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Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions

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Gary Stern
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  • Investor
  • West Palm Beach, FL
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Cash Flow Positive Properties in Ski Resorts Towns

Gary Stern
Pro Member
  • Investor
  • West Palm Beach, FL
Posted Jan 24 2024, 09:05

Hi Everyone - I'm interested in finding Cash Flow Positive Properties in Ski Resort Towns. I've found Colorado to be one of the most expensive in the US, maybe followed by Park City/Deer Valley, Utah. Are there any other "untapped" Ski Resort Towns that can provide Value as well as Cash Flow, with Cash Flow being the Primary Goal? Would appreciate your feedback. Thank You

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Replied Jan 24 2024, 09:35

Be careful before investing in a STR in Colorado. As you stated - it's one of the most expensive. It may be getting worse soon if "Bill # 6 " passes. It will increase tax rates on STRs from residential to commercial, so from 6% to 28%. Each individual mountain town also seems to have more strict STR fees than other areas I've looked into.

I know you already said you wanted to avoid CO, but just reiterating that it's probably wise to look elsewhere. 

Maybe look at an east coast ski area since they also pull in a lot of summer traffic. I used to have an STR in Beech Mountain NC and it was good year round. The big ski areas in the west seem to be cracking down on STRs more.

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James Carlson
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Denver CO | Colorado Springs, CO
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James Carlson
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Denver CO | Colorado Springs, CO
Replied Jan 24 2024, 13:01
Quote from @Gary Stern:

Hi Everyone - I'm interested in finding Cash Flow Positive Properties in Ski Resort Towns. I've found Colorado to be one of the most expensive in the US, maybe followed by Park City/Deer Valley, Utah. Are there any other "untapped" Ski Resort Towns that can provide Value as well as Cash Flow, with Cash Flow being the Primary Goal? Would appreciate your feedback. Thank You


 I'll be interested to see what others say. We work in Colorado with a lot of Airbnb/vacation rental clients. The last year or so, I've seen it become about impossible to cash flow in a ski town. (Not to mention the regulatory environment has clamped down. This thread talks extensively about this.) 

There are places near but not in ski towns that can break even or cash flow a little. Places like Blue River a town just south of Breckenridge that actually allows short-term rentals, some places in Silverthorne, some places near Crested Butte. 

Again, I'm interested to see if ski towns outside of Colorado have seen the same dynamic with STRs where home price increases have outpaced stagnant STR revenue.

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Kirsten Horning
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Salt Lake City, UT
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Kirsten Horning
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Salt Lake City, UT
Replied Jan 24 2024, 13:36

Hello, I'm in the Salt Lake Valley & there's 6 other resorts here besides Park City you should take a look around. For example, Eden, Sandy, Draper, Heber, etc. Happy to talk!

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Lindsey Van
Agent
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Park City, UT
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Lindsey Van
Agent
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Park City, UT
Replied Jan 25 2024, 10:02

Cash flow in a ski town is hard to find! You can find some that break even, and that is winning in this market. Investors have changed their strategies, and are focusing more on appreciation vs cash flow. It's hard to find both, and the current market favors appreciation. The Park City market has appreciated about 7% a year for over 20 years.

 I don't think there are any "untapped" ski towns in Utah, but some lesser known areas. 

- Logan, Garden City UT -  ski resorts are Beaver Mountain and Cherry Peak

- Huntsville, Eden, Liberty - ski resorts Powder Mountain, Snowbasin, and Nordic Valley.

- Southern Utah - Beaver, Springdale - ski resorts Eagle Point & Brian Head

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Michael Glunk
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  • Real Estate Agent
  • Evergreen, CO
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Michael Glunk
Agent
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Evergreen, CO
Replied Jan 25 2024, 10:52

@Gary Stern

Great question, and one that I get quite often. Speaking just about Colorado...It's has definitely gotten harder to cash flow in Colorado Ski Resort Areas. I wouldn't say impossible, but I would say difficult. 

I'll split this post into two parts based on your question...


