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All Forum Posts by: Aaron Taylor

Aaron Taylor has started 3 posts and replied 148 times.

Originally posted by @Erin Spradlin:

@Account Closed as well. 

That said, I do think BP has a major gender issue. I have personally been critical of their lack of female content providers, podcast guests and leadership. I don't think it's been handled well to this point either. That said, this is a watershed moment for the country and we should continue to call these things out and see where we're at in a month, six months, a year. 

To some degree when you're talking about content providers and guests you're limited by the ratio of people actually doing the stuff you're trying to focus on.  For example, in one of my electical engineering classes in college there were 60 students and zero women.  Most engineering classes were at a ratio of 30 to 1, so if I were to hear reports on the subject I would expect it also to be along the same 30 to 1 ratio.

I don't know what the ratio is in the investing space but I'd guess it's heavily weighted towards men while the realtor space might be heavily slanted towards women.  I think on their money podcast the ratio is a lot more even just because saving money is something that everyone is interested in.

I guess what I'm saying is I don't think anyone is intentionally including or not including someone based upon anything other than their knowledge.

Post: Help! Addicted to FORTNITE.

Aaron TaylorPosted
  • Olathe, KS
  • Posts 148
  • Votes 207

Fortnite really isn't my favorite because I'm too old to build stuff as fast as everyone else.  Aiming is no problem though, so typically I just try and bushcamp until there are only 2 other people besides me.  When they're fighting it out and one finally takes out the other, I pop out of the bush and take out the last guy.  :)  My goal is to not fire until I have to.  I would guess that in most matches I'm probably the 80th to 90th best player out of the 100 but I've managed to win 3 times despite that, lol.  My kids are way better than me at Fortnite.

Overwatch is what I play a lot of online while working out on the elliptical machine.  Yes, on the elliptical machine.  When I'm on voice chat I think it adds an air of realism because I actually sound like I'm tired running around in the game.  The matchmaking in Overwatch though is not very good, too many times you win 10 in a row and then lose 10 in a row just based upon who they pair you with.  I've gotten up to 2600 something in ranking but can't seem to get past that.

Post: Book Recommendations for Spouse?

Aaron TaylorPosted
  • Olathe, KS
  • Posts 148
  • Votes 207

My wife liked:

Rich Dad, Poor Dad

Cashflow Quadrant

Set for Life

Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
Originally posted by @Aaron Taylor:

This whole discussion is very interesting. It seems like people are talking from very different markets. I have very rarely seen a property on the MLS that would cash flow at the listed price in my area. If I was to take the advice from the some of the posters in this thread, I would have never made an offer. Comps are a crapshoot half the time because older houses are often radically different from one other in upgrades and functionality, plus listings claim all kinds of things as bedrooms which aren't.

What also comes into play is this meet in the middle philosophy which most negotiations devolve into.  If you want to get a 100k property at 90k, you can't just offer 90k because the seller will typically counter with 95k and not move below that.  If you offer 80k you may offend the seller or you may just be able to meet at 90k.  I'm not trying to piss off the seller, but if I offered 90k out of the gate I'd have no wiggle room left.

There's a whole book on the negotiating thing and it basically says to that make a deal, you have to make both sides feel like they won a little.  It's pretty hard to do that unless you start out lower than you're willing to go, which also means that might upset some sellers unintentionally.

My agent is actually more aggressive than I am on offers, there are houses he's wanted me to offer on but I've kind of passed temporarily because I don't think enough time has passed for them to actually think about it (basically houses that will never sell at the listed price and are 10's of thousands away from what I think they'll actually bring).  I just wait on those to drop some rather than make a low offer.  

The weird ones are the standstills.  You know the houses where you've negotiated but you're still a few thousand apart.  Those are the funny ones because it becomes a test of wills evidently.

Opps  thought you were in OKC   if your around KC then that's different that's more of a sellers market OKC is very weak for sellers. 

Yeah, where I'm at (southwest part of KC, Kansas side) the market is VERY strong for sellers.  KCMO, not as much, which is where all the out of state buyers are buying.  

This whole discussion is very interesting. It seems like people are talking from very different markets. I have very rarely seen a property on the MLS that would cash flow at the listed price in my area. If I was to take the advice from the some of the posters in this thread, I would have never made an offer. Comps are a crapshoot half the time because older houses are often radically different from one other in upgrades and functionality, plus listings claim all kinds of things as bedrooms which aren't.

What also comes into play is this meet in the middle philosophy which most negotiations devolve into.  If you want to get a 100k property at 90k, you can't just offer 90k because the seller will typically counter with 95k and not move below that.  If you offer 80k you may offend the seller or you may just be able to meet at 90k.  I'm not trying to piss off the seller, but if I offered 90k out of the gate I'd have no wiggle room left.

There's a whole book on the negotiating thing and it basically says to that make a deal, you have to make both sides feel like they won a little.  It's pretty hard to do that unless you start out lower than you're willing to go, which also means that might upset some sellers unintentionally.

My agent is actually more aggressive than I am on offers, there are houses he's wanted me to offer on but I've kind of passed temporarily because I don't think enough time has passed for them to actually think about it (basically houses that will never sell at the listed price and are 10's of thousands away from what I think they'll actually bring).  I just wait on those to drop some rather than make a low offer.  

