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Updated almost 2 years ago,
[Calc Review] Help me analyze this deal
*This link comes directly from our calculators, based on information input by the member who posted.
Hello!
I'm a complete newbie from Minnesota and started my real estate journey in January 2023. I just signed up for pro last week. All the terms and strategies are a bit foreign to me and I feel like I'm drinking out of a firehose. I've been listening to podcasts, reading the forums/recommended books, and watching youtube videos to wrap my head around the concepts. The piece that I'm really struggling with is analyzing the deal. My goal is to get a duplex, triplex or quadplex in my local area with the hope of doing some cosmetic updates and BRRR. I've found a local investor-friendly real-estate agent from Bigger Pockets and they've set me up with a daily listing for property in my local area.
I'm still learning about doing the math and identifying deals, so I've been actively analyzing deals and I was hoping to get a second or third set of eyes on how to analyze this particular deal. I'm interested in this property because the seller is offering an assumable FHA loan at 2.25% for the $434 K and $115,900 at current interest rates. It's high considering the rising interest rates and it seems like it could be an opportunity to do creative financing so I'm thinking this is a hybrid of Sub-2 and maybe seller finance on balance ($115,900) and possibly on the down payment.
My questions are as follows:
1. Do I need to live in the property if this is a sub-2 on an FHA loan or do I just have to alleviate the owner concerns around all the risks such as the "Due on sale" clause and other owner concerns. I've got Pace Morby videos on replay. :)
2. Do I still include the closing costs in my calculations and would it be for the total amount or the owner financing piece only? How do I factor in the real estate agent commissions on both sides?
2. I'm not quite sure how to put this in the calculator to run the numbers so I tried the $434 K with my assumptions for the terms. To be conservative, I also put in the calculator a separate analysis with the non-FHA balance at 7% but did not include insurance, taxes, down payment, etc so that I wasn't double counting these items. Not sure if there is an easier way to do this or if I need to think about this differently or how to put this together.
3. I noticed there is opportunity to add appreciation by putting in a bathroom and a partition wall. Could this be turned into a triplex or how do I include that in my calculations? It looks like this would go into the rehabbing section and then I would increase the ARV, but not sure how to do that? I tried the rehab calculator and think that it could be around $25,000 but not sure about how to calculate this if i'm renting.
4. I calculated the rental rate at at about $3900. The rental calculator has low confidence for a rate of about $2,475 for 2 bed/1 bath, but when I look on the property listing, I see the owner has systematically reduced the rent rate from $2,100 to $$1,750 over six months before finally putting it on the market. Does this indicate that s/he is not able to get renters or the rate is too high. I know the neighborhood pretty well and it's a good area with low crime rates so I'm not sure why this is the case.
I could use some guidance and help to understand how to analyze and find gaps in my analysis and what else to consider. Thank you in advance for your help.