NUMBER 1: OBTAINING POSITIVE CASH FLOW

It comes down to many factors, but a few key factors that I have found that have the largest impact on the property's cash flow are below (The below generally holds true for any market. But you can always find an anomaly.): 

#1: How much are you putting down? 

- A traditional investment loan down payment of 25% down is doable but still hard to cash flow. In particular, I've seen potential for this to happen in Grand County (Winter Park & Fraser) + Mount Crested Butte. (Specifically speaking to Mt. Crested Butte where you can STR fairly easy vs. the town of Crested Butte where it is difficult to STR.)

  - When I say Cash Flow, I'm generally talking a few hundred dollars a month max. Nothing crazy. But the property covers itself and you make a little bit. This is really the standard for something pre-built. You can get more if you do more work. See what I personally did in my comment below in #2!

  - Out-of-state folks love Breckenridge because they do a good job marketing themselves. But in Summit County e.g. Breckenridge / Keystone / etc. you typically have to put down at least 50% to break even. 

  - If you want to be in a ski valley, but not right in the town. I've helped clients find success in Carbondale, CO. So down valley from all the Aspen resorts. 

#2: How much work are you willing to do?

- Turn key gets you closer to that impossible side of the spectrum. Still doable, e.g. I found someone a condo in Mount Crested Butte about 6 months ago where the numbers would work to cash flow a little/break even including pricing management into our numbers. 

- As with most forms of real estate. If you are willing to put in the work to build/remodel/update a property...i.e. create value, you not only generally increase your equity position, but also can often create more room to cash flow and/or cash flow at a higher % CoC.

- I have personally built two houses in Fraser, CO. I was able to get them for free in the end. (Free = $0 out of pocket.) In fact, I got paid to own them. How? I built high-end custom modular (e.g. stick built in a factory and shipped) for a significantly cheaper cost per sq foot than it would have cost to build with a local builder. I STR the larger home and LTR the smaller home. The past two years I've grossed over $130,000 on the property I STR. So I'm netting thousands of dollars of cash flow per month after expenses. Given the appreciation and my current equity position, I'm probably going to list and sell it this year so that I can pull the equity and roll it into something larger and/or multiple properties. More info on my RE Investing YouTube page if you want to learn more or feel free to respond to this post or message me. (The YouTube Channel is easy to find as it's just my name.) Anyway, not only does this allow you to build a good amount of equity. Because you've built that equity, but you also have the ability to adjust how much of that equity you keep in the property when you transition out of the construction loan into a more permanent loan to produce more cash flow.

#3: Are you going to self-manage or hire it out? (You answer to this will have a direct impact on the property's ability to Cash Flow.)

- I personally self manage some of my STRs and have all the others managed. In general, my personal preferece is to move all of my properties to management. It's a personal choice. Many mountain towns in the past have charged crazy rates to fully manage an STR in Colorado. Upwards of 30-40%. I've seen a trend lately of more options in the 20-25% range. Which IMO is more reasonable.

- Of course self managing will allow you to save and can sometimes be the difference maker of a property cash flowing. It's not for everyone. But if you do it, there are many tools to help facilitate self management.

As you know, a big driver is Supply & Demand. Many of these Colorado resort areas are becoming oversaturated with supply. I believe you can always incorporate various tactics to set your property apart. But at a certain point, your renter pool becomes smaller and there's a diminishing return on your investment to differentiate your property. Especially given the cost to ski in Colorado. Happy to provide more detail on this, but I don't want to get off-topic. 

#4: Property Size (More of a wildcard as the location would make this more or less of a factor.)

- This isn't always a direct impact, but in some markets (e.g. The Winter Park area) Larger properties do better and have a better chance of creating more/greater cash flow. Why? There are many factors, but the main one is that many people from the Denver Metro area want a ski house and Winter Park is one of the closer ski areas. They are often buying the most affordable options on the market e.g. 1-4 bedroom properties. And then they put these properties on the STR market to help cover their costs. Meaning the market is saturated with properties of this size. This isn't as much the case with larger properties. Plus with larger properties, a few families can split/share the cost to rent. Often making it more affordable than renting multiple smaller properties. Meaning the larger properties end up offering greater versatility and flexibility in the face of shifting market dynamics.


