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Posted over 8 years ago

You’re probably making this one big financial mistake

If somebody owed you $1,000, would you rather receive it today or 10 years from today? It’s not a trick question. The answer is a no-brainer. Of course you would want to get the money today. With inflation who knows what the purchasing power of $1,000 will be 10 years from now.

Let’s turn it around and look at it the other way. What if you owed someone $1,000? Would you rather pay them today or 10 years from today? Again, it's not a trick question. Because of inflation, that $1,000 will be worth less in the future, so it makes sense to delay the payment. Again, the answer seems very simple: $1,000 will be worth much less 10 years from now than it is today, right?

If you could earn 7% on your money, you could take $508 and invest it today and it would grow to $1000 in 10 years.(1) You get to choose: do you want to spend $1,000 or $508 today to pay back this loan?

If this simple financial logic makes so much sense to you right now, then why is it that most Americans strive to pay off their mortgages and live debt free?


Pop-culture financial gurus like Dave Ramsey and Suze Orman advise us to pay off all of our debts and live debt-free. That's the American dream, isn't it? This applies to Real Estate Investors too. The equity in your properties is not earning any ROI for you. Your properties will generate the same revenue whether you paid cash or not.

The Guru's advice flies in the face of the basic financial logic that I explained in my first paragraph above. The real problem is not debt, it is that some people don't understand how to manage their debt.

Are you making this mistake? If you own a home: Do you have a 15 year or a 30 year mortgage? Are you making extra payments toward your principal? 

Let’s go back to the second paragraph above. Mortgages today are a combination of principal repayment and interest on the principal. Each payment you make reduces the amount of principal you owe back to the lender. If you understand that a future dollar is worth less than a present dollar, then why would you want to pay the lender back any earlier than you have to?

Let’s do some more math:

Let’s say you purchase a $100,000 house today with an interest-only loan instead of an amortizing (principal and interest repayment) loan. In 30 years you intend to pay back the principal. Just as in the example above, if you can make just 7% on your money, how much would you need to invest today in order to pay off the $100,000 loan 30 years from now?

Only $13,137! (2)

Think about the bad rap that interest-only mortgages have since the last economic meltdown. Its not a bad financial product, its bad debt management by the people who used those mortgages. It can be a tool for wealth building in the hands of someone with a little financial sophistication.

Bottom Line: It does not make good financial sense to pay off mortgage loans early to build up equity. Not for your home and not for your investment property. Proper debt and equity management is the core of your retirement nest egg. Most people retire with two main assets: a home that is paid-off and their life savings. Only one of those can pay the bills and put food on the table.

If you have trouble managing your debt and personal finances, you have the likes of Dave Ramsey and Suze Orman to guide you. If, however, you are perfectly capable of managing your money and making good financial decisions, don’t follow the conventional wisdom.

Footnotes:

(1) This is an example of my favorite rule in finance: The Rule of 72. If you divide 72 by the interest rate you are earning on you money, the result is the number of years it will take to double you money. In this case ~$500 will double to $1,000. 72 ➗ 7 = 10.28 yrs.

(2) Rule of 72 again. At 7% interest, investment will double roughly every 10 years. In 30 years the original investment will double, double again, and almost double one more time reaching almost 8 times amount of the original investment!



Comments (7)

  1. Hello Thomas,

    That's a really interesting read and food for thought. With the current low mortgage rates, it is possible to beat them with a real estate property or paper mortgage investment. Thanks for sharing this!


  2. Thanks Thomas. Good read. 


  3. Thomas,

    My ROI story, I purchased a condo well below market value 18 months ago using a 6% interest only line of credit. It came with a tenant who is currently there and has been there for over 6 years now. Then I used my line to buy my family a nice minivan that we use for vacations (I know not the smartest thing to do). I net over $100 a month above the interest payment which I invest back into the walls of the condo. In the current market value I have 20k in equity above the principal balance on the loan. Total amount invested $0, Total time invested, 2 trips to the condo. Once to buy it, Once to sign a new lease. Not sure how to apply the Rule of 72 on this deal?     


    1. Hi Chris,

      If you truly had no money/time value into this property, then your ROI would be infinite. The Rule of 72 doesn't apply when you are creating wealth out of thin air. 

      The best advice I can offer is to invest your profits into some other new investment. Don't put them back into the "walls of the condo" as you mentioned. That money is now trapped there earning you zero rate of return. The condo will appreciate in value whether you pay down the mortgage or not. In the context of the article I wrote, you are voluntarily giving the money back to the lender "Today" instead of 10 years from today. 

      Good luck with your investing!


      1. Thanks Tomas,

         Its been tough to shake the Suze Orman way of thinking about carrying debt, I will have to take another vacation in the van my renter is paying for to get over it. LOL


  4. Interesting read.. We are on an accelerated plan to pay off two rentals in the next 2 years, then payoff our primary residence early as well. You bring up a good point , what if we invest our extra money now, will it bring more of a return than paying homes off early?!


    1. Thanks for the comment Heather. Every dollar that you use to pay down your mortgages is trapped inside the walls of your properties. Equity does not "earn" an ROI. Houses appreciate /depreciate in value whether they have mortgages or not. ROI increases as leverage increases.

      The answer to your question is yes. And if you could refinance with an interest-only loan, you would have more cash to invest... instead of having it sit idle in the walls of the house.