The weird ones are the standstills.  You know the houses where you've negotiated but you're still a few thousand apart.  Those are the funny ones because it becomes a test of wills evidently.

It's unlikely that the air filter by itself caused the system to fail UNLESS it caused the system to literally freeze up and not work while they tried to run it for multiple days (basically, air flow not getting through causing freezeup) It was old, it was going to happen at some point.

Post: Seller owes too much on her house

Aaron TaylorPosted
  • Olathe, KS
  • Posts 148
  • Votes 207

I ran into this one time, lady owed slightly less than what the house was worth, but the house also needed work.  I looked into assuming the loan but their interest rate was just awful, lol.  There just wasn't a good way to make it work.

Post: Have Real Estate prices peaked?

Aaron TaylorPosted
  • Olathe, KS
  • Posts 148
  • Votes 207
Originally posted by @Dan H.:
Originally posted by @Salvatore Lentini:

@Frank Boet - cashflow is king.  Prices are getting high but my thoughts are in the camp of "prices leveling off or slightly dipping".  There are too many stats showing that prices, foreclosures, starts, inventory etc are not anywhere near the levels of 08'.  The big correction, if the 18 year cycle theory holds true... may be 2024.  But who knows.  As long as you buy correctly now and you are relying on solid cashflow and not appreciation you are greatly mitigating your risk.  But no one is correct at picking the peak of any market.  Well, let me rephrase that, no one is always right on picking the peak of a market.  You never hear about the gurus that get it wrong over and over.

I see various sentiments of "cash flow is King" all the time but I question why people indicate this?  I am not saying cash flow is not nice but is it king?

I would have it fairly low on my list. But who cares about my list? How about we look at lists like Core Logic ROI on buy n hold? What does cash flow do to the historical ROI? The top cities on the list are traditional high appreciation markets/low initial cash flow markets.

So where do I place cash flow?  I place it behind 1) A good value add 2) purchasing below market 3) property appreciation 4) rent appreciation.

If I can get a 6 figure value add that equates to a lot of units making a few hundred a month cash flow.  Similarly, If I purchase a cash neutral unit but the rents are going up >$100/month per year (many high appreciation markets have been experiencing this level of rent appreciation) it does not take long for the cash flow on this initially poor cash flow unit to leave the good cash flow unit in the dust.  Moderate property appreciation such as 5% when I have 20% equity provides a nice return.  The high appreciation markets have been appreciating better than 5%/year since the GR.

So what if there is another recession?  I suspect most markets will not continue to experience the on-going rent and property appreciation but the cash flow is also not certain.  Just look at Detroit at the GR.  The cash flow will be market specific likely tightly coupled with the economic growth/decline of the area.

Have values peaked?  Maybe in the short-term, but I guarantee you that in the high appreciation markets at some point in the future we will look back on these prices as being cheap.   RE was high in 2006 but those prices look fairly low today.  RE has high in the early 19902 but those prices look low today.  RE prices looked high in the early 1980s but those prices look real low today.

Purchase smart properties, do not over leverage, and don't worry if we are at the top of the market.  If a crash comes, be prepared to purchase at bottom prices and make even more money.

I think the reason people say "Cash flow is king" is because if your property value drops by 20% and rents decrease some, at least you'll still be able to pay for the property mortgage.  If your cash flow is break even and the market tanks, if you're over leveraged you're in trouble if you don't have a big source of income as now you've got money going out to all those mortgages all of a sudden instead of coming in.

It's kind of like having a job with normal life expenses...do you want to have a job where it just barely covers expenses with the chance for a huge bonus, or one that exceeds it by a bit with a smaller bonus potential?  Sure, you can probably get ahead faster with the big bonus, but the second job position is less risky overall in the event of the bonus going away (or even eating your salary like in 08).

Also, there has been some talk about rent bubbles in some cities lately, so in that case your higher cash flow would provide some protection for that.

Post: Been Feeling a Bit Discouraged

Aaron TaylorPosted
  • Olathe, KS
  • Posts 148
  • Votes 207

I don't know where your particular property is in Kansas, but small towns are fine IF one of these things is happening:

1)  You're close enough to a major city where they're pulling your values up with them.  So you're getting appreciation along with cash flow, although the appreciation may make finding cash flow harder.

2)  You're getting major cash flow that well exceeds all repairs, huge cash on cash return.  Appreciation is zero.  Possibly even slightly negative.

My guess is that the house you're renting is one of the biggest in town, which means it also has big repairs to go along with it.  I would think it would start getting better after a while.  Doesn't sound like the rehab would be worth it, pretty hard to flip houses in a small town unless you buy them for next to nothing and they're small.

I'd stick with it.  Your investment in that house is super small but the knowledge you will gain will be very large.

Post: Should i even invest in the stock market

Aaron TaylorPosted
  • Olathe, KS
  • Posts 148
  • Votes 207

It's probably wise to have both stocks and rentals, even if they have different goals like Mike mentioned.  If nothing else, to have a place to store cash while you're looking for properties and to educate yourself on the market.  Like others mentioned above, index funds are the way to go.  What we did on our first house was sell our one stock that was down (harvesting losses) to pay for the down payment of the house.  

If you're going to invest, make sure that you get yourself onto Mint or Personal Capital.  Watching your money on there will make a big difference in how much you save.