NUMBER 2: "UNTAPPED" SKI RESORT TOWNS

I guess it depends on how you define untapped. I'm going to define it as room to grow from an appreciation perspective. Based on my opinion, the best market currently in Colorado is Grand County (Winter Park/Fraser). It's growing and growing fast. And may not be the best for long. But that's because it's located close to the Denver Metro Area and it's been overlooked for years. It wasn't that long ago when people just kept driving down I-70 to Summit County and passed the exit for Winter Park. But now of course it is found out. It's being developed. But there is still some meat on the bone from an appreciation perspective compared to other developed ski resort areas in CO like Breckenridge, Avon/Vail, etc. Yes there are some other smaller resorts in CO that could have potential. And I like Crested Butte as well. One of my favorites so definitely don't go there or buy anything there as I don't want it to change even though it is inevitable! :) But thinking about supply and demand created by Winter Parks proximity to Denver and the sq ft costs in Grand County versus another close area like Summit County...IMO it's a contender for a bit more growth. How much longer? TBD. But it's currently still there.


Other opportunities in CO? I don't do much work down in Southern Colorado...but have heard great things about Wolf Creek. Silverton is great. Maybe those will grow more than in the past. TBD. 

A wildcard could be St Mary's Glacier, located in Idaho Springs, CO. You can actually buy an old ski resort there and that's super close to the Denver Metro area. It's cold as heck there, which is why there is still remants of a glacier. If someone buys that and develops it, then the lots in the small town of St. Mary's Glacier that are currently selling for around $14,000-$50,000 will significantly increase. At the moment it looks more like gambling. But a fairly low cost to gamble on at those prices.


This is already a long post. It's not all set in stone. Markets evolve. Just some of my thoughts based on my experience specific to Colorado.

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Replied Jan 25 2024, 12:18

Tahoe. 5+ bed SFH's cash flow pretty well. Lots of demand from grandma and grandpa who want a place that can fit kids /w spouses + grandkids, or multiple families that want to stay together. And limited supply of STRs this size.

It's an attractive market because the Jun - Aug summer season is just as big as ski season.  Nov 1 - Christmas and April / May are the only real "low" seasons.  A well-located / well-appointed property can get $1000+ ADR at 70% occupancy on an annual basis.

Deep pockets required though, property prices are high.  Most properties that size are 2nd homes and often sell with furniture included, which can reduce start-up costs.

No cap on STR permits in Washoe County on the Nevada side. And Placer County on the California side hasn't hit it's cap of 3900 permits yet.

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Collin H.
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  • Gatlinburg, TN
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Collin H.
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  • Gatlinburg, TN
Replied Jan 25 2024, 13:13

Gatlinburg and Maggie Valley aren’t major ski areas, but both have a hill with lifts and both will cash flow.  And they are busy the rest of the year, too.

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Sarah Kensinger
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Sarah Kensinger
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  • Ohio
Replied Jan 25 2024, 19:14

Check into the area around Sugar Mountain in NC. I don't know much about the area, but it seems to be an up-and-coming ski area where you may find some cash flowing deals.

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Replied Jan 25 2024, 23:01
Quote from @Kirsten Horning:

Hello, I'm in the Salt Lake Valley & there's 6 other resorts here besides Park City you should take a look around. For example, Eden, Sandy, Draper, Heber, etc. Happy to talk!

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Replied Jan 26 2024, 00:41

You can have a look in the area around Fresno, CA. 
I run an analysis for Fresno, alothough I did not find it attractive enough for cash flow returns. 

