Hey everybody, I have a question about the prediction of Illinois property tax . 

Now if nothing happens in your area, then there was no need to diversify, but I can't predict the future.

These pros do serious market research to predict the future, so if they're still planning to build more, that's a clear signal to me that they don't see an end in sight.I don't see an end in sight, either: Barring an SHTF-type occurrence, it's going to take a national economic downturn to pull back the reins on this fast growth and, even then, the tech sectors will be among the last to cut back.

Using that metric I can predict with relative accuracy my CAP, COC and cash flow.

Obviously there is more to maintain (three roofs instead of one, more exterior and interior wall surfaces for painting, cleaning, more soffit vents, more piping, more of something to go wrong), and also the maintenance is non-standard, as each cottage has it's own unique plumbing, electrical, AC, ducting, sewers, water supplies...versus in a standard 4-plex all the units have "similar" layout and the issues are more predictable and less challenging.These cottages are not on a very large lot that can be subdivided in the future.Would you ever consider buying multiple stand alone structures like this if there is no price advantage versus a 4-plex on a per door basis?

I can't  predict  the future.  

Your realtor is pretty bold predicting the market will come down next year.

By investing in this deal, unless you plan on losing money, you are essentially saying that you are confident that on your first flip you can predict all of the costs, timeframes (and effect that has on costs), scope of work (and effect it has on cost), performance of your teammates (and the effect that has on costs), and exit price within $10k on a $365k investment, or within 3%, on your first time out of the gate as an investor!

If you are trying to predict for the future you can't.  

I would add that no landlord can precisely predict the time factor of a property.