Bruce Norris recently released his 2009 market predictions.

Check out my post from a couple weeks ago, more specifically the answer I get from Clayton Mobley at the bottom. https://www.biggerpockets.com/forums/67/topics/451...As the gentlemen that commented before me, while not 100%, you can predict with a high likelihood that SD market with appreciate in the long term.

Use tools like GIS mapping and data visualization to quickly and efficiently access and analyze vast amounts of data.Predictive AnalyticsUse predictive analytics to forecast future performance and risks.

If you could predict the future, you wouldn't be buying that house, you'd be cleaning up the stock market.

This amount is fairly predictable year over year, even with repairs.2) Calculate my loan payoff @ year 10 to find equity at the time of sale.  3) Multiplied this by LTCG of 15%.

So, if you compare the current returns (including the "room to run" returns, if they are predictable) with whatever returns you would get invested elsewhere, you can get some clarity.It's easy to get complacent and not subject your existing holdings to the same investment criteria that you would a new investment and you are doing the right thing by not falling into that trap.Some investors have an exit strategy set up front and when that exit criteria has been met (especially with an appreciation play), they exit, even if it's early, and move on to the next investment and repeat.What lender offers a 10 year, fixed rate, 3.9%, I/O loan on investment property?

More predictable.

It is not as easy easy to predict as sales price but there's no disputing what the net is after the deal is done. as-long as both parties can review the final closing statement, the contractor invoices and the financials there's not much room for argument.

For those who are risk adverse, the predictable growth of the RRSP may be suitable for their risk profile.

If things go the way MP predicts, it will be around a 25% XIRR (~3x multiple).