You can have a look at the report yourself, but I think you might have to register for a free account with Onera (I guess it is a new competitor of AirDNA): https://onera-group.com/str-markets/fresno

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Replied Jan 26 2024, 02:09
Quote from @Craig Jones:

Tahoe. 5+ bed SFH's cash flow pretty well. Lots of demand from grandma and grandpa who want a place that can fit kids /w spouses + grandkids, or multiple families that want to stay together. And limited supply of STRs this size.

It's an attractive market because the Jun - Aug summer season is just as big as ski season.  Nov 1 - Christmas and April / May are the only real "low" seasons.  A well-located / well-appointed property can get $1000+ ADR at 70% occupancy on an annual basis.

Deep pockets required though, property prices are high.  Most properties that size are 2nd homes and often sell with furniture included, which can reduce start-up costs.

No cap on STR permits in Washoe County on the Nevada side. And Placer County on the California side hasn't hit it's cap of 3900 permits yet.


 Where in Tahoe can someone average $1K a night with 70% occupancy. I checked out Reno since you mentioned Washoe county and it seemed like the 5br’s were going for about $800 a night but only on the weekends. For the weekdays it was half that or less. This was for mid March. 

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Nedim Tokman
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  • Truckee, CA
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Nedim Tokman
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  • Truckee, CA
Replied May 16 2024, 10:29
Quote from @Dewayne Perry:
Quote from @Craig Jones:

Tahoe. 5+ bed SFH's cash flow pretty well. Lots of demand from grandma and grandpa who want a place that can fit kids /w spouses + grandkids, or multiple families that want to stay together. And limited supply of STRs this size.

It's an attractive market because the Jun - Aug summer season is just as big as ski season.  Nov 1 - Christmas and April / May are the only real "low" seasons.  A well-located / well-appointed property can get $1000+ ADR at 70% occupancy on an annual basis.

Deep pockets required though, property prices are high.  Most properties that size are 2nd homes and often sell with furniture included, which can reduce start-up costs.

No cap on STR permits in Washoe County on the Nevada side. And Placer County on the California side hasn't hit it's cap of 3900 permits yet.


 Where in Tahoe can someone average $1K a night with 70% occupancy. I checked out Reno since you mentioned Washoe county and it seemed like the 5br’s were going for about $800 a night but only on the weekends. For the weekdays it was half that or less. This was for mid March. 


I live in Truckee, and I can tell you that nobody will stay in Reno if they are coming here to Ski. I am not Sure if occupancy and rates are accurate though since I am not in the STR market here. Summer is often busier, winter attracts more affluent tourists.

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Bradley Buxton
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Nevada
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Bradley Buxton
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Nevada
Replied May 16 2024, 15:27
Quote from @Nedim Tokman:
Quote from @Dewayne Perry:
Quote from @Craig Jones:

Tahoe. 5+ bed SFH's cash flow pretty well. Lots of demand from grandma and grandpa who want a place that can fit kids /w spouses + grandkids, or multiple families that want to stay together. And limited supply of STRs this size.

It's an attractive market because the Jun - Aug summer season is just as big as ski season.  Nov 1 - Christmas and April / May are the only real "low" seasons.  A well-located / well-appointed property can get $1000+ ADR at 70% occupancy on an annual basis.

Deep pockets required though, property prices are high.  Most properties that size are 2nd homes and often sell with furniture included, which can reduce start-up costs.

No cap on STR permits in Washoe County on the Nevada side. And Placer County on the California side hasn't hit it's cap of 3900 permits yet.


 Where in Tahoe can someone average $1K a night with 70% occupancy. I checked out Reno since you mentioned Washoe county and it seemed like the 5br’s were going for about $800 a night but only on the weekends. For the weekdays it was half that or less. This was for mid March. 


I live in Truckee, and I can tell you that nobody will stay in Reno if they are coming here to Ski. I am not Sure if occupancy and rates are accurate though since I am not in the STR market here. Summer is often busier, winter attracts more affluent tourists.


 There are ski rentals in South Reno that are only 20 minutes from Mt Rose Ski area and about 35 minutes to Diamond Peak. I agree that very few will stay in Reno and drive to Palisades or Northstar.