November Las Vegas Rental Market Update

[Eric Fernwood]

It's November, and it's time for another Las Vegas update. For a more comprehensive look at the Las Vegas investment market, please DM me for a link to our blog. There, you'll find detailed information on investing, both in general and specifically in Las Vegas.

Before I continue, note that unless otherwise noted, the charts only include properties that match the following profile.

• Type: Single-family
• Configuration: 1,000 SF to 3,000 SF, 2+ bedrooms, 2+ baths, 2+ garages, minimum lot size is 3,000 SF.
• Price range: $320,000 to $475,000
• Location: All zip codes marked in green below have one or more of our client’s investment properties.

What we are seeing:

The chart below, from the MLS, includes all property types and price ranges. The overall inventory is higher due to the season. However, sellers currently on the market are more likely to accept lower offers, giving us some room for negotiation.

Rental Market Trends

The charts below are only relevant to the property profile that we target.

Rentals - Median $/SF by Month

Rents held steady from September to October, bucking the seasonal trend. YoY is up marginally.

Rentals - Availability by Month

The number of homes for rent increased slightly MoM, conforming to the seasonal trend.

Rentals - Median Time to Rent

Median time to rent increased slightly MoM, (28 days vs 27 days in September), conforming to the seasonal trend.

Rentals - Months of Supply

About 1.8 months of supply for our target rental property profile. This low inventory will continue to pressure up rents.

The sales market remains hot.

Sales - Months of Supply

There are about 1.5 months of supply for our target property profile. A six-month supply is typically considered a balanced market. This limited inventory will likely continue to drive prices upward.

Sales - Median $/SF by Month

The $/SF increased slightly MoM, bucking the seasonal trend. YoY is up 8.6%.

Why invest in Las Vegas?

The goal is to achieve and maintain financial freedom. Financial freedom goes beyond simply replacing your current income—it's about sustaining your lifestyle for life. To accomplish this, you need an income that outpaces inflation. Otherwise, you won't have the extra funds necessary to cover the rising costs of goods and services in the future.

What causes rents (and prices) to increase?

Supply & Demand

Unlike financial markets, real estate prices and rents are driven by supply and demand. What is the supply and demand situation in Las Vegas?

Supply

Las Vegas is unique because it is a tiny island of privately owned land in an ocean of federal land. See the 2020 aerial view below.

Very little undeveloped private land is left in the Las Vegas Valley, and desirable areas cost more than $1 million per acre. Consequently, new homes in these locations start at $550,000. Homes that appeal to our target tenant segment range from $350,000 to $475,000, so the supply of housing we target remains almost the same regardless of how many new homes are built.

Demand

Population growth drives housing demand and price and rent increases. Las Vegas's average annual population increases by 40,000 to 50,000 per year. What attracts people to Las Vegas? Jobs. Ongoing construction projects valued between $26 billion and $30 billion fuel employment opportunities. The most recent job fair featured over 20,000 open positions.

In Conclusion

While nothing is guaranteed, the combination of population growth and limited land for expansion virtually assures that prices and rents will continue to increase.

Thanks for reading my post. Reach out if you have questions or would like to discuss investing in Las Vegas.