Bay area Housing 2020- Crash or no crash

[Brian Singh]

Just wanted to get a sense of what people are seeing in Bay area and what they think will happen after a few month. Also wanted to see if I am being too negative on bay area and forecasting a 10-15% price drop.

The reason I see a 10 to 15% drop by April 2021 is

1. The virus and unemployment

2. Start-up layoffs

3. H1B ban for next 2 years effectively

4. Tech work from home or anywhere going main stream.

The area I am using as bench marks are

1. San Fran

2. Mountain view

3. Fremont

4. Walnut creek.

Very different demographics in all four and they together represent the Bay area as a whole quite good with the issues highlighted above.

I will write in more details when people write about  their opinion on the points I raised.

I hold no solid stance one way or the other, just want people who are actually investing there give their side of the analysis, so I see if I am thinking correct.

Rents have dropped over 10% for two months now, are property prices next ?