It’s a Buyer’s Market: So Where are They?
It’s easy to assume that since the current housing market is indeed a buyer’s market, then these buyers would be crawling out of the woodwork, seeking every opportunity to invest, to buy up real estate, and to add to their own personal wealth. Yet even with mortgage rates at all-time lows and home prices at ridiculously low levels, these buyers are still not dipping their toes into the warm waters. Why?
What is keeping these people from buying houses, from investing in real estate –which is, arguably, one of the only consistent positive investments over a long period of time? It would seem that people of wealth and prosperity, at least, would be taking up properties that would make great investments for the long-term. Yet they aren’t and the question remains why?
Is the economic climate simply too volatile?
It may be fair to say that the current economic climate is still too volatile for these individuals. While the recession has left millions of people without jobs, it has reached people from all walks of life, from the low-wage earning factory worker to the higher paid executives. Many businesses are looking to the goings on in Washington and waiting to figure out how the health care reform, financial reform, and other changes to the tax code will affect their bottom line before they hire new people, or even before they lay off another wave of employees.
After all, if the new influx of laws cost each business, on average, fifteen thousand dollars a year, for example, then those businesses may decide that they have to let another employee go. They also may decide that they have to cut an executive if they wish to add a few lower wage earners. This uncertainty, then, could explain why so many people who might otherwise be willing to dive right in and invest in a second home, or third, are holding back, waiting, hoping that the recession doesn’t infiltrate their lives any more than it already has.
Are mortgages too tough to qualify for?
Other would-be investors may simply not be able to qualify for a mortgage. Their income, coupled with a first mortgage, may disqualify them from buying an investment property. Financial institutions are shying away from lending out money as they had only a few short years ago. While this is certainly understandable, it is leaving an unintended situation in that the same financial institutions that are denying mortgages are also the ones that are holding onto foreclosed properties because there aren’t enough qualified or willing buyers.
It is difficult for most people to predict what will happen within the housing industry in the next year or two, and even more challenging given so many unknown variables, such as what will the government do next in its attempts to reform the economy and the way businesses conduct themselves? There is still plenty of chatter among politicians and want-to-be politicians about what to do with the housing market and how to get people out of toxic mortgages and, at the same time, how to get others to begin buying homes again, but until some concrete, workable solutions become apparent, the investors in housing may continue to stay away.
Who can blame them? After all, buying a house is one of the biggest decisions anyone will ever make with their money and if there are questions that need to be answered, then there is reason enough to stay away from the market altogether.
Finding the answers for these potential buyers
As professionals in the industry, we have our finger on the pulse better than most average homeowners, or would-be homeowners. It’s incumbent, then, upon us to share what we do know, to research what we don’t, and spread the word to those individuals who can afford a home and want to buy one that right now may be the best time to buy, and that the naysayers may actually be those that were burned already.
David
Comments (10)
Seller financing is a good option if you can find it. Having the seller finance your transaction generally doesn't allow for a great acquisition price though. Raising private equity funds seems to be the way to go for now. The government is doing everything they can to screw this up right now too after they screwed up the entire debt market. Geez!
Bryan Hancock, about 14 years ago
Dan, has the HUD Safe act been much of an issue with seller financing?
Jon Klaus, about 14 years ago
In Michigan people have been turning a lot to Seller-Financing because the banks are SO tight here. Land Contract models have been particularly successful for us in tight bank markets.
Account Closed, about 14 years ago
absolutely. that is why a government backed RTC-type financing program that provides funding to investors is needed.
Tyler McCracken, about 14 years ago
That is all fine and good. The problem is that people don't have any confidence and nothing is growing because of CAPITAL FORMATION problems. Without loans or changes to the way that entrepreneurs raise capital we can't get all of the other things that are needed to recover...like jobs, confidence, etc.
Bryan Hancock, about 14 years ago
Agree Bryan.... just wrote about that a few weeks back. Can you say an RTC type program? http://www.charlottereblog.com/real-estate-investors-wake-up-washington/
Tyler McCracken, about 14 years ago
What we need are policies designed to get investors to sop us the inventory that remains. That isn't popular with lenders that perceive this as a riskier loan so I don't see it happening anytime soon.
Bryan Hancock, about 14 years ago
Good thoughts..., and a complicated answer. As a generalization, I believe that most (the masses) run with the herd. With the amount of Fear about jobs, the economy, and of coarse -real estate, people are finding any and every excuse. So the question is - as an investor is this the time to deviate from the pack? Also, jobs is an issues. Then of coarse sense 66% of our recognized households already own a home -they have to turn (sell) that home in order to buy another. The whole cycle has stopped and will require both an economic and pyscological reset to get the ball moving with good motion. Tyler McCracken www.CharlotteREblog.com
Tyler McCracken, about 14 years ago
Sellers still don't want to face reality for housing prices in many instances too and investors don't want to overpay for product. Those with cash and/or credit want "deals of a lifetime" and a simple "good" deal isn't sufficient.
Bryan Hancock, about 14 years ago
It's a buyer's market for those with cash. And they seem to want to sit on their cash rather than buying. It's also a buyer's market for those with great credit. But they carefully built that credit and are careful, cautious buyers. And neither group wants to face selling their current house now. Someone break this stalemate!
Jon Klaus, about 14 years ago