to 8% gives me an offer of $154,800 and all in costs at $46,441.16. Zillow puts the Zestimate of non-rental units surrounding this one around $170K, although recent nearby similar sq. ft sales have been in the 240K range....
So basically even if I offer $100 less than they want, it's only a barely acceptable deal for me. Did I get that right?
Who in the world would accept that kind of offer? Any advice on how to approach the seller to increase my odds of picking this up when you know nothing about the seller? It's in a decent area and needs no repairs, turn-key, so it would be a nice headache free property to get my feet wet with. DOM is 79 days, so they may be getting more and more motivated.
Thanks!