Housing Market Outlook 2024: Harris vs. Trump

Housing Market Outlook 2024: Harris vs. Trump

Real Estate Agent · New York City · Member since 2020 · 818 posts · 639 votes

The 2024 presidential election presents two distinct visions for America's housing market. Historical data shows housing prices have averaged 4.84% growth during election years since 1987, but the specific policies of each candidate could significantly influence future market dynamics.

Vice President Harris will likely focus on supply-side solutions, representing a continuation of Biden administration policies, emphasizes affordable housing expansion through several key initiatives:

1. Affordable Housing Focus: Expanding programs to increase housing availability, particularly targeting urban rental affordability

2. Supply-Chain Strategy: Shifting from demand-side solutions to active development of new housing units

3. Tax Policy: Proposed revision of high-income tax cuts to fund housing programs and economic stability initiatives

4. Down Payment Assistance: Proposed up to $25K in down-payment support for 1st-time homebuyers

Market implications under Harris include potential stabilization of home prices through increased housing stock, enhanced affordable housing options, reducing competition in rental markets with a greater focus on urban development and rental price controls.

Savvy investors may want to focus on affordable housing opportunities and urban renewal projects under a Harris administration.

Former President Trump will likely focus on deregulation and private sector growth, emphasizing market-driven solutions and reduced government intervention. This could be reflected across a few signature initiatives:

1. Deregulation Push: Streamlining housing development regulations and approval processes

2. GSE Reform: Moving toward privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

3. Tax Strategy: Making the 2017 tax cuts permanent to stimulate investment and consumption

Market implications under Trump include potential for accelerated price growth in existing homes, increased private sector development opportunities, and more flexible lending standards through GSE privatization.

Similarly, clever allocators of capital may want to focus on market rate housing and more aggressive development opportunities while considering GSE privatization impacts under a Trump administration.

Regardless of who you support or which way you lean, both candidates acknowledge the need for increased housing supply. Ultimately, the impact on housing markets will depend not only on who wins but also on their ability to implement proposed policies and the broader economic environment during their term.

Your Voice Matters

The future of America's housing market will be significantly influenced by the outcome of the 2024 election. Whether you're a homeowner, investor, renter, or real estate professional, your stake in this decision is real and lasting. Make your voice heard - be sure to check your registration status and make a plan to vote this November. The housing market's future depends on engaged citizens like you.

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  • Jason WrayPro Member
    Banker · Nationwide · Member since 2020 · 2k+ posts · 1k+ votes
    1y

    I have to ask where you got some of the info in your post because to be fair and accurate if its from a media outlet.  This is an example of how the media spins fake news...

    4. Down Payment Assistance: Proposed up to $25K in down-payment support for 1st-time homebuyers "This option exists as of today in many states under current DPA programs"

    You can actually right now get more than $25K under a DPA it depends on your loan amount and your State/County.  Harris is not the first person since it already exists.

    Affordable housing was first targeted under the Clinton/Gore Admin lowering it to an all time low and its at the worse its ever been with unaffordable housing under the Biden/Harris Admin.  

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