Originally posted by @Kyle Hipp:
Mitch, why did the last sale fail? That seems like a large price drop for a defect free home.
Is that about as good as it gets in your area? Looks like you will barely break even once you figure in maintenance, repairs and cap ex? Also the rents are even a ways off from even 1% of purchase price.
Did you already have an inspection or perform one yourself as It would seem that a defect free property would have more competition from buyers and with you using financing it is not like you have a slam dunk purchase from the seller's perspective either to like your offer more than others. Thank for your insight.
Kyle I invest in different areas, Washington, Texas, Missouri, and Indiana so far. Texas, Missouri and Indiana are strong cash flow areas with fairly flat appreciation. Washington has weaker cash flow with much stronger appreciation. I don't know the reason for the failed sale. Isn't that information proprietary? I always, always hire a vetted, licensed inspector and will have the inspection scheduled as soon as the office reopens Monday. We have our share of flippers and investors here but the Homepath option seems to have not been noticed by many investors. There were changes in December that improved Homepath for Investors. Positive cash flow allowing for maintenance and an 8% vacancy rate will be $100 to $150 per month. The big immediate draw for me is the $30,000 plus immediate equity combined with our appreciating market. This really pumps up the Internal Rate of Return to 26.5% using the more conservative $1,400 per month rent (most likely I will rent for $1,450).
I could have purchased a property for $61,500 with the same square footage in Birmingham, AL with an IRR of a little less at 24% that would have cost me about $3,000 more to close on. The cash flow would have been stronger at $245 a month but it would have zero found equity at full retail price and experience little in appreciation. If I sell in 3 - 5 years which property will give the greater return?
Over 3 years the Birmingham property will return $8,820 in rents and little if any appreciation. Now the Washington property will return $3,600 in rents and $30,000 in equity even if it appreciates zero over the next 3 years for a total of $33,600 and costing me $3,000 less in cash to close. Even if both properties appreciate at the same rate the higher priced property will still generate a greater return because of it's much greater price point.
I am happy with my decision to include both strong cash flow and strong appreciation type properties in my portfolio. I do recommend starting your portfolio with a concentration on strong cash flow to help support your stronger appreciating properties you may or may not want to add later.